Astana vs Dinamo City preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Astana Arena Today - 3:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Astana AST
Dinamo City Dinamo City
KICKOFF : Today - 3:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 0

CONTEXT

Astana host Dinamo City in Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round) at Astana Arena. Power ranking favours Dinamo City by 1.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dinamo City hold a +1.5 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Astana sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Astana show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Dinamo City have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Dinamo City carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Dinamo City hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Astana 63.1% (Δ-1.8%) | Draw 23.2% (Δ+0.6%) | Dinamo City 13.7% (Δ+1.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Astana G. Babayan
G. Babayan
VS
Dinamo City I. Daja
I. Daja
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo City Rank: 41 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Astana Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Astana
63.13%
Draw
23.18%
Away Dinamo City
13.69%

Movement

Changes since opening
Astana
-1.83%
Draw
+0.61%
Dinamo City
+1.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
48.52
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Astana
Dinamo City
Power Score
48.52
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Astana — Opponent-weighted form score
Dinamo City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Astana Dinamo City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Astana AST Home
1 matches
Dinamo City Dinamo City Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-15T00:02:56+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 16, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 0
Stadium
Astana Arena
Capacity
14356
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oscar Johnson
Marcus Lundgren
Sebastian Robertsson
Adi Aganovic

Squad

Referee : Oscar Johnson

Squad ▼

93
Josip Čondrić
Josip Čondrić Goalkeeper
74
Mukhamedjan Seysen
Mukhamedjan Seysen Goalkeeper
99
Danila Karpikov
Danila Karpikov Goalkeeper
2
Karlo Bartolec
Karlo Bartolec Defender
3
Branimir Kalaica
Branimir Kalaica Defender
77
Dmitriy Shomko
Dmitriy Shomko Defender
15
Abzal Beysebekov
Abzal Beysebekov Defender
11
Yan Vorogovskiy
Yan Vorogovskiy Defender
6
Alibek Kassym
Alibek Kassym Defender
—
Ivan Miladinović
Ivan Miladinović Defender
5
Kipras Kažukolovas
Kipras Kažukolovas Defender
52
Timur Tokenov
Timur Tokenov Defender
4
Sanzhar Anuarov
Sanzhar Anuarov Defender
21
Alexander Merkel
Alexander Merkel Midfielder
9
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan Midfielder
8
Ivan Bašić
Ivan Bašić Midfielder
10
Marin Tomasov
Marin Tomasov Attacker
81
Ramazan Karimov
Ramazan Karimov Attacker
72
Stanislav Basmanov
Stanislav Basmanov Attacker
17
Damir Marat
Damir Marat Attacker
20
Nnamdi Franklin Ahanonu
Nnamdi Franklin Ahanonu Attacker
Referee : Oscar Johnson

Squad ▼

1
Edmir Sali
Edmir Sali Goalkeeper
77
Aldo Teqja
Aldo Teqja Goalkeeper
97
Tomas Kiri
Tomas Kiri Goalkeeper
27
Naser Aliji
Naser Aliji Defender
22
Bruno Dita
Bruno Dita Defender
5
Erion Hoxhallari
Erion Hoxhallari Defender
47
Lorran de Oliveira Quintanilha
Lorran de Oliveira Quintanilha Defender
93
Faton Neziri
Faton Neziri Defender
14
Bekim Maliqi
Bekim Maliqi Defender
13
Fabjan Përndreca
Fabjan Përndreca Defender
28
Isi Manellari
Isi Manellari Midfielder
8
Eridon Qardaku
Eridon Qardaku Midfielder
88
Flamur Ruçi
Flamur Ruçi Midfielder
21
Klevi Qefalija
Klevi Qefalija Midfielder
—
Bakary Goudiaby
Bakary Goudiaby Midfielder
10
Lorenco Vila
Lorenco Vila Attacker
—
Almir Ajzeraj
Almir Ajzeraj Attacker
33
David Adeniyi Fadairo
David Adeniyi Fadairo Attacker
24
Florenc Ferruku
Florenc Ferruku Attacker
11
Ruben Silva-Richards
Ruben Silva-Richards Attacker
29
Hekuran Berisha
Hekuran Berisha Attacker
45
Bright James
Bright James Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Dinamo City holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Dinamo City a 1.5-point edge. External projection is Astana 64.7%, draw 22.9%, and Dinamo City 12.4%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.