Baldock Town vs AFC Kempston Rovers preview

England flag 2026/2027 FA Cup, England
FA Cup
Baldock TownBATO6
3 0
AFC Kempston RoversKEM
Full Time
Extra Preliminary Round

CONTEXT

Baldock Town hosted AFC Kempston Rovers in a competitive fixture that concluded with a decisive 3-0 victory for the home side. The match remained level at halftime with both teams unable to break the deadlock during the opening forty five minutes. Baldock Town as the stronger side asserted control after the interval and converted their opportunities effectively to secure the clean sheet result. The game featured no red cards and maintained a standard structure throughout the ninety minutes. Possession and chance creation favored the winners in the second half leading to the three unanswered goals. This outcome highlighted Baldock Town's ability to adjust and dominate proceedings after an even first period. The final scoreline reflected their overall superiority on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Baldock Town recorded a significant structural deviation of 100 percent in the match outcome.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's performance.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals expectations could not be evaluated due to unavailable data.
  • Event impact: Baldock Town's 3-0 win after a 0-0 halftime produced a clear event impact on the result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred resulting in zero distortion to game flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Baldock Town Baldock Town
Baldock Town
VS
AFC Kempston Rovers AFC Kempston Rovers
AFC Kempston Rovers
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Baldock Town
AFC Kempston Rovers
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Baldock Town — Opponent-weighted form score
AFC Kempston Rovers — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Baldock Town AFC Kempston Rovers

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Baldock Town

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

AFC Kempston Rovers

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Baldock Town ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AFC Kempston Rovers
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Baldock Town AFC Kempston Rovers
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
— —
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Baldock Town AFC Kempston Rovers
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
— —
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Baldock Town
AFC Kempston Rovers
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Baldock Town
vs
AFC Kempston Rovers
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Baldock Town AFC Kempston Rovers
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Baldock Town 0.00
AFC Kempston Rovers 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Baldock Town AFC Kempston Rovers
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Baldock Town 0.00
AFC Kempston Rovers 0.00
Baldock Town
AFC Kempston Rovers
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 FA Cup, England · Extra Preliminary Round
Stadium
,
Capacity
N/A
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Baldock Town 3-0 AFC Kempston Rovers. Structural assessment: Baldock Town exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.