Anderlecht vs Hammarby preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Lotto Park Thu, 30 Jul - 6:30 PM
Europa League
AnderlechtADL
3 1
HammarbyHAM
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 6:30 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 2
Danylo Sikan - 48'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Anderlecht 3–1 Hammarby. The result saw Anderlecht take the points. Anderlecht showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 15%–85%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Anderlecht held just 15% possession against Hammarby's 85%.
  • Efficiency shift: Performance efficiency remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was not available for this match.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was consistent with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals metrics were recorded for either side.
  • Event impact: Anderlecht overcame a halftime deficit to win 3-1.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no impact from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Nikolić
D. Nikolić
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Šutulović
M. Šutulović
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Živin
S. Živin
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
N. Radaković
N. Radaković
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Anderlecht V. Ramos Gonçalves
V. Ramos Gonçalves
VS
Hammarby H. Rydström
H. Rydström
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hammarby Rank: 69 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Anderlecht Rank: 75 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Anderlecht
40.13%
Draw
27.99%
Away Hammarby
31.88%

Movement

Changes since opening
Anderlecht
-50.09%
Draw
+19.38%
Hammarby
+30.71%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.52
71.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Anderlecht
Hammarby
Power Score
77.52
71.16
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
137
284

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Anderlecht — Opponent-weighted form score
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Anderlecht Hammarby

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Anderlecht

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Anderlecht ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hammarby
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
166.00
8.71
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
8.71
166.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Anderlecht +8.15 Efficiency Index
vs
Hammarby -8.15 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Anderlecht
Hammarby
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Anderlecht ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hammarby
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Anderlecht Hammarby
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Anderlecht Hammarby
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Anderlecht
Hammarby
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Anderlecht
vs
Hammarby
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Anderlecht Hammarby
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Anderlecht 0.27
Hammarby 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Anderlecht Hammarby
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Anderlecht 0.04
Hammarby 0.04
Anderlecht
Hammarby
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ADL had peak pressure around 66'.
  • ADL started the game with stronger pressure.
ADL Pressure HAM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ADL reached the top pressure at 66' (66.96).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Anderlecht ADL Home
1 matches
Hammarby HAM Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:06:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 2
Stadium
Lotto Park
Capacity
21500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Danilo Nikolić
Milan Šutulović
Svetozar Živin
Nikola Radaković

Statistics

Possession
ADL
55%
HAM
45%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
12 Shots 3
78 Dangerous attacks 28
15 Possession 85
10 Corners 0
10 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

73 Ball Safe 69
4 Goal Kicks 14
18 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 9
21 Throwins 13

Attacking

103 Attacks 63

Defensive

2 Saves 3

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Danilo Nikolić

Starting XI ▼

26
Colin Coosemans
Colin Coosemans (C) Goalkeeper
6.12
4
Giulian Biancone
Giulian Biancone Defender
6.26
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
Ludwig Augustinsson Defender
6.26
5
Moussa N'Diaye
Moussa N'Diaye
Defender46'
6.5
27
Léo Pétrot
Léo Pétrot Defender
6.26
55
Marco Kana
Marco Kana Defender
6.26
79
Ali Maamar
Ali Maamar Defender
6.37
18
Lukas Ambros
Lukas Ambros Midfielder
6.37
2
Zoumana Keita
Zoumana Keita
Defender90+2'
24
Enric Llansana
Enric Llansana Midfielder
6.37
49
Jayden Onia Seke
Jayden Onia Seke Midfielder
6.33
91
Adriano Bertaccini
Adriano Bertaccini
Attacker68'
6.5
61
Joshua Nga Kana
Joshua Nga Kana Midfielder
6.37
9
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Attacker46'
6.83
14
Danylo Sikan
Danylo Sikan Attacker
6.82
83
Tristan Degreef
Tristan Degreef
Midfielder84'
6.69
Referee : Danilo Nikolić

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
5.68
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Defender
5.88
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
5.88
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
6.04
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei
Midfielder87'
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Defender
5.88
5
Tesfaldet Tekie
Tesfaldet Tekie (C) Midfielder
6.18
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
6.13
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Midfielder
6.37
6
Ibrahima Fofana
Ibrahima Fofana
Defender76'
6.05
11
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Oscar Johansson Schellhas Midfielder
6.37
29
Elohim Kaboré
Elohim Kaboré
Attacker76'
6.43
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Midfielder
6.37
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara
Midfielder65'
6.27
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
6.79
17
Amin Boudri
Amin Boudri
Midfielder65'
6.27

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Zoumana Keita → Lukas Ambros
10th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Tristan Degreef
Field Goal / 4th Goal
89'
87'
Event
Frank Junior Adjei → Victor Eriksson
9th Substitution
Event
Tristan Degreef → Danylo Sikan
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
81'
76'
Event
Ibrahima Fofana → Victor Lind
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Elohim Kaboré → Oscar Johansson Schellhas
7th Substitution
73'
Event
Markus Karlsson
Holding / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Adriano Bertaccini → Jayden Onia Seke
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Jayden Onia Seke
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 4th Yellowcard
66'
Event
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Roughing / 3rd Yellowcard
65'
65'
Event
Nahir Besara  → Montader Madjed
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Amin Boudri → Paulos Abraham
4th Substitution
55'
Event
Victor Eriksson
Handling / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Danylo Sikan
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
48'
Event
Mihajlo Cvetkovic → Joshua Nga Kana
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Moussa N'Diaye → Ludwig Augustinsson
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
27'
Event
Paulos Abraham
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
3'
Event
Paulos Abraham
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Zoumana Keita is on, and Lukas Ambros is off.
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tristan Degreef scores, making it 3-1.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tristan Degreef scores, making it 3-1.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Update Update
Tristan Degreef is on, and Danylo Sikan is off.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Update Update
Moise Kabore is on, and Oscar Johansson is off.
77
Update Update
Moise Kabore is on, and Oscar Johansson is off.
74
Update Update
Ibrahima Fofana comes on for Victor Lind.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Markus Karlsson receives a yellow card.
68
Substitution Substitution
Adriano Bertaccini is substituted off for Jayden Onia Seke.
66
Update Update
Amin Boudri replaces Markus Karlsson.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jayden Onia Seke.
65
Update Update
Nahir Besara is on, and Montader Madjed is off.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Mihajlo Cvetkovic.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Victor Eriksson receives a yellow card.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
46
Substitution Substitution
Mihajlo Cvetkovic is substituted on for Kana Nga.
46
Update Update
Moussa Ndiaye comes on for Ludwig Augustinsson.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Paulos Abraham receives a yellow card.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Danilo Nikolic.

CONCLUSION

Anderlecht secured progression with a composed second-half display that erased the halftime deficit. Their ability to convert limited possession into three goals proved decisive against a Hammarby side that dominated the ball but could not extend their lead. The 3-1 scoreline reflected the home team's clinical response after trailing 0-1 at the break. With no dismissals affecting play, the contest remained balanced in personnel throughout. Anderlecht's overall control of key moments ensured they advanced despite the possession disparity. This result confirmed their status as the tie's stronger side from start to finish.