Banfield vs Sarmiento preview
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Florencio Solá
Round 2 ·
2nd Phase
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 29
CONTEXT
Banfield hosted Sarmiento in a match that ended with a 3-2 victory for the home side after a goalless first half. Despite trailing in expected goals with 1.59 to the visitors 1.65, Banfield secured the win through effective second-half adjustments. Possession favored Sarmiento at 60 percent compared to Banfield's 40 percent, yet the stronger team claimed the points. No red cards were issued, and the outcome deviated significantly from pre-match projections for the home side. The game remained level at halftime before Banfield mounted a decisive response. This result highlighted how actual scoring can diverge from underlying metrics in tight encounters.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Banfield achieved a significant deviation from expected patterns to claim the 3-2 win.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall team performance levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was not aligned with the xG figures of 1.59 to 1.65.
-
Market alignment: The result proved aligned with market expectations despite the xG differential.
-
xG expectations: Banfield exceeded xG expectations by winning despite a negative differential of 0.06.
-
Event impact: No major events altered the flow beyond standard play in the 3-2 scoreline.
-
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from disciplinary actions occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
M. Savorani
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Bistocco
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Manduca
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
1.06
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.19
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Huracán
Rank: 64
L
Barracas Central
Rank: 61
W
Atlético Tucumán
Rank: 61
D
Independiente Rivadavia
Rank: 72
D
Lanús
Rank: 66
L
Argentinos Juniors
Rank: 71
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Argentinos Juniors
Rank: 70
L
Belgrano
Rank: 69
L
Tigre
Rank: 65
W
Rosario Central
Rank: 69
L
Gimnasia La Plata
Rank: 65
L
Barracas Central
Rank: 61
W
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.08
57.73
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Banfield
Sarmiento
Power Score
59.08
57.73
League Position
12
15
Global Rank
587
623
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Banfield
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Sarmiento
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Banfield Sarmiento
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Banfield
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Sarmiento
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Banfield
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Sarmiento
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
44.25
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.83
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Banfield
+1.59
Efficiency Index
vs
Sarmiento
-1.59
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Banfield
Sarmiento
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Banfield
vs
Sarmiento
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Banfield
Sarmiento
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
60%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.05
vs
-0.10
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Banfield
Sarmiento
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
6%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.10
vs
+0.05
Banfield
Sarmiento
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Banfield
vs
Sarmiento
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Banfield
Sarmiento
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Banfield
0.47
Sarmiento
0.26
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Banfield
Sarmiento
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Banfield
0.04
Sarmiento
0.09
Banfield
Sarmiento
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SARM had peak pressure around 69'.
- BAN started the game with stronger pressure.
BAN Pressure
SARM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
SARM reached the top pressure at 69' (82.29).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Banfield
BAN
Home
2
matches
Sarmiento
SARM
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-07-29T00:02:10+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-5-1-1
Match Formation
4-4-2
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 2 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Florencio Solá
Capacity
34901
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Next Match
Banfield
vs
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
League: Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Kickoff: Sat, 1 Aug - 6:30 PM
Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto
Sarmiento
vs
Independiente Rivadavia
League: Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Kickoff: Mon, 3 Aug - 7:45 PM
Venue: Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
Statistics
Possession
BAN
44%
SARM
56%
Top Statistics
3
Goals
2
4
Big Chances Created
3
7
Shots
4
34
Dangerous attacks
50
40
Possession
60
4
Corners
4
9
Free kicks
11
0
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
76
Ball Safe
78
1
Penalties
0
10
Goal Kicks
10
14
Goal Attempts
6
5
Substitutions
5
25
Throwins
38
2
Assists
0
16
Dribble Attempts
27
3
Successful Dribbles
8
19
Successful Dribbles Percentage
30
Attacking
99
Attacks
98
2
Big Chances Missed
1
Possession
56
Long Passes
62
247
Passes
387
178
Successful Passes
301
72
Successful Passes Percentage
78
12
Key Passes
8
30
Successful Long Passes
30
54
Successful Long Passes Percentage
48
Defensive
2
Saves
5
26
Tackles
23
11
Interceptions
11
58
Duels Won
51
Build-up
17
Total Crosses
18
5
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
1
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
10
Lineup
Referee :
Carlos Andrés Gariano
Manager ▼
P. Troglio
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
25
Gino Santilli
Goalkeeper
4
Juan Luis Alfaro
Defender
34
Santiago Daniele
Defender
8
Lautaro Ríos
Midfielder
18
Federico Medina
Midfielder
33
Neyder Moreno
Midfielder
30
Federico Anselmo
Attacker
Referee :
Carlos Andrés Gariano
Manager ▼
F. Sava
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
12
Thyago Ayala
Goalkeeper
4
Juan Manuel Cabrera
Defender
5
Manuel García
Midfielder
21
Julián Mavilla
Midfielder
26
Yair Arismendi
Midfielder
35
Facundo Alaggia
Midfielder
9
Diego Churín
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
88'
Goal awarded
86'
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
10th Substitution
85'
84'
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
8th Substitution
83'
9th Substitution
83'
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
82'
78'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
74'
7th Substitution
6th Substitution
71'
61'
5th Substitution
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
59'
55'
3rd Substitution
55'
4th Substitution
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
53'
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
1st Substitution
CONCLUSION
Banfield's triumph over Sarmiento at 3-2 showcased resilience after an even opening period that finished 0-0. The home side overcame possession disadvantages and lower expected goals through clinical finishing in the latter stages. This victory reinforces their status as the stronger side in the fixture. Sarmiento controlled much of the ball but could not convert territorial edges into a result. The match illustrated how late adjustments can override statistical forecasts in competitive league play. Both teams displayed determination without the complication of dismissals, leading to an open contest resolved only at the end.
Match Commentary