Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dinamo Moskva preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Complexe Sportif Jean Bianchi 1 Sun, 17 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad
Dinamo Moskva DMO
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 3:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Baltika Kaliningrad welcome Dinamo Moskva to Complexe Sportif Jean Bianchi 1 for a pivotal Premier League regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. With both clubs neck-and-neck in 6th and 7th place, points are crucial in the race for European qualification. Dinamo Moskva arrive as the clear favorites, holding a commanding power score of 71.17 to Baltika's 54.97, translating to a 16.2-point advantage. The visitors also dominate in recent form, scoring 26 points against Baltika's modest 7.67. Despite the home side's slightly better league standing, Dinamo's overall metrics point to superiority in structure and execution. Baltika will rely on home crowd energy and tactical discipline to counter Dinamo's attacking threat. Midfield control and defensive solidity will be decisive in this closely contested battle.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dinamo Moskva holds a 16.2-point power advantage over Baltika Kaliningrad.
  • Form: Dinamo Moskva's form score of 26 dwarfs Baltika Kaliningrad's 7.67.
  • Squad: Baltika Kaliningrad occupy 6th place, just ahead of Dinamo Moskva in 7th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece statistics unavailable due to lack of xG data.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables not available for analysis.
  • Market: Projection split: Baltika Kaliningrad 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Dinamo Moskva 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Baltika Kaliningrad A. Talalaev
A. Talalaev
VS
Dinamo Moskva R. Gusev
R. Gusev
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.79
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 70 L
Rubin Kazan Rank: 63 L
Akron Rank: 54 L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 59 D
Krasnodar Rank: 76 D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 51 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Krasnodar Rank: 78 W
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 70 D
Sochi Rank: 51 W
Rubin Kazan Rank: 62 L
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 51 D
Akron Rank: 55 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Baltika Kaliningrad
0%
Draw
0%
Away Dinamo Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.97
71.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Baltika Kaliningrad
Dinamo Moskva
Power Score
54.97
71.17
League Position
6
7
Global Rank
351
186

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Baltika Kaliningrad — Opponent-weighted form score
Dinamo Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Baltika Kaliningrad Dinamo Moskva

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad Home
3 matches
Dinamo Moskva DMO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
3
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:05:46+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Complexe Sportif Jean Bianchi 1
Capacity
35212
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

67
Maksim Borisko
Maksim Borisko Goalkeeper
44
Egor Lyubakov
Egor Lyubakov Goalkeeper
81
Ivan Kukushkin
Ivan Kukushkin Goalkeeper
77
Eldar Ćivić
Eldar Ćivić Defender
25
Aleksandr Filin
Aleksandr Filin Defender
23
Mingiyan Beveev
Mingiyan Beveev Defender
16
Kevin Orlando Andrade Murillo
Kevin Orlando Andrade Murillo Defender
21
Eduardo Antonio Anderson Gomez
Eduardo Antonio Anderson Gomez Defender
2
Sergey Varatynov
Sergey Varatynov Defender
4
Nathan Gassama
Nathan Gassama Defender
68
Mikhail Ryadno
Mikhail Ryadno Defender
46
Kirill Obonin
Kirill Obonin Defender
11
Yuri Kovalev
Yuri Kovalev Midfielder
10
Ilya Petrov
Ilya Petrov Midfielder
8
Andrey Mendel
Andrey Mendel Midfielder
73
Maksim Petrov
Maksim Petrov Midfielder
22
Nikolai Titkov
Nikolai Titkov Midfielder
14
Stefan Kovač
Stefan Kovač Midfielder
5
Aymane Mourid
Aymane Mourid Midfielder
26
Ivan Belikov
Ivan Belikov Midfielder
42
Vladislav Pospelov
Vladislav Pospelov Midfielder
90
Chinonso Offor Nnamdi
Chinonso Offor Nnamdi Attacker
15
Tenton Yenne
Tenton Yenne Attacker
91
Brayan Gil Hurtado
Brayan Gil Hurtado Attacker
69
Irakliy Manelov
Irakliy Manelov Attacker
18
Derik Gean Severino Lacerda
Derik Gean Severino Lacerda Attacker
28
Kirill Nikishin
Kirill Nikishin Attacker
39
Kirill Stepanov
Kirill Stepanov Attacker

Squad ▼

31
Igor Leshchuk
Igor Leshchuk Goalkeeper
99
Andrey Lunev
Andrey Lunev Goalkeeper
47
Andrey Kudravets
Andrey Kudravets Goalkeeper
40
Kurban Rasulov
Kurban Rasulov Goalkeeper
7
Dmitri Skopintsev
Dmitri Skopintsev Defender
19
Baktiyor Zainutdinov
Baktiyor Zainutdinov Defender
55
Maksim Osipenko
Maksim Osipenko Defender
6
Roberto Fernández Urbieta
Roberto Fernández Urbieta Defender
2
Nicolás Marichal
Nicolás Marichal Defender
4
Juan José Cáceres
Juan José Cáceres Defender
44
R. Dias
R. Dias Defender
57
David Ricardo Loiola da Silva
David Ricardo Loiola da Silva Defender
5
Milan Majstorovic
Milan Majstorovic Defender
56
Leon Zaydenzal
Leon Zaydenzal Defender
21
Anton Miranchuk
Anton Miranchuk Midfielder
74
Daniil Fomin
Daniil Fomin Midfielder
24
Luis Gerardo Chávez Magallón
Luis Gerardo Chávez Magallón Midfielder
15
Danil Glebov
Danil Glebov Midfielder
10
João Paulo de Souza Mares
João Paulo de Souza Mares Midfielder
50
Aleksandr Kutitskiy
Aleksandr Kutitskiy Midfielder
88
Viktor Okishor
Viktor Okishor Midfielder
30
Dmitri Aleksandrov
Dmitri Aleksandrov Midfielder
60
Timofey Marinkin
Timofey Marinkin Midfielder
13
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu Attacker
33
Ivan Sergeev
Ivan Sergeev Attacker
11
Arthur Gomes Lourenço
Arthur Gomes Lourenço Attacker
70
Konstantin Tyukavin
Konstantin Tyukavin Attacker
91
Yaroslav Gladyshev
Yaroslav Gladyshev Attacker
14
El Mehdi Maouhoub
El Mehdi Maouhoub Attacker
17
Ulvi Babaev
Ulvi Babaev Attacker

CONCLUSION

Dinamo Moskva head into this fixture with superior power ratings and form, positioning them to exploit Baltika Kaliningrad's vulnerabilities despite the hosts' marginally better league spot. The 16.2-point edge underscores Dinamo's structural dominance, likely translating to control in possession and chance creation. Baltika must harness home advantage at Complexe Sportif Jean Bianchi 1 for a gritty response, focusing on compact defending and quick counters. With limited advanced data, the clash hinges on execution in key areas like midfield battles and finishing. Dinamo's quality should prevail in this tight Premier League tussle, edging a hard-fought victory.