Arka Gdynia vs Górnik Zabrze preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Wed, 13 May - 4:00 PM
Ekstraklasa
Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia
Górnik ZabrzeGórnik Zabrze
KICKOFF : Wed, 13 May - 4:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Arka Gdynia face a tough challenge at home against fourth-placed Górnik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa regular season clash at Stadion Miejski. Sitting 17th in the table, the hosts are under pressure to climb out of the relegation zone, while Górnik aim to solidify their top-four position. Górnik hold a clear edge with a power score of 67.18 against Arka's 50.25, translating to a 16.9-point advantage. Recent form also favors the visitors, who score 27.28 compared to Arka's modest 13.89. With no recent outings detailed, this matchup hinges on Górnik's superior standing and momentum. Arka will need a strong defensive showing at home to counter Górnik's attacking threat in this pivotal encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Arka Gdynia languish in 17th place while Górnik Zabrze occupy 4th in the Ekstraklasa table.
  • Form: Górnik Zabrze's form score of 27.28 significantly outpaces Arka Gdynia's 13.89.
  • Squad: Górnik Zabrze's squad power rates at 67.18, superior to Arka Gdynia's 50.25.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available for this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxy data used for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Arka Gdynia 26.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.2% (Δ+0%) | Górnik Zabrze 45% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Arka Gdynia D. Banasik
D. Banasik
VS
Górnik Zabrze M. Gašparík
M. Gašparík
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: 72 D
Piast Gliwice Rank: 60 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 63 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 63 W
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 64 W
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 66 D
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 W
Widzew Lodz Rank: 61 D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 5 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Arka Gdynia
26.77%
Draw
28.19%
Away Górnik Zabrze
45.04%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50.25
67.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Arka Gdynia
Górnik Zabrze
Power Score
50.25
67.18
League Position
17
4
Global Rank
620
274

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Arka Gdynia — Opponent-weighted form score
Górnik Zabrze — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Arka Gdynia Górnik Zabrze

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia Home
17 matches
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze Away
Match Record
7
Wins
5
5
Draws
5
5
Losses
7
Goals
22
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
22
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:05:16+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Grobelny
1 J. Grobelny
E. Gómez Hermoso
23 E. Gómez Hermoso
M. Marcjanik
29 M. Marcjanik
D. Gojny
94 D. Gojny
D. Zator
4 D. Zator
M. Rzuchowski
91 M. Rzuchowski
K. Jakubczyk
35 K. Jakubczyk
D. Abramowicz
33 D. Abramowicz
Oskar Kubiak
7 Oskar Kubiak
V. Gutkovskis
19 V. Gutkovskis
S. Kerk
37 S. Kerk

General Information

Date & Time
May 13, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski
Capacity
15300
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Jedrzej Grobelny
Jedrzej Grobelny Goalkeeper
7.17
4
Dominick Zator
Dominick Zator Midfielder
6.47
33
Dawid Abramowicz
Dawid Abramowicz Midfielder
6.81
19
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
Vladislavs Gutkovskis Centre Forward
6.81
37
Sebastian Kerk
Sebastian Kerk Attacker
7.03
7
O. Kubiak
O. Kubiak Attacker
6.76
23
Kike Hermoso
Kike Hermoso Right Back
6.86
35
Kamil Jakubczyk
Kamil Jakubczyk Central Midfield
6.74
91
Michal Rzuchowski
Michal Rzuchowski Central Midfield
6.59
29
Michal Marcjanik
Michal Marcjanik Centre Back
6.7
94
Dawid Gojny
Dawid Gojny Left Back
6.74

Starting XI ▼

1
Marcel Lubik
Marcel Lubik Goalkeeper
6.64
7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Yvan Ikia Dimi Attacker
6.62
23
Sondre Liseth
Sondre Liseth Centre Forward
6.91
33
Maksym Khlan
Maksym Khlan Attacker
6.95
8
Patrik Hellebrand
Patrik Hellebrand Central Midfield
7.32
18
Lukas Ambros
Lukas Ambros Central Midfield
6.92
14
Jaroslaw Kubicki
Jaroslaw Kubicki Central Midfield
7.03
16
Pawel Olkowski
Pawel Olkowski Right Back
6.8
64
Erik Janza
Erik Janza Left Back
7.09
26
Rafal Janicki
Rafal Janicki Right Back
7.02
4
Pawel Bochniewicz
Pawel Bochniewicz Left Back
6.78

CONCLUSION

Górnik Zabrze enter as clear favorites, leveraging their higher league position, superior power rating, and better form to dominate proceedings at Stadion Miejski. Arka Gdynia must rally their home support to disrupt Górnik's rhythm, but the visitors' 16.9-point edge suggests control in possession and chances created. Without detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus falls on Górnik's overall quality to secure a vital away win and maintain their top-four push. Arka risk deepening their struggles unless they produce a standout performance.