Auxerre vs Nice preview

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps Sun, 10 May - 7:00 PM
Ligue 1
AuxerreAUX
NiceNCE
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 7:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Auxerre hosts Nice at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps in a pivotal Ligue 1 regular season encounter from the 2025/2026 campaign. Both sides hover near the relegation zone, with Auxerre in 16th and Nice just above in 15th, making every point vital. Nice possesses a slim power advantage, rated at 72.57 to Auxerre's 70.27, translating to a 2.3-point edge that underscores their overall quality. However, Auxerre's recent form shines brighter at 18.94 compared to Nice's 12.11, suggesting the hosts could channel momentum into a strong home display. Lacking detailed efficiency or set-piece metrics due to unavailable xG data, this matchup hinges on broader trends and execution. Auxerre's home-ground familiarity might counter Nice's structural superiority, setting up a tense affair where defensive solidity and opportunistic attacks will decide the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Nice enjoys a 2.3-point power advantage over Auxerre, with scores of 72.57 versus 70.27.
  • Form: Auxerre leads in recent form at 18.94, surpassing Nice's 12.11.
  • Squad: Squad details remain unspecified for both teams in this preview.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics are not available for analysis.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics have not been provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables absent as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Auxerre 40.3% (Δ+0.4%) | Draw 28% (Δ+0.1%) | Nice 31.7% (Δ-0.5%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Auxerre C. Pélissier
C. Pélissier
VS
Nice C. Puel
C. Puel
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.7
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Angers SCO Rank: 68 W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 81 L
Monaco Rank: 79 D
Nantes Rank: 67 D
Le Havre Rank: 68 D
Brest Rank: 73 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lens Rank: 82 D
Olympique Marseille Rank: 80 D
LOSC Lille Rank: 80 D
Le Havre Rank: 68 D
Strasbourg Rank: 77 L
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 95 L
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 5 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Auxerre
40.27%
Draw
27.98%
Away Nice
31.74%

Movement

Changes since opening
Auxerre
+0.36%
Draw
+0.08%
Nice
-0.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.27
72.57
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Auxerre
Nice
Power Score
70.27
72.57
League Position
16
15
Global Rank
204
153

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Auxerre — Opponent-weighted form score
Nice — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Auxerre Nice

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Auxerre AUX Home
19 matches
Nice NCE Away
Match Record
8
Wins
6
5
Draws
5
6
Losses
8
Goals
19
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
19
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:38:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
T. De Percin
Martinique
40 T. De Percin
L. Sy
France
27 L. Sy
S. Diomande
Ivory Coast
20 S. Diomande
B. Okoh
Switzerland
24 B. Okoh
G. Mensah
Ghana
14 G. Mensah
N. Ahamada
France
8 N. Ahamada
E. Owusu
Ghana
42 E. Owusu
K. Danois
France
5 K. Danois
L. Sinayoko
Mali
10 L. Sinayoko
S. Mara
France
9 S. Mara
J. Casimir
Guadeloupe
7 J. Casimir

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Capacity
18541
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
François Letexier
Cyril Mugnier
Mehdi Rahmouni
Gaël Angoula

Lineup

Referee : François Letexier

Starting XI ▼

40
Théo De Percin
Théo De Percin Goalkeeper
6.63
14
Gideon Mensah
Gideon Mensah Defender
6.68
20
Sinaly Diomandé
Sinaly Diomandé Defender
6.85
24
Bryan Okoh
Bryan Okoh Defender
7.09
27
Lamine Sy
Lamine Sy Defender
6.64
5
Kévin Danois
Kévin Danois Midfielder
7.09
8
Naouirou Ahamada
Naouirou Ahamada Midfielder
6.67
42
Elisha Owusu
Elisha Owusu Midfielder
6.73
7
Josué Casimir
Josué Casimir Attacker
6.67
9
Sékou Mara
Sékou Mara Attacker
6.81
10
Lassine Sinayoko
Lassine Sinayoko Attacker
7.14
Referee : François Letexier

Starting XI ▼

80
Yehvann Diouf
Yehvann Diouf Goalkeeper
7.02
20
Tom Louchet
Tom Louchet Defender
6.8
26
Melvin Bard
Melvin Bard Defender
6.78
28
Juma Bah
Juma Bah Defender
6.8
33
Antoine Mendy
Antoine Mendy Defender
6.69
37
Kojo Peprah Oppong
Kojo Peprah Oppong Defender
6.79
6
Hicham Boudaoui
Hicham Boudaoui Midfielder
6.76
8
Morgan Sanson
Morgan Sanson Midfielder
6.58
10
Sofiane Diop
Sofiane Diop Midfielder
6.95
32
Kaïl Boudache
Kaïl Boudache Midfielder
6.54
25
Mohamed-Ali Cho
Mohamed-Ali Cho Attacker
6.79

CONCLUSION

This Ligue 1 showdown pits Auxerre's superior form against Nice's power edge in a relegation scrap at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps. Home advantage could propel the 16th-placed hosts to exploit Nice's dip, yet the visitors' 2.3-point superiority hints at resilience. Without granular efficiency or set-piece insights, expect a cagey battle emphasizing organization and key moments. Auxerre's momentum positions them well for a potential upset, but Nice's quality might prevail if they control transitions effectively. A draw looms as plausible given tight league standings.