Ascoli vs Potenza Calcio preview

Italy flag 2026/2027 Coppa Italia, Italy
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca Today - 6:30 PM
Coppa Italia
AscoliASC
3 1
Potenza CalcioPOT
Full Time Today 6:30 PM
Preliminary Round
Tommaso Milanese - 23'
Gabriele Gori - 69'
Unknown - 90'
Goal
|
Goal
G. Selleri - 2'

CONTEXT

Ascoli hosted Potenza Calcio in a match that saw the home side claim a 3-1 victory after a balanced first half. The teams entered the break level at 1-1 with both sides trading early goals. Ascoli controlled the majority of possession at 62 percent compared to Potenza Calcio's 38 percent. The second half brought a decisive shift as Ascoli added two more goals to secure the win. No red cards were shown to either team throughout the contest. The stronger side Ascoli delivered the expected outcome despite the even halftime score. The game highlighted clear adjustments in the latter stages that proved decisive for the home team.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Ascoli recorded a significant structural deviation of 100 percent as the deviation team.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's overall performance.
  • xG alignment: Outcome consistency with expected goals could not be determined from available data.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with market expectations for the contest.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data remained unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Event impact: Second half adjustments enabled Ascoli to overcome the 1-1 halftime score.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards for either side produced no distortion in the match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Ascoli F. Tomei
F. Tomei
VS
Potenza Calcio I. Tisci
I. Tisci
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ascoli
Potenza Calcio
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ascoli — Opponent-weighted form score
Potenza Calcio — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ascoli Potenza Calcio

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Ascoli

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Potenza Calcio

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ascoli ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Potenza Calcio
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ascoli Potenza Calcio
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ascoli Potenza Calcio
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ascoli
Potenza Calcio
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Ascoli
vs
Potenza Calcio
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Ascoli Potenza Calcio
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Ascoli 0.00
Potenza Calcio 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Ascoli Potenza Calcio
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Ascoli 0.00
Potenza Calcio 0.00
Ascoli
Potenza Calcio
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ASC had peak pressure around 6'.
  • ASC started the game with stronger pressure.
  • Both teams' pressure dropped after the 30th minute.
ASC Pressure POT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ASC reached the top pressure at 6' (53.86).

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Coppa Italia, Italy · Preliminary Round
Stadium
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Capacity
12461
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Statistics

Possession
ASC
62%
POT
38%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
9 Shots 5
92 Dangerous attacks 48
62 Possession 38
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

114 Attacks 76

Squad

Squad ▼

46
Davide Barosi
Davide Barosi Goalkeeper
41
Rok Bržan
Rok Bržan Goalkeeper
1
Samuele Vitale
Samuele Vitale Goalkeeper
3
Manuel Nicoletti
Manuel Nicoletti Defender
30
Marcos Curado
Marcos Curado Defender
33
Nicholas Rizzo
Nicholas Rizzo Defender
17
Abdoul Guiebre
Abdoul Guiebre Defender
2
Gabriele Pagliai
Gabriele Pagliai Defender
23
Manuel Alagna
Manuel Alagna Defender
19
Damiano Menna
Damiano Menna Defender
—
Andrea Caucci
Andrea Caucci Defender
6
Emanuele Ndoj
Emanuele Ndoj Midfielder
4
Samuele Damiani
Samuele Damiani Midfielder
25
Andrea Rizzo Pinna
Andrea Rizzo Pinna Midfielder
62
Tommaso Milanese
Tommaso Milanese Midfielder
80
Giovanni Corradini
Giovanni Corradini Midfielder
—
Luca Lo Scalzo
Luca Lo Scalzo Midfielder
24
Augusto Bando
Augusto Bando Midfielder
10
Ferdinando Del Sole
Ferdinando Del Sole Attacker
18
Simone Corazza
Simone Corazza Attacker
14
Francesco Galuppini
Francesco Galuppini Attacker
35
Gabriele Gori
Gabriele Gori Attacker
9
Amine Chakir
Amine Chakir Attacker
7
Andrea Silipo
Andrea Silipo Attacker
11
Enrico Oviszach
Enrico Oviszach Attacker
15
Simone D'Uffizi
Simone D'Uffizi Attacker
28
Filippo Palazzino
Filippo Palazzino Attacker
—
Kevin Gorica
Kevin Gorica Attacker

Squad ▼

17
Tommaso Cucchietti
Tommaso Cucchietti Goalkeeper
—
Denis Franchi
Denis Franchi Goalkeeper
98
Claud Adjapong
Claud Adjapong Defender
26
Niko Kirwan
Niko Kirwan Defender
6
Giuseppe Loiacono
Giuseppe Loiacono Defender
47
Raul Alessandro Bura
Raul Alessandro Bura Defender
—
Luca Russo
Luca Russo Defender
—
Nicolò Verza
Nicolò Verza Defender
—
Vincenzo Galletta
Vincenzo Galletta Defender
—
Davide Giannini
Davide Giannini Defender
2
Elio Landi
Elio Landi Defender
19
Marco Balzano
Marco Balzano Defender
5
Lucas Felippe Nascimento
Lucas Felippe Nascimento Midfielder
8
Manuele Castorani
Manuele Castorani Midfielder
77
Matteo Ghisolfi
Matteo Ghisolfi Midfielder
23
Antonino De Marco
Antonino De Marco Midfielder
—
Matteo Manfredonia
Matteo Manfredonia Midfielder
—
Lorenzo Ferro
Lorenzo Ferro Midfielder
—
Augusto Bando
Augusto Bando Midfielder
10
Gianluca D'Auria
Gianluca D'Auria Attacker
9
Jacopo Murano
Jacopo Murano Attacker
92
Nicolò Bruschi
Nicolò Bruschi Attacker
30
Luca Petrungaro
Luca Petrungaro Attacker
70
Gabriele Selleri
Gabriele Selleri Attacker
11
Luca Mazzeo
Luca Mazzeo Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
4th Goal
90'
Event
Gabriele Gori
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
69'
Event
4th Yellowcard
53'
52'
Event
3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Tommaso Milanese
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
23'
Event
1st Yellowcard
16'
2'
Event
G. Selleri
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Ascoli completed a strong turnaround after the interval to finish 3-1 winners over Potenza Calcio. The home side leveraged greater possession and clinical finishing to pull clear in the second half. With the score tied at halftime the adjustments made proved effective in turning the contest. Potenza Calcio struggled to maintain their early parity once the momentum shifted. The clean disciplinary record allowed both teams to focus purely on tactical execution without numerical disadvantages. Ascoli's ability to capitalize on opportunities underscored their status as the stronger side. This result reinforces their position while highlighting areas for the visitors to address in future outings.