Athletic Club vs Sevilla preview

Spain flag 2026/2027 La Liga, Spain
San Mamés Barria
La Liga
Athletic ClubATH
1 3
SevillaSEV
Full Time
Round 2 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
Oso - 15'
Isaac Romero - 57'
Yuri Berchiche 11' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Athletic Club faced Sevilla in a league encounter that concluded with a 1-3 scoreline. The halftime score stood at 0-1. Athletic Club held 65 percent possession and recorded 1.58 expected goals while Sevilla managed 0.54 expected goals. A red card was issued to Athletic Club during the contest. Sevilla emerged as the winner despite the expected goals differential favoring the home side by 1.04. The outcome proved inconsistent with the underlying expected goals figures. Sevilla was identified as the stronger team entering the fixture. The result aligned with market projections according to available indicators. Efficiency metrics remained in line with observed patterns throughout the match. Second half adjustments included red card distortion effects on team structure.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Athletic Club 1-3 Sevilla. Sevilla showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with performance data.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was not consistent with xG alignment.
  • Market alignment: The result proved aligned with market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Athletic Club posted 1.58 xG against Sevilla's 0.54 xG.
  • Event impact: The red card to Athletic Club altered second half dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion shaped adjustments after the interval.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
C. Soto Grado
C. Soto Grado
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
C. Álvarez Fernández
C. Álvarez Fernández
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Becerril Gómez
R. Becerril Gómez
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Crespo Puente
F. Crespo Puente
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Athletic Club E. Terzic
E. Terzic
VS
Sevilla L. García Plaza
L. García Plaza
0.85
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Madrid Rank: 94 L
Celta de Vigo Rank: 82 D
Espanyol Rank: 77 L
Valencia Rank: 82 L
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 80 W
Atlético de Madrid Rank: 89 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 82 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 82 L
Real Madrid Rank: 94 L
Villarreal Rank: 86 W
Espanyol Rank: 77 W
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.39
77.72
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Athletic Club
Sevilla
Power Score
77.39
77.72
League Position
17
1
Global Rank
99
96

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Athletic Club — Opponent-weighted form score
Sevilla — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Athletic Club Sevilla

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Athletic Club

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sevilla

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Athletic Club ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sevilla
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.08
22.14
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.14
34.08
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Athletic Club +1.10 Efficiency Index
vs
Sevilla -1.10 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Athletic Club
Sevilla
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Athletic Club
vs
Sevilla
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Athletic Club Sevilla
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
37%
10%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.58 vs -0.06
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Athletic Club Sevilla
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
10%
37%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.06 vs -0.58
Athletic Club
Sevilla
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Athletic Club
vs
Sevilla
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Athletic Club Sevilla
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Athletic Club 0.22
Sevilla 0.47
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Athletic Club Sevilla
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Athletic Club 0.20
Sevilla 0.01
Athletic Club
Sevilla
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ATH had peak pressure around 63'.
  • ATH started the game with stronger pressure.
ATH Pressure SEV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ATH reached the top pressure at 63' (81.05).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Athletic Club ATH Home
6 matches
Sevilla SEV Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
9
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-23T00:38:06+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
U. Simón Mendibil
Spain
1 U. Simón Mendibil
J. Areso Blanco
Substitution
Spain
12 J. Areso Blanco
Y. Álvarez López
Spain
5 Y. Álvarez López
A. Paredes Casamichana
Substitution
Spain
4 A. Paredes Casamichana
Y. Berchiche Izeta
Spain
17 Y. Berchiche Izeta
B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia
Substitution
Spain
24 B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia
P. Canales Urtasun
Spain
28 P. Canales Urtasun
I. Williams Arthuer
Substitution
Ghana
9 (C) I. Williams Arthuer
O. Sancet Tirapu
Spain
8 O. Sancet Tirapu
A. Berenguer Remiro
Spain
7 A. Berenguer Remiro
G. Guruzeta Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
11 G. Guruzeta Rodríguez

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 La Liga, Spain · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
San Mamés Barria
Capacity
53289
Attendance
49416
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
César Soto Grado
Carlos Álvarez Fernández
Rubén Becerril Gómez
F. Crespo Puente

Statistics

Possession
ATH
61%
SEV
39%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 2
83 Dangerous attacks 15
65 Possession 35
10 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

65 Ball Safe 79
4 Goal Kicks 7
11 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
28 Throwins 9
21 Successful Headers 17
1 Assists 2
0 Injuries 1
26 Dribble Attempts 11
15 Successful Dribbles 5
58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

Attacking

130 Attacks 80

Possession

46 Long Passes 56
464 Passes 259
381 Successful Passes 194
82 Successful Passes Percentage 75
14 Key Passes 5
15 Successful Long Passes 18
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32

Defensive

2 Saves 5
12 Tackles 19
7 Interceptions 10
68 Duels Won 56

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 8
7 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

0 Offsides 3
11 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : César Soto Grado

Starting XI ▼

1
Unai Simón
Unai Simón Goalkeeper
5.51
4
Aitor Paredes
Aitor Paredes Defender
7.4
15
Hugo Rincón
Hugo Rincón
Defender74'
6.57
5
Yeray Álvarez
Yeray Álvarez Defender
7.4
12
Jesús Areso
Jesús Areso Defender
5.92
14
Aymeric Laporte
Aymeric Laporte
Defender58'
6.93
17
Yuri Berchiche
Yuri Berchiche Defender
4.51
7
Álex Berenguer
Álex Berenguer Midfielder
7.02
8
Oihan Sancet
Oihan Sancet Midfielder
6.94
9
Iñaki Williams
Iñaki Williams (C) Midfielder
7.01
10
Nico Williams
Nico Williams
Attacker58'
6.54
24
Beñat Gerenabarrena
Beñat Gerenabarrena Midfielder
6.75
16
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
Midfielder83'
6.38
28
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Midfielder
7.04
11
Gorka Guruzeta
Gorka Guruzeta Attacker
6.72
21
Maroan Sannadi
Maroan Sannadi
Attacker58'
6.55
Referee : César Soto Grado

Starting XI ▼

1
Odysseas Vlachodimos
Odysseas Vlachodimos Goalkeeper
7.26
2
Juan Iglesias
Juan Iglesias Defender
6.76
5
Andrés Castrín
Andrés Castrín Defender
6.83
12
Arouna Sangante
Arouna Sangante Defender
7.03
22
José Ángel Carmona
José Ángel Carmona
Defender68'
6.66
17
Gabriel Suazo
Gabriel Suazo (C) Defender
6.6
6
Lucien Agoumé
Lucien Agoumé Midfielder
7.2
10
Peque Fernández
Peque Fernández Midfielder
6.2
27
Nico Guillén
Nico Guillén
Midfielder46'
6.3
18
Jon Guridi
Jon Guridi Midfielder
6.32
16
Isaac Romero
Isaac Romero
Attacker46'
7.77
19
Oso
Oso Midfielder
7.92
3
Julio Díaz
Julio Díaz
Defender78'
6.44
30
Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega
Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega Midfielder
6.92
21
Chidera Ejuke
Chidera Ejuke
Attacker46'
7.08
9
Robbie Ure
Robbie Ure Attacker
6.47

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Nico Guillén
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
90'
Event
Isaac Romero
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 5th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta → Beñat Gerenabarrena
10th Substitution
83'
78'
Event
Julio Díaz → Oso
9th Substitution
Event
Hugo Rincón → Aitor Paredes
8th Substitution
74'
Event
Aitor Paredes
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
70'
68'
Event
José Ángel Carmona → Arouna Sangante
7th Substitution
Event
Aymeric Laporte → Jesús Areso
4th Substitution
58'
Event
Maroan Sannadi → Gorka Guruzeta
5th Substitution
58'
Event
Nico Williams → Iñaki Williams 
6th Substitution
58'
57'
Event
Isaac Romero
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
50'
Event
Chidera Ejuke
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
Event
Chidera Ejuke → Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Nico Guillén → Peque Fernández
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Isaac Romero → Jon Guridi
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Jon Guridi
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Gorka Guruzeta
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
25'
25'
Event
Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
22'
Event
Peque Fernández
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
15'
Event
Oso
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Yuri Berchiche
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
11'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolas Guilen receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Peio Canales takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Peio Canales takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Isaac Romero Bernal receives a yellow card.
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - N·Inaki Williams Dannis Right Footed Shot Missed
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Attempt Attempt
N. Inaki Williams takes a right-footed shot but misses.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Update Update
Hugo Rincon is on, and Aitor Paredes is off.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Hugo Rincon comes on for Aitor Paredes.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Aitor Paredes scores to make it 1-3, assisted by Yeray Alvarez Lopez.
69
Attempt Attempt
Oihan Sancet takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
68
Substitution Substitution
Jose Angel Carmona is substituted off for Arouna Sangante.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-3.
58
Attempt Attempt
Oihan Sancet takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
58
Substitution Substitution
Jose Angel Carmona is substituted for Arouna Sangante.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Attempt Attempt
Peio Canales takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Isaac Romero Bernal takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Isaac Romero Bernal scores to make it 0-3, assisted by Oso.
56
Attempt Attempt
Oihan Sancet takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Alejandro Berenguer takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Yeray Alvarez Lopez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Alejandro Berenguer takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Chidera Ejuke takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Chidera Ejuke scores, making it 0-2.
46
Update Update
Isaac Romero Bernal comes on for Jon Guridi.
46
Update Update
Chidera Ejuke is on, and Miguel Sierra is off.
46
Update Update
Nico Guillen comes on for Peque Fernandez.
44
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Inaki Williams takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jon Guridi receives a yellow card.
38
Update Update
Offside.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Attempt Attempt
Peio Canales attempts a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
30
Attempt Attempt
Peque Fernandez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Attempt Attempt
Peio Canales takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Peque Fernandez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Sierra takes a left-footed shot but misses.
23
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Miguel Sierra.
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez.
21
Attempt Attempt
Oihan Sancet takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Jesus Areso takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Oso scores with a left-footed shot.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Oso scores to make it 1-0.
14
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Oso Left Footed Shot Missed
11
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued.
11
Attempt Attempt
Inaki Williams takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Attempt Attempt
Benat Gerenabarrena takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
2
Attempt Attempt
Benat Gerenabarrena takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Cesar Soto Grado.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Athletic Club 1-3 Sevilla. Structural assessment: Sevilla exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.