Athletico PR vs Fluminense preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Arena de Baixada
Serie A
Athletico PRAPR
FluminenseFLU
KICKOFF :
Round 25 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Athletico PR welcomes Fluminense to the Arena de Baixada for a Serie A regular season encounter in 2026. The home side currently occupies third place in the domestic standings while the visitors sit fourth, setting up a tightly contested mid-table clash between two competitive outfits. Power scores indicate Fluminense holds the overall edge at 68.59 compared to Athletico PR's 58.29, creating a 10.3 point advantage for the away team. Form readings show Athletico PR slightly ahead with 31.06 against Fluminense's 27.17, suggesting recent results favor the hosts marginally. Both teams operate without recent outing details available, leaving analysts to rely on broader seasonal indicators. The fixture promises an analytical battle where structural positioning and squad depth will likely shape proceedings on the pitch.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Athletico PR occupies third place domestically while Fluminense sits fourth.
  • Form: Athletico PR records a form score of 31.06 compared to Fluminense's 27.17.
  • Squad: Fluminense holds the stronger squad power score at 68.59 versus 58.29.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided within the current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy data.
  • xVariable: Fluminense enters with a 10.3 point power advantage over the hosts.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Athletico PR O. Hellmann
O. Hellmann
VS
Fluminense M. De Oliveira
M. De Oliveira
1.85
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.7
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Botafogo Rank: 65 W
Bragantino Rank: 63 D
Santos Rank: 65 W
Corinthians Rank: 67 D
Internacional Rank: 64 W
São Paulo Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Remo Rank: 58 W
Palmeiras Rank: 76 W
Botafogo Rank: 69 D
Bahia Rank: 64 D
Grêmio Rank: 63 D
Bragantino Rank: 64 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.29
68.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Athletico PR
Fluminense
Power Score
58.29
68.59
League Position
3
4
Global Rank
360
305

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Athletico PR — Opponent-weighted form score
Fluminense — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Athletico PR Fluminense

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Athletico PR APR Home
3 matches
Fluminense FLU Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
3
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-29T00:34:59+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena de Baixada
Capacity
43000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Felipe Fernandes de Lima
Felipe Alan Costa de Oliveira
Celso Luiz Da Silva
Anderson Ribeiro Gonçalves

Expected Lineup

Referee : Felipe Fernandes de Lima

Starting XI ▼

23
Santos
Santos Goalkeeper
6.9
7
Stiven Mendoza
Stiven Mendoza Midfielder
6.92
21
Leozinho
Leozinho Midfielder
6.91
29
Gastón Benavídez
Gastón Benavídez Midfielder
6.94
8
João Cruz
João Cruz Midfielder
6.93
9
Kevin Viveros
Kevin Viveros Centre Forward
7.08
14
Luiz Gustavo
Luiz Gustavo Central Midfield
6.88
25
Dantas
Dantas Right Back
6.88
33
Juan Felipe Aguirre
Juan Felipe Aguirre Centre Back
6.96
16
Jádson
Jádson Central Midfield
6.77
4
Arthur Dias
Arthur Dias Left Back
6.84
Referee : Felipe Fernandes de Lima

Starting XI ▼

1
Fábio
Fábio Goalkeeper
6.88
7
Hulk
Hulk Centre Forward
7.33
3
Thiago Silva
Thiago Silva Left Back
6.99
6
Renê
Renê Left Back
7.07
10
Ganso
Ganso Attacking Midfield
6.82
4
Ignácio
Ignácio Right Back
7.07
17
Agustín Canobbio
Agustín Canobbio Right Wing
7.01
30
Yeferson Soteldo
Yeferson Soteldo Left Wing
6.79
8
Martinelli
Martinelli Defensive Midfield
7.06
16
Nonato
Nonato Defensive Midfield
6.95
23
Guga
Guga Right Back
6.88

CONCLUSION

This Serie A meeting at the Arena de Baixada features two sides separated by narrow margins in league position and recent form. Fluminense brings superior overall squad strength according to power metrics, yet Athletico PR maintains a slight edge in current form readings that could influence early momentum. Limited efficiency and transition details shift focus toward set piece execution where both teams operate under low confidence indicators. The stronger away side may seek to exploit its power advantage through controlled possession and structured attacks. Athletico PR will likely emphasize home resilience and quick transitions to offset the visitor's edge. Overall the contest appears balanced with small differences in key areas likely deciding the outcome through disciplined execution rather than outright dominance.