Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal preview

Spain flag 2026/2027 La Liga, Spain
Riyadh Air Metropolitano Sun, 23 Aug - 3:00 PM
La Liga
KICKOFF : Sun, 23 Aug - 3:00 PM
Round 2 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Atlético de Madrid welcome Villarreal to the Riyadh Air Metropolitano for a La Liga regular season encounter in the 2026/2027 campaign. The hosts hold a narrow power advantage of 2.5 points with a rating of 88.85 against 86.31 for the visitors, establishing them as the stronger side on paper. Atlético currently sit 16th in the domestic standings while Villarreal occupy fourth place. Both teams will aim to impose their styles in what shapes up as a competitive league fixture at the home venue. The narrow margins in underlying metrics suggest a tightly contested affair where small details could prove decisive.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Atlético de Madrid hold a 2.5 point power advantage over Villarreal with ratings of 88.85 to 86.31.
  • Form: Atlético de Madrid have a form score of 0 while Villarreal hold a form score of 11.
  • Squad: Atlético de Madrid are identified as the stronger team entering this league fixture.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available for either side in this match.
  • Transition: Transition data remains unavailable ahead of this La Liga contest.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data applied for both teams.
  • xVariable: The power differential of 2.5 points favors Atlético de Madrid in this encounter.
  • Market: Baseline split: Atlético de Madrid 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Villarreal 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Atlético de Madrid D. Simeone
D. Simeone
VS
Villarreal I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga Rank: 75 D
Villarreal Rank: 86 L
Girona Rank: 76 W
Osasuna Rank: 78 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 82 L
Valencia Rank: 82 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Racing Santander Rank: 76 D
Atlético de Madrid Rank: 89 W
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 81 L
Sevilla Rank: 77 L
Mallorca Rank: 79 D
Levante Rank: 77 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
88.85
86.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Atlético de Madrid
Villarreal
Power Score
88.85
86.31
League Position
16
4
Global Rank
19
33

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Atlético de Madrid Opponent-weighted form score
Villarreal Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atlético de Madrid Villarreal

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Atlético de Madrid ATM Home
4 matches
Villarreal VIL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
6
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-17T01:01:29+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 23, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 La Liga, Spain · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Capacity
70460
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

13
Jan Oblak
Jan Oblak Goalkeeper
1
Juan Agustín Musso
Juan Agustín Musso Goalkeeper
17
Dávid Hancko
Dávid Hancko Defender
3
Matteo Ruggeri
Matteo Ruggeri Defender
18
M. Pubill Pagès
M. Pubill Pagès Defender
15
Thomas Lemar
Thomas Lemar Midfielder
23
Morten Hjulmand
Morten Hjulmand Midfielder
7
Kang-In Lee
Kang-In Lee Midfielder
8
Pablo Barrios Rivas
Pablo Barrios Rivas Midfielder
21
Obed Vargas
Obed Vargas Midfielder
11
Ademola Lookman
Ademola Lookman Attacker
9
Alexander Sørloth
19
Julián Álvarez
Julián Álvarez Attacker
Arnau Ortiz Sanchez
20
Giuliano Simeone
Giuliano Simeone Attacker

Squad

25
Péter Gulácsi
Péter Gulácsi Goalkeeper
13
Rubén Gómez Peris
Rubén Gómez Peris Goalkeeper
8
Juan Marcos Foyth
2
Logan Costa
Logan Costa Defender
20
Carlos Romero Serrano
5
Willy Kambwala
Willy Kambwala Defender
12
Renato Palma Veiga
3
Alexander Freeman
6
Pau Navarro Badenes
14
Santiago Comesaña Veiga
18
Pape Gueye
Pape Gueye Midfielder
4
Alassane Diatta
Alassane Diatta Midfielder
26
Carlos Macià Coves
Carlos Macià Coves Midfielder
19
Nicolas Pépé
Nicolas Pépé Attacker
7
Gerard Moreno Balaguero
Gerard Moreno Balaguero Attacker
9
Georges Mikautadze
17
Tajon Buchanan
Tajon Buchanan Attacker
21
Tani Oluwaseyi
Tani Oluwaseyi Attacker

CONCLUSION

Atlético de Madrid will seek to capitalize on their slight power edge and home setting when they face a Villarreal side positioned higher in the league table. With positions at 16th and fourth respectively the hosts must overcome their current standing to challenge the visitors effectively. The limited data on efficiency and transitions places emphasis on overall team structure and execution during open play. Both sides face uncertainty in set piece contributions given the low confidence indicators. This league meeting at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano offers an opportunity for Atlético to build momentum while Villarreal aim to maintain their stronger domestic position through disciplined performance.