Apollon vs Brann preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Alphamega Stadium Tue, 11 Aug - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
ApollonAPO
2 4
BrannSKB
Full Time: After Extra Time Tue, 11 Aug 5:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 4
Ivan Ljubic - 86'
Goal
|
Goal
Noah Holm - 90+6', 95'
|
Second yellow card Kristall Máni Ingason 118'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Apollon 2–4 Brann. The result saw Brann take the points. Brann showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 25%–75%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Apollon 2-4 Brann. Brann showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed performance patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be evaluated due to unavailable metrics.
  • Market alignment: The final result was not aligned with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed without available data.
  • Event impact: The second-half red card altered the match dynamics for both sides.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion served as the primary second-half adjustment factor.
  • Market: Apollon 40.4% (Δ+33.4%) | Draw 27% (Δ-60%) | Brann 32.6% (Δ+26.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Harvey
R. Harvey
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
W. McDonnell
W. McDonnell
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Keegan
D. Keegan
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. O'Sullivan
K. O'Sullivan
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Apollon H. Losada
H. Losada
VS
Brann E. Horneland
E. Horneland
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann Rank: 72 W
Dila Rank: W
Dila Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Apollon Rank: L
Universitatea Cluj Rank: 72 W
Universitatea Cluj Rank: 73 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Apollon
40.38%
Draw
26.99%
Away Brann
32.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Apollon
+33.42%
Draw
-60.02%
Brann
+26.61%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
28.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Apollon
Brann
Power Score
50
28.5
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Apollon — Opponent-weighted form score
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Apollon Brann

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Apollon

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brann

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Apollon ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brann
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.40
4.93
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
4.93
21.40
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Apollon +1.44 Efficiency Index
vs
Brann -1.44 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Apollon
Brann
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Apollon ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brann
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Apollon Brann
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Apollon Brann
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Apollon
Brann
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Apollon
vs
Brann
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Apollon Brann
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Apollon 0.00
Brann 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Apollon Brann
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Apollon 0.05
Brann 0.02
Apollon
Brann
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • APO had peak pressure around 42'.
  • APO started the game with stronger pressure.
  • Both teams' pressure dropped after the 30th minute.
APO Pressure SKB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: APO reached the top pressure at 42' (51.44).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Apollon APO Home
1 matches
Brann SKB Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:00:53+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 11, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 4
Stadium
Alphamega Stadium
Capacity
10900
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Robert Harvey
Wayne McDonnell
Darragh Keegan
Kevin O'Sullivan

Statistics

Possession
APO
51%
SKB
49%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 4
8 Shots 5
107 Dangerous attacks 74
25 Possession 75
9 Corners 1
18 Free kicks 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

105 Ball Safe 102
2 Goal Kicks 3
15 Goal Attempts 11
6 Substitutions 4
34 Throwins 35
0 Injuries 2

Attacking

141 Attacks 124

Defensive

2 Saves 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Robert Harvey

Starting XI ▼

22
Philipp Kühn
Philipp Kühn Goalkeeper
5.38
14
Giorgos Malekkidis
Giorgos Malekkidis (C) Defender
5.7
37
Leonidas Konomis
Leonidas Konomis Defender
5.69
44
Josef Kvida
Josef Kvida Defender
6.05
4
Emanuel Aiwu
Emanuel Aiwu
Defender90'
6.05
76
Bruno Gaspar
Bruno Gaspar Defender
6.05
26
Andreas Siikkis
Andreas Siikkis
Defender90'
6.04
5
Morgan Brown
Morgan Brown Midfielder
6.23
23
Brandon Thomas
Brandon Thomas Midfielder
6.37
99
Iké Ugbo
Iké Ugbo
Attacker74'
6.38
27
Gaétan Weissbeck
Gaétan Weissbeck Midfielder
6.28
17
Clinton Duodu
Clinton Duodu
Midfielder106'
6.5
77
Ivan Ljubic
Ivan Ljubic Midfielder
6.28
9
Alen Ozbolt
Alen Ozbolt Attacker
6.42
12
Gustavo Assunção
Gustavo Assunção
Midfielder74'
6.18
30
Dani Escriche
Dani Escriche Attacker
6.46
38
Konstantinos Balogiannis
Konstantinos Balogiannis
Defender90+1'
6.5
Referee : Robert Harvey

Starting XI ▼

1
Mathias Dyngeland
Mathias Dyngeland Goalkeeper
5.88
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen (C) Defender
6.04
6
Cheikh Mbacke
Cheikh Mbacke
Defender106'
6.5
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Defender
6.5
20
Vetle Dragsnes
Vetle Dragsnes
Defender81'
6.52
21
Denzel De Roeve
Denzel De Roeve Defender
6.05
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Defender
6.05
10
Kristall Máni Ingason
Kristall Máni Ingason Midfielder
6.32
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen Midfielder
6.84
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Jacob Lungi Sørensen Midfielder
6.27
19
Eggert Aron Gudmundsson
Eggert Aron Gudmundsson Midfielder
6.61
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm
Attacker74'
2
7.06
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg Midfielder
6.37
11
Bård Finne
Bård Finne
Attacker89'
6.46
9
Niklas Castro
Niklas Castro Attacker
6.42
22
Sævar Atli Magnússon
Sævar Atli Magnússon
Attacker89'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
118'
Event
Kristall Máni Ingason
Second Yellow Card / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Clinton Duodu  → Gaétan Weissbeck
11th Substitution
106'
106'
Event
Cheikh Mbacke → Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen 
10th Substitution
105'
Event
Kristian Eriksen
Field Goal / 6th Goal
Event
Andreas Siikkis
6th Yellowcard
100'
95'
Event
Noah Holm
Field Goal / 5th Goal
Event
Gaétan Weissbeck
Field Goal / 4th Goal
92'
90+6'
Event
Noah Holm
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
Event
Konstantinos Balogiannis → Dani Escriche
9th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Emanuel Aiwu → Josef Kvida
7th Substitution
90'
Event
Andreas Siikkis → Bruno Gaspar
8th Substitution
90'
89'
Event
Bård Finne → Niklas Jensen Wassberg
5th Substitution
89'
Event
Sævar Atli Magnússon  → Niklas Castro
6th Substitution
Event
Ivan Ljubic
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
86'
81'
Event
Vetle Dragsnes → Joachim Soltvedt
4th Substitution
Event
Gustavo Assunção → Alen Ozbolt
1st Substitution
74'
Event
Iké Ugbo → Brandon Thomas
3rd Substitution
74'
Event
Leonidas Konomis
5th Yellowcard
74'
74'
Event
Noah Holm → Eggert Aron Gudmundsson 
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Kristall Máni Ingason
4th Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Alen Ozbolt
3rd Yellowcard
43'
32'
Event
Niklas Castro
2nd Yellowcard
30'
Event
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen 
1st Yellowcard
16'
Event
Kristall Máni Ingason
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

118
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card issued to Kristall Mani Ingason.
113
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
109
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
106
Update Update
Diop Mbacke comes on for Fredrik Knudsen.
106
Update Update
Clinton Duodu replaces Gaetan Weissbeck.
105
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kristian Eriksen scores, making it 2-4, assisted by Vetle Dragsnes.
100
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
94
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Noah Jean Holm scores to make it 2-3, assisted by Kristian Eriksen.
92
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gaetan Weissbeck scores, bringing the match to a 2-2 draw.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
On Konstantinos Balogiannis, off Daniel Escriche Romero.
90
Update Update
On comes Konstantinos Balogiannis, off goes Daniel Escriche Romero.
90
Update Update
Emanuel Aiwu comes on for Josef Kvida.
90
Update Update
Antreas Shikkis comes on for Bruno Gaspar.
89
Update Update
Saevar Atli Magnusson comes on for Niklas Castro.
88
Update Update
Bard Finne is on, and Niklas Jensen Wassberg is off.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
81
Update Update
Vetle Dragsnes is on, and Joachim Soltvedt is off.
74
Update Update
Noah Jean Holm replaces Eggert Aron Gudmundsson.
74
Substitution Substitution
Ike Ugbo is substituted off for Brandon Thomas Llamas.
74
Update Update
Gustavo Amaro Assuncao replaces Alen Ozbolt.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Konomis receives a yellow card.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
29
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kristall Mani Ingason scores to make it 0-1, assisted by Eggert Aron Gudmundsson.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Robert Harvey.

CONCLUSION

Brann overcame a numerical disadvantage to claim a 4-2 away win and progress on aggregate. Apollon held only 25 percent possession and could not convert home advantage into a positive result. The halftime score of 0-1 set the tone for a second half shaped by the red card. Despite being labeled the stronger team Apollon fell short of expectations. The significant deviation recorded by Brann highlighted their clinical finishing. Overall the tie concluded with Brann advancing after two legs of contrasting fortunes.