Atlético Tucumán vs Independiente Rivadavia preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Full Time
Round 1 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Atlético Tucumán hosted Independiente Rivadavia in a match that concluded with a 0-0 scoreline after a goalless first half. Atlético Tucumán held 40 percent possession while Independiente Rivadavia controlled 60 percent. Expected goals stood at 0.23 for the home side and 0.98 for the visitors creating a differential of minus 0.75. No red cards were shown to either team. The stronger side according to pre match indicators was Independiente Rivadavia yet the result remained a draw. The outcome proved inconsistent with the expected goals distribution. A significant deviation of 100 percent was recorded for Independiente Rivadavia. Efficiency metrics aligned with observed patterns throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Independiente Rivadavia recorded a 100 percent significant deviation from expected performance.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics remained in line with observed patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The 0-0 draw outcome was inconsistent with the 0.23 to 0.98 xG distribution.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with pre match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Independiente Rivadavia generated higher xG at 0.98 compared to Atlético Tucumán at 0.23.
  • Event impact: The 0-0 scoreline at halftime remained unchanged through the second half.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to alter match dynamics or team structures.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
?. Carranza
?. Carranza
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Horticolou
M. Horticolou
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Balmaceda
E. Balmaceda
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Ceballo
C. Ceballo
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
0.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.94
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
River Plate Rank: 71 W
Banfield Rank: 59 D
Argentinos Juniors Rank: 71 L
Tigre Rank: 64 D
Rosario Central Rank: 69 L
Gimnasia La Plata Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Unión Santa Fe Rank: 63 L
Aldosivi Rank: 56 D
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Rank: 62 W
Banfield Rank: 59 D
Argentinos Juniors Rank: 71 W
Tigre Rank: 64 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.18
71.52
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Atlético Tucumán
Independiente Rivadavia
Power Score
61.18
71.52
League Position
13
9
Global Rank
526
226

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Atlético Tucumán Opponent-weighted form score
Independiente Rivadavia Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atlético Tucumán Independiente Rivadavia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Atlético Tucumán

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Independiente Rivadavia

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Atlético Tucumán ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Independiente Rivadavia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.00
19.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
19.00
20.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Atlético Tucumán +0.09 Efficiency Index
vs
Independiente Rivadavia -0.09 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Atlético Tucumán
Independiente Rivadavia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Atlético Tucumán
vs
Independiente Rivadavia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Atlético Tucumán Independiente Rivadavia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
63%
22%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.15 vs -0.21
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Atlético Tucumán Independiente Rivadavia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
22%
63%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.21 vs -0.15
Atlético Tucumán
Independiente Rivadavia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Atlético Tucumán
vs
Independiente Rivadavia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Atlético Tucumán Independiente Rivadavia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Atlético Tucumán Independiente Rivadavia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Atlético Tucumán
Independiente Rivadavia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ATU had peak pressure around 6'.
  • ATU started the game with stronger pressure.
ATU Pressure INR Pressure
Pressure Index: ATU reached the top pressure at 6' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Atlético Tucumán ATU Home
2 matches
Independiente Rivadavia INR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-27T00:04:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-3-2

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 1 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
Capacity
35200
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Álvaro Carranza
Martín Horticolou
Ezequiel Balmaceda
César Ceballo

Statistics

Possession
ATU
44%
INR
56%

Top Statistics

2 Shots 4
60 Dangerous attacks 48
40 Possession 60
4 Corners 6
15 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

68 Ball Safe 64
8 Goal Kicks 9
2 Goal Attempts 7
4 Substitutions 5
34 Throwins 23
16 Dribble Attempts 15
10 Successful Dribbles 4
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27

Attacking

65 Attacks 109

Possession

49 Long Passes 58
227 Passes 359
153 Successful Passes 283
67 Successful Passes Percentage 79
4 Key Passes 5
17 Successful Long Passes 26
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45

Defensive

3 Saves 1
22 Tackles 11
13 Interceptions 9
64 Duels Won 48

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 22
5 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Álvaro Carranza

Starting XI

1
Luis Ingolotti
Luis Ingolotti Goalkeeper
7.25
2
Lucas Ramiro Paunero
6.76
24
Leonel Di Plácido
6.43
3
Maximiliano Villa
7.35
26
Clever Ferreira
Clever Ferreira Defender
7.28
36
Luciano Andrés Vallejo
6.97
10
Franco Nicola
Franco Nicola Midfielder
6.63
22
Facundo Pimienta
Facundo Pimienta
Attacker81'
6.64
19
Cesar Leonel Vega
Cesar Leonel Vega Midfielder
7.2
31
Lautaro Godoy
Lautaro Godoy Midfielder
7.34
45
Kevin Ortiz
Kevin Ortiz
Midfielder90+5'
9
Leandro Díaz
Leandro Díaz Attacker
6.62
11
Renzo Tesuri
Renzo Tesuri (C) Attacker
6.61
23
Nicolás Laméndola
6.84
18
Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez
6.53
Referee : Álvaro Carranza

Starting XI

30
Nicolás Bolcato
Nicolás Bolcato Goalkeeper
6.69
2
Leonard Costa
Leonard Costa Defender
6.99
3
Juan Elordi
Juan Elordi Defender
6.93
14
Luciano Gómez
Luciano Gómez Defender
6.99
20
Alessandro Riep
Alessandro Riep
Midfielder87'
40
Iván Villalba
Iván Villalba Defender
6.68
5
Tomás Bottari
Tomás Bottari
Midfielder76'
6.63
42
Sheyko Studer
Sheyko Studer Defender
6.82
8
Leonel Bucca
Leonel Bucca Midfielder
6.69
11
Gonzalo Ríos
Gonzalo Ríos
Midfielder64'
6.62
10
Matías Fernández
Matías Fernández Midfielder
6.42
19
Rodrigo Atencio
Rodrigo Atencio
Attacker87'
25
José Florentín
José Florentín Midfielder
7.01
9
Álex Arce
Álex Arce (C) Attacker
6.53
43
Fabrizio Sartori
Fabrizio Sartori Attacker
6.52
77
Luis Sequeira
Luis Sequeira
Midfielder76'
6.7

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kevin Ortiz Lautaro Godoy
9th Substitution
90+5'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+4'
88'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
87'
Event
Rodrigo Atencio Matías Fernández
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Alessandro Riep Luciano Gómez
8th Substitution
Event
Facundo Pimienta Franco Nicola
5th Substitution
81'
Event
Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez  Nicolás Laméndola
6th Substitution
81'
76'
Event
Tomás Bottari Iván Villalba
3rd Substitution
76'
Event
Luis Sequeira Fabrizio Sartori
4th Substitution
Event
Leonel Di Plácido Lucas Ramiro Paunero
2nd Substitution
69'
64'
Event
Gonzalo Ríos Leonel Bucca
1st Substitution
55'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
On Kevin Ortiz,Off Lautaro Agustin Godoy
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alex Adrian Arce Barrios Right Footed Shot Missed
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Leonel Vega
90
Corner Corner
Corner
89
Update Update
Offside
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Alex Adrian Arce Barrios
87
Update Update
On Rodrigo Atencio,Off Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez
87
Update Update
On Alessandro Riep,Off Luciano Gomez
81
Update Update
On Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez,Off Nicolas Lamendola
81
Update Update
On Facundo Pimienta,Off Franco Nicola
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leonard Costa Head Shot Missed
80
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Juan Manuel Elordi Left Footed Shot Blocked
80
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Juan Manuel Elordi Left Footed Shot Blocked
80
Corner Corner
Corner
76
Update Update
On Luis Sequeira,Off Fabrizio Sartori
76
Update Update
On Tomas Bottari,Off Ivan Villalba
72
Corner Corner
Corner
69
Update Update
On Leonel Di Placido,Off Ramiro Paunero
69
Corner Corner
Corner
64
Update Update
On Gonzalo Rios,Off Leonel Bucca
63
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Franco Nicola Head Shot Missed
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lautaro Agustin Godoy Right Footed Shot Missed
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lautaro Agustin Godoy Right Footed Shot Missed
58
Update Update
Offside
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Ivan Villalba
49
Corner Corner
Corner
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez Right Footed Shot Blocked
45
Corner Corner
Corner
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez Right Footed Shot Blocked
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Fabrizio Sartori Right Footed Shot Missed
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alex Adrian Arce Barrios Right Footed Shot Blocked
36
Update Update
Offside
23
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Maxi Villa Head Shot Blocked
16
Corner Corner
Corner
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lautaro Agustin Godoy Right Footed Shot Blocked
13
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leonel Bucca Left Footed Shot Saved
11
Update Update
Offside
10
Corner Corner
Corner
5
Corner Corner
Corner
3
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leandro Diaz Head Shot Saved
3
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee:Alvaro Carranza

CONCLUSION

The match between Atlético Tucumán and Independiente Rivadavia ended in a 0-0 draw despite clear differences in expected goals and possession. Independiente Rivadavia maintained greater control of the ball at 60 percent and created more scoring opportunities according to xG figures yet failed to convert them into goals. Atlético Tucumán defended effectively to secure the point despite lower possession and xG output. The absence of red cards allowed both sides to complete the fixture with full complements. Efficiency remained consistent with patterns observed during the game. The result aligned with market expectations even as xG suggested a different outcome. This draw highlights how actual results can diverge from underlying metrics in tightly contested encounters.