Anderlecht vs PAOK preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Lotto Park Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Europa League
AnderlechtADL
PAOKPKT
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 0

CONTEXT

Anderlecht welcome PAOK to Lotto Park for the second leg of their Europa League third qualifying round tie. The Belgian hosts hold a narrow advantage after claiming a 1-0 victory away in the first leg seven days ago. PAOK arrive as the marginally stronger side on power metrics yet trail on aggregate and must find a way through a resolute Anderlecht defence. Both teams operate with limited recent domestic form data and rely on proxy indicators for set-piece evaluation. The encounter promises a tactical battle where Anderlecht will look to protect their lead while PAOK seek to exploit any transition opportunities. With the tie finely balanced, the home side's organisation and PAOK's attacking intent will shape the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: PAOK holds a narrow overall power advantage of 3.2 points despite playing away.
  • Form: Anderlecht posts a higher recent form score of 38.89 against PAOK's 33.33.
  • Squad: Detailed squad composition data is unavailable for either side ahead of the fixture.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable due to absence of supporting performance data.
  • Transition: Transition phase details are not provided within the current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy data for both teams.
  • xVariable: xVariable indicators are not specified in the available pre-match information.
  • Market: Anderlecht 30.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.2% (Δ+0%) | PAOK 40.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Anderlecht V. Clara Santos Mota Fernandes
V. Clara Santos Mota Fernandes
VS
PAOK A. Lisci
A. Lisci
2.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.2
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
PAOK Rank: 82 W
Hammarby Rank: 70 W
Hammarby Rank: 69 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Anderlecht Rank: 77 L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 69 W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 68 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 83 L
Celta de Vigo Rank: 83 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Anderlecht
30.93%
Draw
28.16%
Away PAOK
40.91%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.54
80.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Anderlecht
PAOK
Power Score
77.54
80.71
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
115
79

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Anderlecht — Opponent-weighted form score
PAOK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Anderlecht PAOK

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Anderlecht ADL Home
1 matches
PAOK PKT Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0.75
xG
2.02
2.02
xGA
0.75

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:13:17+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 13, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 0
Stadium
Lotto Park
Capacity
21500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Simone Sozza
Stefano Alassio
Dario Cecconi
Ermanno Feliciani

Squad

Referee : Simone Sozza

Squad ▼

32
Justin Heekeren
Justin Heekeren Goalkeeper
66
Michiel Haentjens
Michiel Haentjens Goalkeeper
33
Mattis Seghers
Mattis Seghers Goalkeeper
25
Thomas Foket
Thomas Foket Defender
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
Ludwig Augustinsson Defender
27
Léo Pétrot
Léo Pétrot Defender
4
Giulian Biancone
Giulian Biancone Defender
54
Killian Sardella
Killian Sardella Defender
5
Moussa Ndiaye
Moussa Ndiaye Defender
3
Lucas Hey
Lucas Hey Defender
2
Zoumana Keita
Zoumana Keita Defender
7
Ilay Camara
Ilay Camara Defender
50
Kaïs Houdoussi Barry
Kaïs Houdoussi Barry Defender
79
Ali Maamar
Ali Maamar Defender
62
Basile Vroninks
Basile Vroninks Defender
—
Majeed Ashimeru
Majeed Ashimeru Midfielder
70
Alexis Flips
Alexis Flips Midfielder
24
Enric Llansana
Enric Llansana Midfielder
55
Marco Kana
Marco Kana Midfielder
13
N. Saliba
N. Saliba Midfielder
29
M. Stroeykens
M. Stroeykens Midfielder
18
Lukáš Ambros
Lukáš Ambros Midfielder
8
Cedric Hatenboer
Cedric Hatenboer Midfielder
68
Noah Kalonji
Noah Kalonji Midfielder
21
César Saúl Huerta Valera
César Saúl Huerta Valera Attacker
14
Danylo Sikan
Danylo Sikan Attacker
11
Oliver Antman
Oliver Antman Attacker
91
Adriano Bertaccini
Adriano Bertaccini Attacker
9
Mihajlo Cvetković
Mihajlo Cvetković Attacker
83
Tristan Degreef
Tristan Degreef Attacker
61
Joshua-Williame Nga Kana
Joshua-Williame Nga Kana Attacker
49
Jayden Onia Seke
Jayden Onia Seke Attacker
53
Noa Ojea Cobiella
Noa Ojea Cobiella Attacker
26
Colin Coosemans
Colin Coosemans Coach
Referee : Simone Sozza

Squad ▼

1
Jiří Pavlenka
Jiří Pavlenka Goalkeeper
99
Antonis Tsiftsis
Antonis Tsiftsis Goalkeeper
54
Konstantinos Balomenos
Konstantinos Balomenos Goalkeeper
41
Dimitrios Monastirlis
Dimitrios Monastirlis Goalkeeper
21
Abdul Rahman Baba
Abdul Rahman Baba Defender
3
Jonjoe Kenny
Jonjoe Kenny Defender
13
Dimitris Giannoulis
Dimitris Giannoulis Defender
32
Greg Taylor
Greg Taylor Defender
6
Aritz Elustondo Irribaria
Aritz Elustondo Irribaria Defender
5
Ioannis Michailidis
Ioannis Michailidis Defender
18
Jonathan Gomez
Jonathan Gomez Defender
97
Dimitris Bataoulas
Dimitris Bataoulas Defender
8
Soualiho Meïté
Soualiho Meïté Midfielder
7
Baptiste Santamaría
Baptiste Santamaría Midfielder
2
Mohamed Mady Camara
Mohamed Mady Camara Midfielder
10
Dimitris Pelkas
Dimitris Pelkas Midfielder
25
Konstantinos Thymianis
Konstantinos Thymianis Midfielder
33
Dimitrios Tsopouroglou
Dimitrios Tsopouroglou Midfielder
20
Christos Zafeiris
Christos Zafeiris Midfielder
65
Ioannis Konstantelias
Ioannis Konstantelias Midfielder
23
Tom Alexis Louchet
Tom Alexis Louchet Midfielder
77
Kiril Despodov
Kiril Despodov Attacker
14
Andrija Živković
Andrija Živković Attacker
9
Fedor Chalov
Fedor Chalov Attacker
19
Alexander Jeremejeff
Alexander Jeremejeff Attacker
11
Taison Barcellos Freda
Taison Barcellos Freda Attacker
47
Shola Shoretire
Shola Shoretire Attacker
22
Taha Abdi Ali
Taha Abdi Ali Attacker
56
Anestis Mythou
Anestis Mythou Attacker
39
Dimitris Berdos
Dimitris Berdos Attacker
52
Dimitrios Chatsidis
Dimitrios Chatsidis Attacker
4
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Pantelis Hatzidiakos Coach

CONCLUSION

Anderlecht will aim to manage the game from their solid home base while protecting the aggregate lead secured in Thessaloniki. PAOK must balance urgency with composure to overturn the deficit without conceding further ground. The absence of detailed efficiency and set-piece metrics places greater emphasis on in-game adjustments and individual quality. Anderlecht's slightly superior form score offers a platform for controlled possession, yet PAOK's marginal power edge suggests they retain the capacity to create decisive moments. Expect a measured contest where defensive discipline and timely transitions determine whether the tie remains alive or is settled in the Belgian capital.