Ashby Ivanhoe vs Worcester Raiders preview

England flag 2026/2027 FA Cup, England
FA Cup
3 1
Worcester RaidersWORA
Full Time
Extra Preliminary Round Replays

CONTEXT

The match between Ashby Ivanhoe and Worcester Raiders concluded with a 3-1 victory for the home team. The halftime score stood at 1-0, reflecting an early advantage for Ashby Ivanhoe. Throughout the game, the stronger team maintained control and added two more goals in the second half to secure the win. No red cards were shown to either side, allowing for a full complement of players on the pitch. The significant deviation of 100 percent was attributed to Ashby Ivanhoe, highlighting their performance beyond initial projections. Market alignment held true, and the efficiency shift remained in line with the overall match dynamics. Absence of xG data prevents detailed alignment analysis, but the result aligned with the stronger team's expected outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The structural deviation was significant at 100 percent for Ashby Ivanhoe.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was available to determine alignment with the outcome.
  • Market alignment: The market alignment was true for the final result.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed due to null values in the data.
  • Event impact: The goals scored after halftime impacted the final score of 3-1.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in no distortion to the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Ashby Ivanhoe Ashby Ivanhoe
Ashby Ivanhoe
VS
Worcester Raiders Worcester Raiders
Worcester Raiders
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Worcester Raiders Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ashby Ivanhoe Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ashby Ivanhoe
Worcester Raiders
Power Score
23.33
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Ashby Ivanhoe Opponent-weighted form score
Worcester Raiders Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ashby Ivanhoe Worcester Raiders

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Ashby Ivanhoe

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Worcester Raiders

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ashby Ivanhoe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Worcester Raiders
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ashby Ivanhoe Worcester Raiders
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ashby Ivanhoe Worcester Raiders
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ashby Ivanhoe
Worcester Raiders
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Ashby Ivanhoe
vs
Worcester Raiders
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Ashby Ivanhoe Worcester Raiders
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Ashby Ivanhoe Worcester Raiders
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Ashby Ivanhoe
Worcester Raiders
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ashby Ivanhoe ASIV Home
2 matches
Worcester Raiders WORA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:06:29+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 FA Cup, England · Extra Preliminary Round Replays
Stadium
,
Capacity
N/A
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Statistics

Possession
ASIV
75%
WORA
25%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1

CONCLUSION

The victory by Ashby Ivanhoe over Worcester Raiders by 3 goals to 1 demonstrates the home side's ability to capitalize on their opportunities after taking the lead at halftime. With the score progressing from 1-0 to 3-1, the adjustments in the second half proved decisive. The lack of red cards ensured that the game remained balanced in terms of player numbers, avoiding any distortions from dismissals. The structural deviation being significant points to unexpected elements in the performance metrics despite the favored outcome. Efficiency being in line suggests consistent application of tactics. Market alignment confirms the result matched pre-match indicators. Overall, this result reinforces the position of Ashby Ivanhoe as the dominant side in this encounter without reliance on external factors.