Austria Wien vs LASK Linz preview
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The game unfolded at Austria Wien's home ground where LASK Linz emerged victorious with a final score of 0-3. Halftime saw Austria Wien trailing 0-1 after LASK scored the opener. Throughout the match, Austria Wien maintained a higher possession rate of 57 percent but struggled to create meaningful opportunities, registering just 0.8 in expected goals. In contrast, LASK Linz utilized their 43 percent possession more effectively to generate 1.9 expected goals and net three goals. As the pre-identified stronger side, LASK Linz demonstrated superior quality and clinical finishing. The absence of any red cards meant both teams played with their full squads for the entire duration. The outcome proved consistent with the underlying metrics and showcased LASK's dominance.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Austria Wien 0-3 LASK Linz. LASK Linz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the expected match progression.
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xG alignment: The final result aligned perfectly with the xG values of 0.8 for Austria Wien and 1.9 for LASK Linz.
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Market alignment: The outcome was consistent with pre-match alignments for the stronger team.
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xG expectations: LASK Linz met and exceeded xG expectations through effective chance conversion.
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Event impact: The first half goal had a substantial impact on the subsequent match events.
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Red card distortion: No red cards were present, resulting in zero distortion from disciplinary actions.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
Movement
Changes since opening
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
Team Power Ranking
i
63.64
69.57
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Austria Wien
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Austria Wien
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Austria Wien
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
Austria Wien
LASK Linz
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- ASK had peak pressure around 40'.
- FAK started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-05-18T09:02:06+00:00
STARTING XI


General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼

































Match Commentary