Arsenal vs Real Betis preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Aviva Stadium Wed, 5 Aug - 6:45 PM
Club Friendlies 1
ArsenalARS
1 3
Real BetisBET
Full Time Wed, 5 Aug 6:45 PM
Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

In a surprising turn of events, Arsenal hosted Real Betis and suffered a 1-3 defeat. The match saw the away team take an early lead, with the halftime score already reflecting the final 1-3 result. Arsenal managed 56 percent possession but failed to convert their dominance into goals effectively. Real Betis, despite having less of the ball at 44 percent, proved more efficient in front of goal. As the stronger team according to pre-match assessments, Arsenal's loss marked a significant deviation. The visitors from Spain executed their game plan perfectly to claim the win on the road. No disciplinary issues arose as both sides avoided red cards entirely. This outcome underscores the challenges of European competition for Premier League sides.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Arsenal 1-3 Real Betis. Real Betis showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the final result.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was market aligned according to available metrics.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remain unassessed without supporting figures.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the match trajectory beyond the scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent with no dismissals recorded.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Hennessy
R. Hennessy
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Arsenal M. Arteta
M. Arteta
VS
Real Betis M. Pellegrini
M. Pellegrini
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Girona Rank: 79 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
98.65
86.81
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Arsenal
Real Betis
Power Score
98.65
86.81
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
3
38

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Arsenal — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Betis — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Arsenal Real Betis

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Arsenal

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Real Betis

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Arsenal ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Betis
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
19.91
27.61
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.61
19.91
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Arsenal -0.08 Efficiency Index
vs
Real Betis +0.08 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Arsenal
Real Betis
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Arsenal ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Betis
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Arsenal Real Betis
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Arsenal Real Betis
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Arsenal
Real Betis
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Arsenal
vs
Real Betis
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Arsenal Real Betis
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Arsenal 0.21
Real Betis 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Arsenal Real Betis
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Arsenal 0.07
Real Betis 0.02
Arsenal
Real Betis
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ARS had peak pressure around 33'.
  • ARS started the game with stronger pressure.
ARS Pressure BET Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ARS reached the top pressure at 33' (71.14).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 05, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Aviva Stadium
Capacity
55359
Attendance
50000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Robert Hennessy

Statistics

Possession
ARS
54%
BET
46%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
3 Big Chances Created 3
2 Shots 2
43 Dangerous attacks 43
56 Possession 44
2 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

1 Goal Kicks 4
14 Substitutions 6
10 Throwins 4
1 Assists 3
24 Dribble Attempts 17
12 Successful Dribbles 8
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47

Attacking

102 Attacks 102
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

23 Long Passes 52
593 Passes 462
544 Successful Passes 407
92 Successful Passes Percentage 88
7 Key Passes 10
20 Successful Long Passes 28
87 Successful Long Passes Percentage 54

Defensive

4 Saves 1
15 Tackles 20
6 Interceptions 15
51 Duels Won 44

Build-up

7 Total Crosses 8
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

4 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Robert Hennessy

Starting XI ▼

13
Kepa Arrizabalaga
Kepa Arrizabalaga Goalkeeper
6.22
30
Illan Meslier
Illan Meslier
Goalkeeper62'
6.65
3
Cristhian Mosquera
Cristhian Mosquera Defender
6.12
89
Marli Salmon
Marli Salmon
Defender46'
6.47
4
Ben White
Ben White (C) Defender
6.11
39
Louie Copley
Louie Copley
Midfielder46'
6.51
5
Piero Hincapié
Piero Hincapié Defender
6.94
6
Gabriel
Gabriel
Defender46'
6.43
33
Riccardo Calafiori
Riccardo Calafiori Defender
5.94
52
Josh Ogunnaike
Josh Ogunnaike
Defender62'
6.44
22
Ethan Nwaneri
Ethan Nwaneri Midfielder
6.42
53
Ceadach O'Neill
Ceadach O'Neill
Attacker77'
6.35
29
Kai Havertz
Kai Havertz Midfielder
6.11
21
Fábio Vieira
Fábio Vieira
Midfielder46'
6.65
49
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Myles Lewis-Skelly Midfielder
6.55
44
Ife Ibrahim
Ife Ibrahim
Midfielder62'
6.65
14
Viktor Gyökeres
Viktor Gyökeres Attacker
6.33
9
Gabriel Jesus
Gabriel Jesus
Attacker46'
7.08
17
Christos Tzolis
Christos Tzolis Attacker
6.78
11
Gabriel Martinelli
Gabriel Martinelli
Attacker46'
6.64
56
Max Dowman
Max Dowman Attacker
6.3
24
Reiss Nelson
Reiss Nelson
Attacker46'
6.95
Referee : Robert Hennessy

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Valles
Álvaro Valles Goalkeeper
6.18
2
Héctor Bellerín
Héctor Bellerín (C) Defender
6.67
4
Natan
Natan Defender
6.83
5
Marc Bartra
Marc Bartra Defender
6.5
3
Diego Llorente
Diego Llorente
Defender73'
6.36
11
Fran García
Fran García Defender
6.29
23
Junior Firpo
Junior Firpo
Defender73'
6.44
6
Facundo Bernal
Facundo Bernal Midfielder
7.37
16
Valentín Gómez
Valentín Gómez
Defender85'
6.41
8
Pablo Fornals
Pablo Fornals Midfielder
8.86
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
Rodrigo Riquelme Midfielder
7.62
27
José Antonio Morante
José Antonio Morante
Attacker85'
6.52
33
Pablo García
Pablo García Midfielder
7.11
7
Antony
Antony
Attacker73'
6.58
34
Gnangoro
Gnangoro Midfielder
6.37
22
Isco
Isco
Midfielder46'
6.57
18
Nelson Deossa
Nelson Deossa Attacker
7.99

Events

2ND-HALF
85'
Event
Valentín Gómez → Facundo Bernal 
19th Substitution
85'
Event
José Antonio Morante → Rodrigo Riquelme
20th Substitution
Event
Ismeal Kabia → Gabriel Martinelli
17th Substitution
77'
Event
Ceadach O'Neill → Ethan Nwaneri
18th Substitution
77'
Event
Brayden Clarke  → Gabriel
16th Substitution
76'
73'
Event
Antony → Pablo García
13th Substitution
73'
Event
Junior Firpo → Fran García
14th Substitution
73'
Event
Diego Llorente → Marc Bartra
15th Substitution
Event
Ife Ibrahim → Myles Lewis-Skelly
10th Substitution
62'
Event
Illan Meslier → Kepa Arrizabalaga
11th Substitution
62'
Event
Josh Ogunnaike → Riccardo Calafiori
12th Substitution
62'
Event
Marli Salmon
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
61'
Event
Theo Julienne → Louie Copley
9th Substitution
56'
Event
Louie Copley → Ben White 
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Gabriel Jesus → Viktor Gyökeres
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Gabriel → Piero Hincapié
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Gabriel Martinelli → Christos Tzolis
5th Substitution
46'
Event
Reiss Nelson → Max Dowman
6th Substitution
46'
Event
Marli Salmon → Cristhian Mosquera
7th Substitution
46'
Event
Fábio Vieira → Kai Havertz
8th Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Isco → Gnangoro
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
43'
Event
Pablo Fornals
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Piero Hincapié
Header / 3rd Goal
32'
26'
Event
Nelson Deossa
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
9'
Event
Rodrigo Riquelme
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Jesus takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Update Update
Valentin Gomez comes on for Facundo Bernal.
85
Update Update
José Morante replaces Rodrigo Riquelme.
78
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Riquelme takes a right-footed shot but misses.
73
Update Update
Antony Matheus dos Santos is on, and Pablo Garcia is off.
73
Update Update
Diego Javier Llorente Rios replaces Marc Bartra Aregall.
73
Update Update
Hector Junior Firpo Adames comes on for Fran Garcia.
67
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Jesus takes a right-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Francisco R. Alarcon Suarez,Isco Right Footed Shot Saved
62
Update Update
Joshua Ogunnaike replaces Riccardo Calafiori.
62
Update Update
Ifeoluwa David Ibrahim comes on for Myles Lewis-Skelly.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Illan Meslier comes on for Kepa Arrizabalaga Revuelta.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Marli Salmon.
56
Substitution Substitution
Theo Julienne is substituted for Louie Copley.
53
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Jesus takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Nelson Alexander Deossa Suarez with his left foot, but it's blocked.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Vieira takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Louie Copley comes on for Benjamin William White.
46
Substitution Substitution
Marli Salmon is substituted for Cristhian Mosquera.
46
Update Update
Francisco R. Alarcon Suarez, Isco, comes on for Pablo Fornals.
46
Update Update
Gabriel Jesus is on, and Viktor Gyokeres is off.
46
Update Update
Fabio Vieira comes on for Ethan Nwaneri.
46
Substitution Substitution
Reiss Nelson is substituted on for Max Dowman.
46
Update Update
Gabriel Teodoro Martinelli Silva comes on for Christos Tzolis.
46
Update Update
Gabriel Dos Santos Magalhaes is on, and Piero Hincapie is off.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Pablo Fornals scores, making it 1-3.
43
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-3.
39
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Garcia takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
38
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Gyokeres takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Riquelme takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Garcia takes a left-footed shot but misses.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Piero Hincapie Head Shot Goal
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Piero Hincapie scores, making it 1-2.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Nelson Alexander Deossa Suarez scores with a left-footed shot.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nelson Alexander Deossa Suarez scores, making it 0-2.
21
Attempt Attempt
Ethan Nwaneri takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Rodrigo Riquelme scores with a right-footed shot.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rodrigo Riquelme scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Pablo Fornals.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Gyokeres takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has taken place!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Arsenal 1-3 Real Betis. Structural assessment: Real Betis exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.