Arouca vs Marítimo preview
2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Arouca secured a 2-1 victory over Marítimo after a balanced first half that ended 1-1. The home side maintained 52 percent possession while the visitors held 48 percent. Expected goals stood at 1.35 for Arouca and 0.98 for Marítimo, creating a differential of 0.37 that matched the final result. Both teams avoided any red cards during the contest. Arouca as the stronger side delivered the winning goal after the interval to complete the turnaround. The performance reflected steady adjustments without major interruptions. This outcome confirmed the alignment between on-field events and underlying metrics.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Arouca exhibited significant structural deviation in their approach against Marítimo.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's profile.
-
xG alignment: The final result proved consistent with the xG differential of 0.37.
-
Market alignment: The outcome stayed market aligned based on available indicators.
-
xG expectations: Arouca's xG of 1.35 surpassed Marítimo's 0.98 in line with the 2-1 score.
-
Event impact: Goals in each half shaped the contest without additional disruptions.
-
Red card distortion: Zero red cards for both sides eliminated any red card distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
71.74
39.42
Arouca
Marítimo
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Arouca
Marítimo
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Arouca
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Arouca
Arouca
Marítimo
Arouca
Marítimo
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Arouca
Arouca
Marítimo
Arouca
Marítimo
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- FCA had peak pressure around 17'.
- CSM started the game with stronger pressure.
STARTING XI
General Information
Next Match
Arouca
vs
Estoril
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Mon, 7 Sep - 7:15 PM
Venue: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Marítimo
vs
Benfica
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sat, 5 Sep - 5:00 PM
Venue: Estádio do Marítimo
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼


















































Match Commentary