Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Arena MRV Sun, 16 Aug - 7:00 PM
Serie A
Atlético MineiroAMN
GrêmioGRE
KICKOFF : Sun, 16 Aug - 7:00 PM
Round 23 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Atlético Mineiro welcomes Grêmio to Arena MRV for a Serie A regular season encounter in 2026. The home side occupies eleventh place domestically while the visitors sit fourteenth. Power ratings place the hosts marginally ahead at 65.58 to 64.21, yielding a 1.4-point edge that designates Atlético Mineiro the stronger unit. Form scores reflect a clearer home advantage, with 25.28 registered against an away mark of 18.33. Both clubs operate without recent outing details, leaving preparation assessments reliant on season-long indicators. Set-piece metrics carry low confidence and rely on proxies, limiting granular insight into dead-ball phases. Overall structural balance suggests a tight contest between mid-table sides seeking to improve their standing.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Atlético Mineiro sits eleventh domestically while Grêmio occupies fourteenth place.
  • Form: Atlético Mineiro posts a form score of 25.28 against Grêmio's 18.33.
  • Squad: Atlético Mineiro carries the stronger designation with a power rating of 65.58 to 64.21.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for either side ahead of the fixture.
  • Transition: A narrow 1.4-point power advantage rests with the home side.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece analysis shows low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: Power scores indicate a minimal overall separation between the two sides.
  • Market: Baseline split: Atlético Mineiro 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Grêmio 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Atlético Mineiro E. Domínguez
E. Domínguez
VS
Grêmio L. Ribeiro de Castro
L. Ribeiro de Castro
1.47
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.21
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Remo Rank: 58 D
Bragantino Rank: 65 D
Palmeiras Rank: 78 W
Bahia Rank: 62 D
Vasco da Gama Rank: 63 W
Corinthians Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
São Paulo Rank: 63 W
Botafogo Rank: 69 D
Fluminense Rank: 69 D
Mirassol Rank: 65 L
Corinthians Rank: 68 L
Santos Rank: 64 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.58
64.21
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Atlético Mineiro
Grêmio
Power Score
65.58
64.21
League Position
11
14
Global Rank
400
452

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Atlético Mineiro — Opponent-weighted form score
Grêmio — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atlético Mineiro Grêmio

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Atlético Mineiro AMN Home
5 matches
Grêmio GRE Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
8
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-10T08:21:09+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena MRV
Capacity
44892
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

22
Everson Felipe Marques Pires
Everson Felipe Marques Pires Goalkeeper
1
Gabriel Delfim Ferreira
Gabriel Delfim Ferreira Goalkeeper
46
Pedro Cobra Rodrigues
Pedro Cobra Rodrigues Goalkeeper
31
Robert Pinto Alves Assunção
Robert Pinto Alves Assunção Goalkeeper
14
Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza
Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza Defender
15
Leonardo Duarte da Silva
Leonardo Duarte da Silva Defender
13
Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves Vojnović
Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves Vojnović Defender
6
Renan Augusto Lodi dos Santos
Renan Augusto Lodi dos Santos Defender
4
Ruan Tressoldi Netto
Ruan Tressoldi Netto Defender
23
Angelo Smit Preciado Quiñónez
Angelo Smit Preciado Quiñónez Defender
2
Natanael Moreira Milouski
Natanael Moreira Milouski Defender
—
Rômulo Helberth Pereira Junior
Rômulo Helberth Pereira Junior Defender
3
Iván Román
Iván Román Defender
40
Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira
Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira Defender
36
Kauã Pascini Resende
Kauã Pascini Resende Defender
10
Gustavo Henrique Furtado Scarpa
Gustavo Henrique Furtado Scarpa Midfielder
8
Maycon de Andrade Barberan
Maycon de Andrade Barberan Midfielder
21
Alan Steven Franco Palma
Alan Steven Franco Palma Midfielder
17
Igor Silveira Gomes
Igor Silveira Gomes Midfielder
19
Reinier Jesus Carvalho
Reinier Jesus Carvalho Midfielder
30
Victor Hugo Gomes Silva
Victor Hugo Gomes Silva Midfielder
5
Alexsander Cristhian Gomes da Costa
Alexsander Cristhian Gomes da Costa Midfielder
25
Tomás Pérez
Tomás Pérez Midfielder
20
Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos
Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos Midfielder
38
Hendel dos Santos Nascimento
Hendel dos Santos Nascimento Midfielder
39
Mamady Cissé
Mamady Cissé Midfielder
9
Zander Mateo Cassierra Cabezas
Zander Mateo Cassierra Cabezas Attacker
92
Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues
Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Attacker
11
Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte
Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte Attacker
28
Tomás Esteban Cuello
Tomás Esteban Cuello Attacker
27
Alan Steve Minda García
Alan Steve Minda García Attacker
29
Cauã Campos Soares
Cauã Campos Soares Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Weverton Pereira da Silva
Weverton Pereira da Silva Goalkeeper
12
Gabriel Hamester Grando
Gabriel Hamester Grando Goalkeeper
24
Thiago Beltrame Stallbaum
Thiago Beltrame Stallbaum Goalkeeper
31
Gabriel Otávio Menegon
Gabriel Otávio Menegon Goalkeeper
7
Cristian David Pavón
Cristian David Pavón Defender
14
Marcos Luis Rocha Aquino
Marcos Luis Rocha Aquino Defender
18
João Pedro Maturano dos Santos
João Pedro Maturano dos Santos Defender
2
Fabián Cornelio Balbuena González
Fabián Cornelio Balbuena González Defender
4
Walter Kannemann
Walter Kannemann Defender
23
Marlon Rodrigues Xavier
Marlon Rodrigues Xavier Defender
38
Caio Fernando de Oliveira
Caio Fernando de Oliveira Defender
3
Wagner Leonardo Calvelo de Souza
Wagner Leonardo Calvelo de Souza Defender
53
Gustavo Martins de Souza Santos
Gustavo Martins de Souza Santos Defender
—
Wallace Gomes da Silva Santos
Wallace Gomes da Silva Santos Defender
54
Pedro Gabriel Crisostomo Pinheiro
Pedro Gabriel Crisostomo Pinheiro Defender
43
Luis Eduardo Guedes de Souza
Luis Eduardo Guedes de Souza Defender
17
Douglas Moreira Fagundes
Douglas Moreira Fagundes Midfielder
20
Mathías Adalberto Villasanti Rolón
Mathías Adalberto Villasanti Rolón Midfielder
5
Juan Ignacio Martín Nardoni
Juan Ignacio Martín Nardoni Midfielder
19
Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola
Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola Midfielder
11
Miguel Ángel Monsalve Gonzáles
Miguel Ángel Monsalve Gonzáles Midfielder
33
Leonel Ulises Pérez
Leonel Ulises Pérez Midfielder
65
Riquelme Freitas dos Santos
Riquelme Freitas dos Santos Midfielder
39
Tiago Augusto Gonçalves
Tiago Augusto Gonçalves Midfielder
37
Gabriel Ferreira de Carvalho
Gabriel Ferreira de Carvalho Midfielder
10
Willian Borges da Silva
Willian Borges da Silva Attacker
22
Martin Braithwaite Christensen
Martin Braithwaite Christensen Attacker
95
Carlos Vinícius Alves Morais
Carlos Vinícius Alves Morais Attacker
9
Francis Amuzu
Francis Amuzu Attacker
99
José David Enamorado Gómez
José David Enamorado Gómez Attacker
21
Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins
Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins Attacker
—
Matheus Nascimento de Paula
Matheus Nascimento de Paula Attacker
47
Roger Dias Fernandes
Roger Dias Fernandes Attacker

CONCLUSION

The upcoming league fixture at Arena MRV pits two mid-table sides against each other with Atlético Mineiro holding slight structural and form edges. Home power and form metrics point to a narrow advantage that could shape possession and chance creation patterns. Grêmio will look to close the gap through organized defensive work and opportunistic transitions. Limited set-piece information leaves that area open to on-field adjustments. Both teams enter without fresh outing records, placing emphasis on season aggregates. A closely contested match appears likely given the minimal power separation and comparable league positions.