Australia vs Türkiye preview
World Cup
Türkiye
TUR
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Australia defeated Türkiye 2-0 with the halftime score standing at 1-0. The match featured Australia controlling just 28 percent of possession while Türkiye dominated with 72 percent. Despite this imbalance Australia converted opportunities effectively to secure the win. The expected goals stood at 0.66 for Australia and 1.98 for Türkiye resulting in a differential of negative 1.32. This outcome diverged from the xG projections as the result did not align with those figures. No red cards were shown in the game. The pre-match indicators pointed to a substantial deviation of 80.4 percent for Australia. The efficiency remained in line throughout the contest. The absence of any dismissals meant the game proceeded without such distortions. Overall the structural elements highlighted Australia's ability to overcome possession disadvantages.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Australia recorded a significant 80.4 percent deviation in the match outcome.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with established patterns for the teams.
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xG alignment: xG alignment showed inconsistency as the 2-0 score did not match the 0.66 to 1.98 expected goals.
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Market alignment: Market alignment was absent given the result against pre-match indicators.
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xG expectations: xG expectations positioned Türkiye ahead with 1.98 against Australia's 0.66.
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Event impact: The 1-0 halftime score contributed to the eventual 2-0 final result.
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Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role with zero dismissals recorded.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Australia
Türkiye
Movement
Changes since opening
Australia
Türkiye
Team Power Ranking
i
55.56
52.78
Australia
Türkiye
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Australia
Türkiye
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Australia
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Australia
Australia
Türkiye
Australia
Türkiye
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Australia
Australia
Türkiye
Australia
Türkiye
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- TUR had peak pressure around 83'.
- TUR started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-15T00:00:18+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Australia
vs
United States
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Fri, 19 Jun - 7:00 PM
Venue: Seattle Stadium
Türkiye
vs
Paraguay
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 20 Jun - 3:00 AM
Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary