Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Bosuilstadion Sun, 10 May - 2:00 PM
Pro League
AntwerpANT
Sporting CharleroiSPC
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 2:00 PM
Round 7 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Antwerp host Sporting Charleroi in Pro League (Conference League Play-off Group) at Bosuilstadion. Power ranking favours Sporting Charleroi by 1.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting Charleroi possesses a 1.2-point power advantage over Antwerp with scores of 71.63 to 70.47.
  • Form: Both Antwerp and Sporting Charleroi have form scores of zero with no recent outings recorded.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates or injuries reported for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data not available due to missing advanced statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable as xG information is not enabled.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent for both teams in current dataset.
  • Market: Antwerp 38.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.3% (Δ+0%) | Sporting Charleroi 33.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Antwerp J. Oosting
J. Oosting
VS
Sporting Charleroi M. Kohnen
M. Kohnen
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.18
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Standard Liège Rank: 69 L
Westerlo Rank: 71 W
Standard Liège Rank: 70 W
OH Leuven Rank: 66 W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 L
Genk Rank: 76 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: 77 W
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Genk Rank: 77 D
Standard Liège Rank: 68 L
Antwerp Rank: 71 W
Westerlo Rank: 71 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 4 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Antwerp
38.3%
Draw
28.28%
Away Sporting Charleroi
33.42%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.47
71.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Antwerp
Sporting Charleroi
Power Score
70.47
71.63
League Position
10
11
Global Rank
200
169

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Antwerp — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Charleroi — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Antwerp Sporting Charleroi

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. Nozawa
41 T. Nozawa
Z. Van Den Bosch
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
Y. Tsunashima
4 Y. Tsunashima
D. Foulon
5 D. Foulon
A. Valencia
14 A. Valencia
D. Praet
8 D. Praet
Xander Dierckx
78 Xander Dierckx
E. Tuypens
56 E. Tuypens
Y. Hamdaoui
43 Y. Hamdaoui
C. Scott
30 C. Scott
G. Kerk
7 G. Kerk

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 7 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium
Bosuilstadion
Capacity
16649
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bert Verbeke
Tom Vanpoucke
Gianni Seeldraeyers
Arne De Beuckelaer

Expected Lineup

Referee : Bert Verbeke

Starting XI ▼

41
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
Taishi Brandon Nozawa Goalkeeper
6.93
30
Christopher Scott
Christopher Scott Midfielder
6.97
43
Youssef Hamdaoui
Youssef Hamdaoui Midfielder
6.69
56
Eran Tuypens
Eran Tuypens Midfielder
6.64
14
Anthony Valencia
Anthony Valencia Midfielder
6.89
7
Gyrano Kerk
Gyrano Kerk Centre Forward
6.84
4
Yuto Tsunashima
Yuto Tsunashima Centre Back
6.86
5
Daam Foulon
Daam Foulon Left Back
6.81
33
Zeno Van Den Bosch
Zeno Van Den Bosch Right Back
6.85
8
Dennis Praet
Dennis Praet Central Midfield
6.92
78
Xander Dierckx
Xander Dierckx Central Midfield
6.35
Referee : Bert Verbeke

Starting XI ▼

30
Mohamed Koné
Mohamed Koné Goalkeeper
7.01
21
Aurélien Scheidler
Aurélien Scheidler Centre Forward
6.5
3
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Right Wing
6.83
4
Aiham Ousou
Aiham Ousou Right Back
6.88
17
Antoine Bernier
Antoine Bernier Left Wing
6.82
27
Lewin Blum
Lewin Blum Right Back
6.67
40
Yassine Khalifi
Yassine Khalifi Defensive Midfield
6.72
95
Check Keita
Check Keita Left Back
6.71
5
Étienne Camara
Étienne Camara Defensive Midfield
6.88
8
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas Attacking Midfield
6.74
24
Mardochée Nzita
Mardochée Nzita Left Back
6.73

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Sporting Charleroi holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Sporting Charleroi a 1.2-point edge. External projection is Antwerp 37.4%, draw 28.6%, and Sporting Charleroi 34%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.