Auda vs FCSB preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs Thu, 30 Jul - 4:00 PM
Europa Conference League
AudaAUD
4 1
FCSBFSB
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 4:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 7 - 3
Barthélémy Diedhiou - 45+2', 67'
Kader Kone - 84'
Tin Hrvoj - 90+3'
Goal
|
Goal
João Paulo - 58'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Auda 4–1 FCSB. The result saw Auda take the points. Auda showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 49%–51%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Auda 4-1 FCSB. Auda showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's established patterns.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to assess outcome alignment.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals metrics were not recorded for this fixture.
  • Event impact: Second half adjustments produced the decisive three goal margin.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards left match dynamics undistorted.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Owen
T. Owen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Bryant
J. Bryant
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Edwards
L. Edwards
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. McInch
A. McInch
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Auda D. Zanetti
D. Zanetti
VS
FCSB M. Baciu
M. Baciu
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
FCSB Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Auda Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Auda
95.53%
Draw
3.29%
Away FCSB
1.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Auda
FCSB
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Auda — Opponent-weighted form score
FCSB — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Auda FCSB

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Auda

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FCSB

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Auda ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FCSB
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.57
42.75
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
42.75
33.57
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Auda -0.86 Efficiency Index
vs
FCSB +0.86 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Auda
FCSB
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Auda ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FCSB
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Auda FCSB
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Auda FCSB
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Auda
FCSB
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Auda
vs
FCSB
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Auda FCSB
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Auda 0.29
FCSB 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Auda FCSB
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Auda 0.01
FCSB 0.08
Auda
FCSB
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FSB had peak pressure around 60'.
  • FSB started the game with stronger pressure.
  • Both teams' pressure dropped after the 30th minute.
AUD Pressure FSB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FSB reached the top pressure at 60' (43.12).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Auda AUD Home
1 matches
FCSB FSB Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:01:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 7 - 3
Stadium
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
Capacity
8207
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tom Owen
Johnathan Bryant
Lewiss Edwards
Alex McInch

Statistics

Possession
AUD
44%
FSB
56%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
4 Shots 10
49 Dangerous attacks 76
49 Possession 51
4 Corners 4
13 Free kicks 12
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 4
12 Throwins 34

Attacking

90 Attacks 104

Discipline

1 Offsides 4
9 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Tom Owen

Starting XI ▼

98
Nils Purins
Nils Purins Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Tin Hrvoj
Tin Hrvoj Defender
6.45
4
Moussa Ouedraogo
Moussa Ouedraogo Defender
6.26
71
Oskars Rubenis
Oskars Rubenis Defender
6.26
80
Sebastián Aranda
Sebastián Aranda
Defender64'
6.5
8
Edvin Bongemba
Edvin Bongemba Midfielder
6.37
23
Mohamoud Fofana
Mohamoud Fofana
Attacker82'
6.5
10
Wally Fofana
Wally Fofana Midfielder
6.37
17
Eduards Daskevics
Eduards Daskevics (C) Midfielder
6.48
7
Andrews Appiah
Andrews Appiah
Attacker66'
6.59
18
Ariel Arroyo
Ariel Arroyo Midfielder
6.33
20
Youba Traoré
Youba Traoré Midfielder
6.33
25
Barthélémy Diedhiou
Barthélémy Diedhiou Midfielder
2
6.99
6
Ralfs Kragliks
Ralfs Kragliks
Defender86'
47
Kader Kone
Kader Kone Attacker
6.82
Referee : Tom Owen

Starting XI ▼

32
Ștefan Târnovanu
Ștefan Târnovanu Goalkeeper
5.38
2
Valentin Crețu
Valentin Crețu Defender
6.26
90
Alexandru Stoian
Alexandru Stoian
Attacker46'
6.38
3
André Duarte
André Duarte Defender
5.7
4
Ricardo Pădurariu
Ricardo Pădurariu Defender
5.7
5
Joyskim Dawa
Joyskim Dawa Defender
5.69
33
Risto Radunovic
Risto Radunovic Defender
6.26
18
João Paulo
João Paulo
Midfielder46'
6.37
7
Octavian Popescu
Octavian Popescu Midfielder
6.23
10
Florin Tănase
Florin Tănase (C) Midfielder
6.27
8
Eddy Gnahoré
Eddy Gnahoré
Midfielder77'
6.27
28
Aymen Boutoutaou
Aymen Boutoutaou Midfielder
6.27
22
Mihai Toma
Mihai Toma
Midfielder67'
6.27
31
Juri Cisotti
Juri Cisotti Midfielder
6.09
9
Daniel Bîrligea
Daniel Bîrligea Attacker
6.35

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Tin Hrvoj
Field Goal / 5th Goal
90+3'
90+3'
Event
Octavian Popescu
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Ralfs Kragliks → Barthélémy Diedhiou
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Kader Kone
Field Goal / 4th Goal
84'
Event
Mohamoud Fofana → Edvin Bongemba
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Youba Traoré
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
82'
77'
Event
Eddy Gnahoré → Florin Tănase 
6th Substitution
Event
Barthélémy Diedhiou
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
67'
67'
Event
Mihai Toma → Aymen Boutoutaou
5th Substitution
Event
Andrews Appiah → Eduards Daskevics 
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Sebastián Aranda → Oskars Rubenis
3rd Substitution
64'
58'
Event
João Paulo
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Barthélémy Diedhiou
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
46'
Event
João Paulo → Risto Radunovic
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Alexandru Stoian → Valentin Crețu
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Barthélémy Diedhiou
Field Goal / 1st Goal
45+2'
34'
Event
Joyskim Dawa
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ariel Arroyo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
33'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Octavian George Popescu.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Octavian George Popescu.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Hrvoj Tin scores, making it 4-1.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Update Update
On Ralfs Kragliks, off Barthelemy Diedhiou.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kader Kone scores, making it 3-1.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Youba Traore receives a yellow card.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Youba Traore receives a yellow card.
77
Update Update
Eddy Gnahore comes on for Florin Lucian Tanase.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Barthelemy Diedhiou scores, making it 2-1.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Barthelemy Diedhiou scores to make it 2-1.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Update Update
On comes Andrews Appiah, off goes Eduards Daskevics.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Joao Paulo Moreira Fernandes scores, bringing the match to 1-1.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Barthelemy Diedhiou.
46
Update Update
Joao Paulo Moreira Fernandes is on, and Risto Radunovic is off.
46
Update Update
Alexandru Constantin Stoian is on, and Valentin Cretu is off.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Joyskim Dawa Tchakonte.
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ariel Arroyo receives a yellow card.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Tom Owen.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Auda 4-1 FCSB. Structural assessment: Auda exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.