Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Gewiss Stadium
Europa Conference League
AtalantaATA
0 – 0
Hapoel Tel AvivHTA
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Atalanta 0–0 Hapoel Tel Aviv. The match ended in a draw. Hapoel Tel Aviv showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. xG finished Atalanta 1 – 0.4 Hapoel Tel Aviv. Possession was 62%–38%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv. Hapoel Tel Aviv showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Javier Alberola Rojas
Javier Alberola Rojas
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Rodríguez Moreno
A. Rodríguez Moreno
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Álvarez Fernández
C. Álvarez Fernández
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
V. García Verdura
V. García Verdura
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Atalanta M. Sarri
M. Sarri
VS
Hapoel Tel Aviv E. Barda
E. Barda
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.75
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.75 i
Last 6 Opponents
Katowice Rank: 68 L
Katowice Rank: 70 W
Ludogorets Rank: 68 D
Ludogorets Rank: 68 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Atalanta
79.6%
Draw
13.97%
Away Hapoel Tel Aviv
6.43%

Movement

Changes since opening
Atalanta
+70.51%
Draw
-72.61%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
+2.1%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.97
33.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Atalanta
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Power Score
22.97
33.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Atalanta — Opponent-weighted form score
Hapoel Tel Aviv — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atalanta Hapoel Tel Aviv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Atalanta

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Atalanta ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hapoel Tel Aviv
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
19.03
21.58
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.58
19.03
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Atalanta -0.20 Efficiency Index
vs
Hapoel Tel Aviv +0.20 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Atalanta
Hapoel Tel Aviv
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Atalanta
vs
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Atalanta Hapoel Tel Aviv
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
8%
9%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.08 vs -0.04
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Atalanta Hapoel Tel Aviv
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
9%
8%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.04 vs -0.08
Atalanta
Hapoel Tel Aviv
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Atalanta
vs
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Atalanta Hapoel Tel Aviv
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Atalanta 0.16
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Atalanta Hapoel Tel Aviv
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Atalanta 0.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0.00
Atalanta
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ATA had peak pressure around 96'.
  • ATA started the game with stronger pressure.
ATA Pressure HTA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ATA reached the top pressure at 96' (85.24).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Gewiss Stadium
Capacity
23439
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Javier Alberola Rojas
Alfredo Rodríguez Moreno
Carlos Álvarez Fernández
Víctor García Verdura

Statistics

Possession
ATA
60%
HTA
40%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 2
56 Dangerous attacks 24
62 Possession 38
3 Corners 1
15 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

2 Goal Kicks 6
4 Substitutions 5
18 Throwins 14
1 Hit Woodwork 0
13 Dribble Attempts 15
6 Successful Dribbles 9
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60

Attacking

135 Attacks 72
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

34 Long Passes 47
707 Passes 423
648 Successful Passes 357
92 Successful Passes Percentage 84
17 Successful Long Passes 20
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

4 Saves 5
9 Tackles 16
6 Interceptions 4

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 9
3 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Javier Alberola Rojas

Starting XI ▼

29
Marco Carnesecchi
Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper
7.54
3
Odilon Kossounou
Odilon Kossounou Defender
7.32
16
Raoul Bellanova
Raoul Bellanova Defender
7.03
42
Giorgio Scalvini
Giorgio Scalvini Defender
6.83
31
Thomas Kristensen
Thomas Kristensen
Defender26'
7.06
47
Lorenzo Bernasconi
Lorenzo Bernasconi Defender
6.91
10
Lazar Samardžić
Lazar Samardžić Midfielder
6.93
8
Mario Pašalić
Mario Pašalić
Midfielder78'
6.61
13
Éderson
Éderson (C) Midfielder
6.59
70
Gianluca Gaetano
Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder
7.01
9
Gianluca Scamacca
Gianluca Scamacca Attacker
6.76
90
Nikola Krstović
Nikola Krstović
Attacker63'
6.46
18
Giacomo Raspadori
Giacomo Raspadori Attacker
6.74
59
Nicola Zalewski
Nicola Zalewski Attacker
6.69
49
Federico Cassa
Federico Cassa
Midfielder78'
6.36
Referee : Javier Alberola Rojas

Starting XI ▼

22
Assaf Tzur
Assaf Tzur Goalkeeper
7.94
4
Chico
Chico Defender
6.73
5
Fernand Mayembo
Fernand Mayembo (C) Defender
7.04
16
Doron Leidner
Doron Leidner Defender
7.02
97
Marcus Coco
Marcus Coco Defender
6.96
21
Shahar Piven
Shahar Piven
Defender89'
6
Andrian Kraev
Andrian Kraev Midfielder
6.83
15
Roei Alkukin
Roei Alkukin Midfielder
6.72
23
Amit Lemkin
Amit Lemkin
Midfielder89'
6.55
35
Douglas Owusu
Douglas Owusu Midfielder
6.73
27
Mor Buskila
Mor Buskila
Attacker63'
6.87
51
Omri Altman
Omri Altman Midfielder
6.75
10
Xande Silva
Xande Silva
Attacker63'
6.9
98
Falcão
Falcão Midfielder
6.81
9
Emmanuel Boateng
Emmanuel Boateng Attacker
6.3
44
Daniel Dappa
Daniel Dappa
Attacker75'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Amit Lemkin → Roei Alkukin
8th Substitution
89'
Event
Shahar Piven → Marcus Coco
9th Substitution
Event
Federico Cassa → Nicola Zalewski
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Mario Pašalić → Lazar Samardžić
7th Substitution
78'
75'
Event
Daniel Dappa → Emmanuel Boateng
5th Substitution
Event
Nikola Krstović → Gianluca Scamacca
3rd Substitution
63'
63'
Event
Mor Buskila → Douglas Owusu
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Xande Silva → Omri Altman
4th Substitution
54'
Event
Omri Altman
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Giacomo Raspadori
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
48'
1ST-HALF
32'
Event
Andrian Kraev
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Thomas Kristensen → Giorgio Scalvini
1st Substitution
26'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Mor Buskila takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ederson Jose dos Santos takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Giacomo Raspadori takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Update Update
On Amit Lemkin, off Roee Alkokin.
89
Update Update
Shahar Piven-Bachtiar comes on for Marcus Regis Coco.
88
Attempt Attempt
Nikola Krstovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Attempt Attempt
Xande Silva takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
78
Update Update
Federico Cassa replaces Nicola Zalewski.
78
Update Update
Mario Pasalic replaces Lazar Samardzic.
75
Update Update
Daniel Dappa is on, and Emmanuel Boateng is off.
71
Attempt Attempt
Xande Silva's header is saved.
67
Attempt Attempt
Nikola Krstovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
63
Update Update
Nikola Krstovic replaces Gianluca Scamacca.
63
Update Update
Mor Buskila is on, and Douglas Owusu is off.
63
Update Update
Mor Buskila replaces Douglas Owusu.
54
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Omri Altman.
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Omri Altman.
49
Attempt Attempt
Omri Altman's right-footed shot is blocked.
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Giacomo Raspadori.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Giacomo Raspadori receives a yellow card.
44
Attempt Attempt
Giacomo Raspadori takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
44
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Kristensen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
36
Attempt Attempt
Gianluca Scamacca takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Attempt Attempt
Roee Alkokin takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Andrian Kraev.
26
Update Update
Thomas Kristensen is on, and Giorgio Scalvini is off.
24
Attempt Attempt
Emmanuel Boateng takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Nicola Zalewski takes a left-footed shot but misses.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Javier Alberola Rojas.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv. Structural assessment: Hapoel Tel Aviv exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.