Athletico PR vs Bragantino preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Arena de Baixada
Serie A
Athletico PRAPR
1 – 1
BragantinoBRA
Full Time
Round 23 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Athletico PR hosted Bragantino in a match that concluded with a 1-1 draw after a goalless first half. Both sides recorded 50 percent possession throughout the contest. Athletico PR generated an expected goals total of 2.73 while Bragantino finished with 1.33. The stronger rated side according to pre match assessment was Bragantino yet the outcome remained level. No red cards were issued to either team during the ninety minutes. The final scoreline reflected one goal apiece despite the underlying metrics favoring the home side in creation. This result highlighted a notable performance gap between expected and actual outcomes for the visitors.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Bragantino showed significant structural deviation of 100 percent from pre match positioning.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with overall team performance levels.
  • xG alignment: Outcome was not consistent with xG as Athletico PR held higher creation metrics.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was true despite the draw result.
  • xG expectations: Athletico PR posted 2.73 xG against Bragantino 1.33 xG for a 1.4 differential.
  • Event impact: Goals scored in the second half produced the 1-1 final scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Gomes Stefano
A. Gomes Stefano
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Athletico PR O. Hellmann
O. Hellmann
VS
Bragantino V. Carmo Mancini
V. Carmo Mancini
1.7
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.37
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Santos Rank: 65 W
Corinthians Rank: 68 D
Internacional Rank: 63 W
São Paulo Rank: 63 W
Mirassol Rank: 64 W
Remo Rank: 58 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Corinthians Rank: 67 L
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 65 D
Coritiba Rank: 60 D
Fluminense Rank: 68 D
Internacional Rank: 63 W
Vasco da Gama Rank: 63 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.59
62.73
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Athletico PR
Bragantino
Power Score
57.59
62.73
League Position
3
7
Global Rank
382
474

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Athletico PR — Opponent-weighted form score
Bragantino — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Athletico PR Bragantino

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Athletico PR

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Bragantino

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Athletico PR ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bragantino
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.70
37.30
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
37.30
45.70
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Athletico PR +0.69 Efficiency Index
vs
Bragantino -0.69 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Athletico PR
Bragantino
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Athletico PR
vs
Bragantino
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Athletico PR Bragantino
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
2%
36%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.06 vs -0.48
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Athletico PR Bragantino
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
36%
2%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.48 vs -0.06
Athletico PR
Bragantino
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Athletico PR
vs
Bragantino
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Athletico PR Bragantino
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Athletico PR 0.35
Bragantino 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Athletico PR Bragantino
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Athletico PR 0.02
Bragantino 0.02
Athletico PR
Bragantino
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • APR had peak pressure around 69'.
  • APR started the game with stronger pressure.
APR Pressure BRA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: APR reached the top pressure at 69' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Athletico PR APR Home
3 matches
Bragantino BRA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
2
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-16T00:11:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena de Baixada
Capacity
43000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alex Gomes Stefano

Statistics

Possession
APR
50%
BRA
50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
7 Big Chances Created 3
11 Shots 9
57 Dangerous attacks 53
50 Possession 50
8 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 7
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

7 Goal Kicks 11
4 Substitutions 4
26 Throwins 24
1 Hit Woodwork 1
8 Successful Headers 20
1 Assists 1
19 Dribble Attempts 10
9 Successful Dribbles 6
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60

Attacking

125 Attacks 100
6 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

53 Long Passes 69
459 Passes 460
398 Successful Passes 383
87 Successful Passes Percentage 83
27 Successful Long Passes 36
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52

Defensive

4 Saves 6
12 Tackles 16
14 Interceptions 11
36 Duels Won 49

Build-up

28 Total Crosses 18
8 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
7 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Alex Gomes Stefano

Starting XI ▼

23
Santos
Santos (C) Goalkeeper
7.2
4
Arthur Dias
Arthur Dias Defender
6.96
29
Gastón Benavídez
Gastón Benavídez Defender
7.4
33
Juan Felipe Aguirre
Juan Felipe Aguirre Defender
6.8
7
Stiven Mendoza
Stiven Mendoza Midfielder
7.32
12
Gilberto
Gilberto Midfielder
7.69
19
Jorge Rivaldo
Jorge Rivaldo
Attacker90+1'
14
Luiz Gustavo
Luiz Gustavo Midfielder
7.07
16
Jádson
Jádson Midfielder
7.23
8
João Cruz
João Cruz Attacker
7.13
53
Dudu
Dudu
Midfielder77'
6.72
9
Kevin Viveros
Kevin Viveros Attacker
6.88
21
Leozinho
Leozinho Attacker
6.6
18
Kerwin Vargas
Kerwin Vargas
Attacker61'
7.09
Referee : Alex Gomes Stefano

Starting XI ▼

18
Tiago Volpi
Tiago Volpi Goalkeeper
7.87
14
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique Defender
7.89
16
Gustavo Marques
Gustavo Marques Defender
7.22
23
Agustín Sant'Anna
Agustín Sant'Anna Defender
7.77
29
Juninho Capixaba
Juninho Capixaba Defender
6.83
6
Gabriel
Gabriel Midfielder
6.73
5
Fabinho
Fabinho
Midfielder76'
6.54
17
Vinicinho
Vinicinho Midfielder
6.36
41
Yuri
Yuri
Midfielder88'
21
Lucas Barbosa
Lucas Barbosa Midfielder
7.67
32
José Herrera
José Herrera Midfielder
6.23
8
Eduardo Sasha
Eduardo Sasha
Attacker76'
6.51
35
Matheus Fernandes
Matheus Fernandes (C) Midfielder
7.11
7
Eric Ramires
Eric Ramires
Midfielder76'
6.64
9
Isidro Pitta
Isidro Pitta Attacker
6.93

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jorge Rivaldo → Gilberto
8th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Bruno Zapelli → Dudu
7th Substitution
90'
88'
Event
Yuri → Vinicinho
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Eduardo Sasha
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Dudu → João Cruz
5th Substitution
77'
76'
Event
Fabinho → Gabriel
2nd Substitution
76'
Event
Eric Ramires → Matheus Fernandes
3rd Substitution
76'
Event
Eduardo Sasha → José Herrera
4th Substitution
Event
Kerwin Vargas
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
75'
67'
Event
Pedro Henrique
Header / 1st Goal
Event
Kerwin Vargas → Leozinho
1st Substitution
61'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Agustin SantAnna Right Footed Shot Blocked
90
Update Update
On Jorge Rivaldo，Off Gilberto Moraes Junior
90
Update Update
On Bruno Zapelli，Off Dudu Kogitzki
88
Update Update
On Yuri Alves，Off Vinicius Mendonca Pereira
88
Attempt Attempt
Shot - John Stiveen Mendoza Valencia Left Footed Shot Missed
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gaston Americo Benavidez Right Footed Shot Saved
84
Update Update
Offside
82
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marques Gustavo Right Footed Shot Missed
82
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Isidro Pitta Head Shot Saved
82
Corner Corner
Corner
80
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Eduardo Sasha Right Footed Shot Missed
80
Corner Corner
Corner
78
Corner Corner
Corner
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Eduardo Sasha
77
Update Update
On Dudu Kogitzki，Off Joao Cruz
76
Update Update
On Fabio Silva de Freitas，Off Gabriel Girotto Franco
76
Update Update
On Eduardo Sasha，Off Jose Herrera
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Kerwin Vargas Right Footed Shot Goal
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-1
71
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Vinicius Mendonca Pereira Left Footed Shot Missed
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Pedro Henrique Ribeiro Goncalves Head Shot Goal
67
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Vinicius Mendonca Pereira Left Footed Shot Blocked
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Pedro Henrique Ribeiro Goncalves 0-1，Assist：Agustin SantAnna
67
Corner Corner
Corner
66
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Kerwin Vargas Right Footed Shot Missed
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Kevin Stiven Viveros Rodallega Head Shot Missed
63
Corner Corner
Corner
63
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Kevin Stiven Viveros Rodallega Right Footed Shot Missed
61
Update Update
On Kerwin Vargas，Off Leozinho
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - John Stiveen Mendoza Valencia Left Footed Shot Missed
54
Corner Corner
Corner
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leozinho Right Footed Shot Missed
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jadson Alves dos Santos Right Footed Shot Saved
49
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Pedro Henrique Ribeiro Goncalves Head Shot Saved
49
Corner Corner
Corner
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gabriel Girotto Franco Right Footed Shot Missed
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Matheus Fernandes Siqueira Left Footed Shot Missed
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leozinho Left Footed Shot Missed
41
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Cruz Right Footed Shot Blocked
41
Corner Corner
Corner
40
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Cruz Right Footed Shot Missed
38
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Kevin Stiven Viveros Rodallega Right Footed Shot Saved
38
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Vinicius Mendonca Pereira Right Footed Shot Saved
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lucas Henrique Barbosa Left Footed Shot Missed
35
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jose Herrera Right Footed Shot Missed
32
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leozinho Left Footed Shot Missed
29
Corner Corner
Corner
28
Corner Corner
Corner
27
Corner Corner
Corner
25
Corner Corner
Corner
23
Update Update
Offside
20
Update Update
Offside
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Agustin SantAnna Right Footed Shot Missed
15
Corner Corner
Corner
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Isidro Pitta Head Shot Missed
8
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Cruz Right Footed Shot Saved
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gilberto Moraes Junior Left Footed Shot Saved
7
Corner Corner
Corner
3
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gilberto Moraes Junior Right Footed Shot Saved
2
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leozinho Left Footed Shot Blocked
1
Attempt Attempt
Shot - John Stiveen Mendoza Valencia Left Footed Shot Post
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Alex Gomes Stefano

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw between Athletico PR and Bragantino left both teams with a shared point after an even opening period. Athletico PR dominated expected goal creation yet could not convert the advantage into a victory. Bragantino maintained defensive structure to secure the equalizer despite lower overall metrics. Equal possession indicated balanced territorial control across the pitch. The absence of dismissals allowed both sides to complete their tactical plans without numerical changes. This fixture demonstrated how actual results can diverge from underlying performance indicators in league play. Teams will review these patterns ahead of upcoming fixtures to refine attacking and defensive approaches.