Bahia vs Vasco da Gama preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Arena Fonte Nova Sun, 9 Aug - 7:00 PM
Serie A
Full Time Sun, 9 Aug 7:00 PM
Round 22 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Bahia hosted Vasco da Gama in a match that finished 0-0. The halftime score stood at 0-0 with both teams level. Bahia recorded 51 percent possession against Vasco da Gama's 49 percent. Expected goals measured 0.75 for Bahia and 0.86 for Vasco da Gama producing a differential of -0.11. The stronger team designation went to Bahia yet the draw prevailed. No red cards occurred for either side. The outcome proved consistent with xG data and market alignment held true. Efficiency remained in line with projections despite a significant structural deviation attributed to Bahia. The game featured limited second half adjustments and maintained balance throughout the ninety minutes.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Bahia recorded a significant structural deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: The 0-0 result proved consistent with the xG differential of -0.11.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome aligned with market expectations for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: Bahia posted 0.75 xG while Vasco da Gama reached 0.86 xG.
  • Event impact: No major events disrupted the balanced flow of the match.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to team structures or dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Pereira de Lima
R. Pereira de Lima
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
F. Chaves Bezerra Junior
F. Chaves Bezerra Junior
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Cavalcanti de Santana
K. Cavalcanti de Santana
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Bauermann
G. Bauermann
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Bahia R. Mücke Ceni
R. Mücke Ceni
VS
Vasco da Gama P. dos Santos Martins Silva
P. dos Santos Martins Silva
1.47
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.11
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fluminense Rank: 69 D
Corinthians Rank: 68 D
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 63 D
Chapecoense Rank: 53 W
Botafogo Rank: 69 W
Coritiba Rank: 60 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Chapecoense Rank: 53 D
Mirassol Rank: 66 D
Vitória Rank: 62 L
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 66 L
Bragantino Rank: 64 L
Internacional Rank: 64 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.66
63.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bahia
Vasco da Gama
Power Score
63.66
63.48
League Position
6
18
Global Rank
466
469

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Bahia Opponent-weighted form score
Vasco da Gama Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bahia Vasco da Gama

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Bahia

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Vasco da Gama

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bahia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vasco da Gama
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.29
33.88
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.88
25.29
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bahia -0.73 Efficiency Index
vs
Vasco da Gama +0.73 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bahia
Vasco da Gama
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bahia
vs
Vasco da Gama
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bahia Vasco da Gama
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
25%
47%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.19 vs -0.41
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bahia Vasco da Gama
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
47%
25%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.41 vs -0.19
Bahia
Vasco da Gama
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Bahia
vs
Vasco da Gama
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bahia Vasco da Gama
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bahia Vasco da Gama
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Bahia
Vasco da Gama
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VAG had peak pressure around 72'.
  • BAH started the game with stronger pressure.
BAH Pressure VAG Pressure
Pressure Index: VAG reached the top pressure at 72' (64.10).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bahia BAH Home
5 matches
Vasco da Gama VAG Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
3
Goals
7
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
7
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-10T07:49:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 09, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 22 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Fonte Nova
Capacity
48902
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima
Francisco Chaves Bezerra Junior
Karla Renata Cavalcanti de Santana
Gustavo Ervino Bauermann

Statistics

Possession
BAH
49%
VAG
51%

Top Statistics

4 Shots 4
38 Dangerous attacks 52
51 Possession 49
4 Corners 6
10 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

79 Ball Safe 75
7 Goal Kicks 8
6 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
20 Throwins 27
14 Successful Headers 11
1 Injuries 6
20 Dribble Attempts 8
4 Successful Dribbles 4
20 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

81 Attacks 112

Possession

51 Long Passes 37
383 Passes 362
319 Successful Passes 298
83 Successful Passes Percentage 82
8 Key Passes 7
27 Successful Long Passes 21
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 57

Defensive

3 Saves 2
10 Tackles 27
18 Interceptions 10
38 Duels Won 55

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 24
4 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

3 Offsides 4
13 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima

Starting XI

1
Ronaldo
Ronaldo Goalkeeper
7.26
21
Santiago Ramos Mingo
7.14
31
Román Gómez
Román Gómez Defender
7.49
33
David Duarte
David Duarte Defender
7.59
46
Luciano Juba
Luciano Juba Defender
6.5
66
Zé Guilherme
Zé Guilherme
Defender46'
6.46
5
Nicolás Acevedo
6.74
6
Jean Lucas
Jean Lucas Midfielder
6.65
8
Caio Alexandre
Caio Alexandre
Midfielder64'
6.6
7
Ademir
Ademir Midfielder
6.43
11
Rodrigo Nestor
Rodrigo Nestor Midfielder
7.28
23
Mateo Sanabria
Mateo Sanabria
Attacker86'
9
Alejo Veliz
Alejo Veliz Attacker
6.55
12
Willian José
Willian José Attacker
6.65
15
Michel Araújo
Michel Araújo
Midfielder64'
6.25
Referee : Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima

Starting XI

1
Léo Jardim
Léo Jardim Goalkeeper
7.07
30
Robert Renan
Robert Renan Defender
7.57
46
Carlos Cuesta
Carlos Cuesta Defender
6.68
4
Alan Saldivia
Alan Saldivia
Defender46'
6.83
66
Cuiabano
Cuiabano Defender
7.63
96
Paulo Henrique
Paulo Henrique Defender
7.06
3
Tchê Tchê
Tchê Tchê Midfielder
7.32
7
David
David Midfielder
6.54
8
Jair
Jair Midfielder
7.15
88
Cauan Barros
Cauan Barros
Midfielder86'
23
Thiago Mendes
Thiago Mendes (C) Midfielder
6.88
28
Adson
Adson Midfielder
7.12
77
Claudio Spinelli
Claudio Spinelli
Attacker72'
6.42
20
Brenner
Brenner Attacker
6.79
18
Marino Hinestroza
6.75

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Offside / Goal Disallowed
90'
Event
Mateo Sanabria Rodrigo Nestor
10th Substitution
86'
86'
Event
Cauan Barros Jair 
9th Substitution
Event
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
76'
74'
Event
8th Substitution
72'
Event
7th Substitution
Event
Caio Alexandre Jean Lucas
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Michel Araújo Willian José 
6th Substitution
64'
Event
Zé Guilherme Luciano Juba
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Marino Hinestroza Brenner
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Alan Saldivia Carlos Cuesta
4th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
1st Substitution
43'
37'
Event
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
23'
Event
Goal disallowed

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Mateo Sanabria takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision results in a disallowed goal for Mateo Sanabria due to offside.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
89
Update Update
Offside.
87
Attempt Attempt
Danilo das Neves Pinheiro Tche Tche takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Update Update
Mateo Sanabria replaces Rodrigo Nestor.
86
Update Update
Cauan Barros is on, and Jair Rodrigues Junior is off.
84
Attempt Attempt
David de Duarte Macedo takes a shot, but it is blocked.
84
Update Update
Michel Araujo's header is blocked.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Attempt Attempt
Cuiabano takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
82
Attempt Attempt
Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Update Update
On Ramon Rique replaces David Correa da Fonseca.
72
Update Update
Claudio Spinelli comes on for Adson Ferreira Soares.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Attempt Attempt
Paulo Henrique Alves takes a left-footed shot but misses.
66
Attempt Attempt
Jair Rodrigues Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Michel Araujo comes on for Willian Jose.
64
Substitution Substitution
Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva is substituted for Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira.
63
Update Update
Offside.
62
Attempt Attempt
Danilo das Neves Pinheiro Tche Tche takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
Update Update
Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro's header is blocked.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Attempt Attempt
Roman Gomez takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Attempt Attempt
Roman Gomez attempts a header but misses the shot.
53
Attempt Attempt
Robert Renan takes a left-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Danilo das Neves Pinheiro Tche Tche takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Nestor takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Update Update
On comes Ze Guilherme, and off goes Luciano Batista da Silva Junior.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alan Saldivia comes on for Carlos Eccehomo Cuesta Figueroa.
46
Update Update
Marino Hinestroza Angulo comes on for Brenner Souza da Silva.
44
Update Update
Offside.
43
Update Update
Kaue Junior comes on for Ademir Santos.
39
Attempt Attempt
Ademir Santos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Danilo das Neves Pinheiro Tche Tche takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolas Acevedo receives a yellow card.
35
Update Update
Offside.
34
Update Update
Offside.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Cuiabano.
21
Update Update
Offside.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision is pending for a goal.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Adson Ferreira Soares takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
18
Attempt Attempt
Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira takes a right-footed shot but misses.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
David Correa da Fonseca takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Alejo Veliz takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Attempt Attempt
Jair Rodrigues Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Cuiabano takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Update Update
Offside.
1
Attempt Attempt
Ademir Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
1
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Alejo Veliz with his left foot is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw between Bahia and Vasco da Gama reflected a tightly contested encounter where chance creation stayed modest on both sides. Possession edges and xG figures pointed to a narrow away advantage that failed to translate into goals. Consistency between expected outcomes and the actual result underscored the absence of major turning points. With no red cards issued the match avoided any structural imbalances that could have shifted momentum. Efficiency metrics aligned closely with projections leaving little room for variance analysis. The significant deviation noted for Bahia did not prevent the draw from materializing as predicted by underlying data. Overall the fixture highlighted defensive organization over attacking penetration across both halves.