Atlético Tucumán vs Sarmiento preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Atlético TucumánATU
1 2
SarmientoSARM
Full Time
Round 4 2nd Phase
Goal
|
Goal
Junior Marabel - 69' (P)

CONTEXT

Sarmiento claimed a 2-1 victory over Atlético Tucumán after a scoreless first half. The home side controlled 55 percent of possession and posted 1.01 expected goals yet fell short against an away team that registered 1.3 xG. The final margin aligned with the negative 0.29 xG differential recorded by the stronger side. No red cards disrupted proceedings and the even halftime score of 0-0 gave way to a decisive second-half shift. Sarmiento produced a significant deviation from expectations to secure the three points on the road. The outcome remained consistent with underlying metrics throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Atlético Tucumán 1-2 Sarmiento. Sarmiento showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment favored Sarmiento at 1.3 against 1.01 for Atlético Tucumán.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true with the recorded result.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were met as the away side outperformed slightly.
  • Event impact: Event impact stayed minimal with no major disruptions.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent with zero dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Rey Hilfer
L. Rey Hilfer
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Scime
A. Scime
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Marcelo Errante
Marcelo Errante
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Silcan Jerez
M. Silcan Jerez
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Atlético Tucumán J. Falcioni
J. Falcioni
VS
Sarmiento F. Sava
F. Sava
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Huracán Rank: 66 D
Central Cordoba SdE Rank: 63 W
Independiente Rivadavia Rank: 72 D
River Plate Rank: 68 W
Banfield Rank: 60 D
Argentinos Juniors Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Independiente Rivadavia Rank: 73 W
Banfield Rank: 59 L
Argentinos Juniors Rank: 70 L
Belgrano Rank: 68 L
Tigre Rank: 66 W
Rosario Central Rank: 69 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.84
59.52
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Atlético Tucumán
Sarmiento
Power Score
61.84
59.52
League Position
13
11
Global Rank
531
592

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Atlético Tucumán — Opponent-weighted form score
Sarmiento — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atlético Tucumán Sarmiento

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Atlético Tucumán

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sarmiento

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Atlético Tucumán ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sarmiento
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.00
28.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.00
27.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Atlético Tucumán -0.09 Efficiency Index
vs
Sarmiento +0.09 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Atlético Tucumán
Sarmiento
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Atlético Tucumán
vs
Sarmiento
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Atlético Tucumán Sarmiento
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
61%
73%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.62 vs +0.05
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Atlético Tucumán Sarmiento
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
73%
61%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.05 vs -0.62
Atlético Tucumán
Sarmiento
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Atlético Tucumán
vs
Sarmiento
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Atlético Tucumán Sarmiento
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Atlético Tucumán 0.21
Sarmiento 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Atlético Tucumán Sarmiento
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Atlético Tucumán 0.06
Sarmiento 0.02
Atlético Tucumán
Sarmiento
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ATU had peak pressure around 18'.
  • ATU started the game with stronger pressure.
ATU Pressure SARM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ATU reached the top pressure at 18' (65.81).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Atlético Tucumán ATU Home
4 matches
Sarmiento SARM Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
2
Goals
9
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
9
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-09T00:34:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 4 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
Capacity
35200
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Leandro Rey Hilfer
Ariel Scime
Marcelo Errante
Maximiliano Silcan Jerez

Statistics

Possession
ATU
53%
SARM
47%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 3
57 Dangerous attacks 32
55 Possession 45
13 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

91 Ball Safe 107
0 Penalties 1
10 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5
26 Throwins 19
1 Assists 0
9 Dribble Attempts 9
8 Successful Dribbles 9
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

81 Attacks 83

Possession

22 Long Passes 23
303 Passes 259
196 Successful Passes 137
75 Successful Passes Percentage 66
10 Key Passes 5

Defensive

3 Saves 5
7 Tackles 11
6 Interceptions 9
58 Duels Won 62

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

4 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Leandro Rey Hilfer

Starting XI ▼

1
Luis Ingolotti
Luis Ingolotti Goalkeeper
6.57
3
Maximiliano Villa
Maximiliano Villa Defender
6.16
27
Rodrigo Granillo
Rodrigo Granillo
Attacker81'
6.61
21
Ignacio Galván
Ignacio Galván Defender
6.9
2
Ramiro Paunero
Ramiro Paunero
Defender90'
6.42
26
Clever Ferreira
Clever Ferreira Defender
7.08
36
Luciano Vallejo
Luciano Vallejo Defender
7.22
5
Julián Fernández
Julián Fernández Midfielder
7.19
10
Franco Nicola
Franco Nicola Midfielder
6.14
30
Manuel Brondo
Manuel Brondo
Attacker72'
6.56
11
Renzo Tesuri
Renzo Tesuri (C) Midfielder
5.88
24
Leonel Di Plácido
Leonel Di Plácido
Defender81'
6.64
23
Nicolás Laméndola
Nicolás Laméndola Midfielder
6.26
—
Nicolás Laméndola
80'
31
Lautaro Godoy
Lautaro Godoy Midfielder
6.8
18
Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez
Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez Attacker
6.97
Referee : Leandro Rey Hilfer

Starting XI ▼

12
Thyago Ayala
Thyago Ayala Goalkeeper
7.46
2
Juan Manuel Insaurralde
Juan Manuel Insaurralde (C) Defender
6.56
6
Gastón Arturia
Gastón Arturia
Defender61'
6.75
3
Lucas Suárez
Lucas Suárez Defender
6.9
8
Santiago Salle
Santiago Salle Defender
6.2
44
Renzo Orihuela
Renzo Orihuela Defender
6.88
15
Cristian Zabala
Cristian Zabala Midfielder
6.61
16
Mauricio Martínez
Mauricio Martínez Midfielder
6.48
19
Julián Contrera
Julián Contrera Midfielder
6.4
20
Ulises Giménez
Ulises Giménez
Defender61'
6.49
21
Julián Mavilla
Julián Mavilla Midfielder
8.58
22
Gastón González
Gastón González
Attacker80'
6.49
24
Jonathan Herrera
Jonathan Herrera Attacker
6.57
9
Diego Churín
Diego Churín
Attacker61'
6.48
27
Junior Marabel
Junior Marabel Attacker
6.59
33
Gabriel Díaz
Gabriel Díaz
Defender89'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Santiago Salle
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ramiro Paunero → Ignacio Galván
10th Substitution
90'
89'
Event
Gabriel Díaz → Junior Marabel
9th Substitution
Event
Luciano Vallejo
Header / 2nd Goal
82'
Event
Rodrigo Granillo → Maximiliano Villa
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Leonel Di Plácido → Renzo Tesuri
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Alexis Canelo → Nicolás Laméndola
5th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Gastón González → Julián Mavilla
6th Substitution
Event
Manuel Brondo → Franco Nicola
4th Substitution
72'
71'
Event
Julián Mavilla
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
69'
Event
Junior Marabel
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
61'
Event
Gastón Arturia → Juan Manuel Insaurralde 
1st Substitution
61'
Event
Diego Churín → Jonathan Herrera
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Ulises Giménez → Julián Contrera
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Mauricio Martínez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Clever Domingo Ferreira Namandu takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Santiago Salle receives a yellow card.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Clever Domingo Ferreira Namandu takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Update Update
Ramiro Paunero is on, and Ignacio Galvan is off.
88
Update Update
Gabriel Diaz replaces Junior Marabel.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Update Update
Rodrigo Granillo comes on for Maxi Villa.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Luciano Vallejo Head Shot Goal
81
Update Update
Leonel Di Placido comes on for Renzo Ivan Tesuri.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Leonel Di Placido is on, and Renzo Ivan Tesuri is off.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Luciano Vallejo scores, making it 1-2.
79
Update Update
Gaston Gonzalez comes on for Julian Mavilla.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Update Update
Renzo Ivan Tesuri's header is blocked.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Update Update
Renzo Ivan Tesuri's header is blocked.
72
Attempt Attempt
Ignacio Galvan takes a left-footed shot but misses.
71
Substitution Substitution
Manuel Brondo is substituted for Franco Nicola.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Julian Mavilla takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Corner awarded.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Julian Mavilla scores, making it 0-2.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Junior Marabel scores with a right-footed shot.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Junior Marabel scores, making it 0-1.
66
Attempt Attempt
Junior Marabel takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Martinez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Update Update
Offside.
61
Update Update
Diego Churin Puyo comes on for Jonathan Carlos Herrera.
61
Substitution Substitution
Ulises Gimenez is substituted off for Julian Contrera.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Gaston Arturia comes on for Juan Manuel Insaurralde.
56
Update Update
Offside.
51
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Martinez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Attempt Attempt
Franco Nicola takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Julian Contrera takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Suarez takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Mauricio Martinez.
37
Attempt Attempt
Renzo Miguel Orihuela Barcos takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez with his right foot is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Renzo Ivan Tesuri takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Attempt Attempt
Junior Marabel takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Attempt Attempt
Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez attempts a header but misses the shot.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Attempt Attempt
Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez attempts a header but misses the shot.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Attempt Attempt
Clever Domingo Ferreira Namandu takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Update Update
Offside.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Leandro Rey Hilfer.

CONCLUSION

Sarmiento overturned pre-match expectations by defeating Atlético Tucumán 2-1 despite the home side entering as the stronger team. A goalless opening period gave way to a second half where the visitors converted their slight xG edge into a winning margin. Possession favored the hosts yet failed to translate into the required goal return. The absence of red cards kept the contest balanced and allowed both teams to maintain their structures. This result illustrates how underlying numbers can override nominal team strength on any given day. Sarmiento leaves with maximum points while Atlético Tucumán must reflect on missed opportunities.