Aluminij vs Sheriff preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Ljudski vrt Thu, 16 Jul - 6:00 PM
Europa League
AluminijALU
0 1
SheriffSHF
Full Time Thu, 16 Jul 6:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 1
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Aluminij 0–1 Sheriff. The result saw Sheriff take the points. Sheriff showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 65%–35%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Significant deviation of 51.7 percent occurred with Sheriff identified as the deviation team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match patterns for both sides.
  • xG alignment: No xG values were recorded so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations were available for this fixture.
  • Event impact: Sheriff's 0-1 win secured a 0-2 aggregate victory and advancement.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued and match dynamics remained undistorted.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Kanagasingam
A. Kanagasingam
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
B. Lengacher
B. Lengacher
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Küng
S. Küng
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Mandach
J. Mandach
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Aluminij J. Arsic
J. Arsic
VS
Sheriff Victor Mihailov
Victor Mihailov
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sheriff Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aluminij Rank: 53 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Aluminij
22.65%
Draw
29.09%
Away Sheriff
48.25%

Movement

Changes since opening
Aluminij
+22.02%
Draw
+24.53%
Sheriff
-46.56%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Aluminij
Sheriff
Power Score
23.33
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Aluminij — Opponent-weighted form score
Sheriff — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Aluminij Sheriff

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Aluminij

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sheriff

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Aluminij ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sheriff
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
44.46
31.71
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.71
44.46
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Aluminij +0.66 Efficiency Index
vs
Sheriff -0.66 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Aluminij
Sheriff
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Aluminij ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sheriff
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Aluminij Sheriff
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Aluminij Sheriff
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Aluminij
Sheriff
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Aluminij
vs
Sheriff
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Aluminij Sheriff
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Aluminij 0.19
Sheriff 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Aluminij Sheriff
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Aluminij 0.02
Sheriff 0.00
Aluminij
Sheriff
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SHF had peak pressure around 13'.
  • ALU started the game with stronger pressure.
ALU Pressure SHF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SHF reached the top pressure at 13' (64.14).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Aluminij ALU Home
1 matches
Sheriff SHF Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:03:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 16, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 1
Stadium
Ljudski vrt
Capacity
12702
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Anojen Kanagasingam
Bastien Lengacher
Susann Küng
Johannes von Mandach

Statistics

Possession
ALU
67%
SHF
33%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
17 Shots 6
118 Dangerous attacks 42
65 Possession 35
13 Corners 2
9 Free kicks 7
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 3
30 Throwins 16

Attacking

138 Attacks 85

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
5 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Anojen Kanagasingam

Starting XI ▼

31
Florijan Raduha
Florijan Raduha Goalkeeper
6.12
4
Rok Schaubach
Rok Schaubach Defender
6.26
5
Matija Boben
Matija Boben Defender
6.26
9
Adriano Bloudek
Adriano Bloudek
Attacker80'
6.5
6
Dino Šimunić
Dino Šimunić Defender
6.26
32
Vito Tezak
Vito Tezak Defender
6.25
80
Hanus Sørensen
Hanus Sørensen
Defender65'
6.5
7
Eric Taylor
Eric Taylor Midfielder
6.37
18
Simon Rogina
Simon Rogina
Midfielder87'
13
Matic Vrbanec
Matic Vrbanec Midfielder
6.33
44
Petar Petrisko
Petar Petrisko
Midfielder65'
6.5
14
Tomislav Jagic
Tomislav Jagic (C) Midfielder
6.33
42
Vid Koderman
Vid Koderman Midfielder
6.37
25
Murat Bajraj
Murat Bajraj Attacker
6.46
11
Bede Osuji
Bede Osuji
Midfielder65'
6.5
45
Bamba Susso
Bamba Susso Attacker
6.46
Referee : Anojen Kanagasingam

Starting XI ▼

1
Emil Timbur
Emil Timbur Goalkeeper
6.5
6
Raí
Raí (C) Defender
6.5
22
Miguel Mota
Miguel Mota
Defender90+5'
15
Baye Assane Ciss
Baye Assane Ciss Defender
6.5
35
Bourama Fomba
Bourama Fomba Defender
6.5
7
Vladimir Fratea
Vladimir Fratea Midfielder
6.5
11
Sapata
Sapata
Midfielder56'
6.5
24
Danila Forov
Danila Forov Midfielder
6.61
26
Dhoraso Klas
Dhoraso Klas Midfielder
6.5
42
Konan Jaures-Ulrich Loukou Midfielder
76
Arli Përgjoni
Arli Përgjoni Midfielder
6.5
99
Samba Koné
Samba Koné Midfielder
6.5
19
Jayder Asprilla
Jayder Asprilla Attacker
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Miguel Mota → Raí
8th Substitution
Event
Simon Rogina → Eric Taylor
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Adriano Bloudek → Matija Boben
6th Substitution
80'
75'
Event
Zé Flores → Loukou Jaures-Ulrich
5th Substitution
Event
Bede Osuji → Murat Bajraj
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Petar Petrisko → Matic Vrbanec
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Hanus Sørensen → Vito Tezak
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Tomislav Jagic 
4th Yellowcard
61'
61'
Event
Jayder Asprilla
3rd Yellowcard
56'
Event
Sapata → Vladimir Fratea
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Vito Tezak
2nd Yellowcard
34'
Event
Matic Vrbanec
1st Yellowcard
23'
5'
Event
Loukou Jaures-Ulrich
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
On Miguel Angelo Sousa Leao Mota, Off Rai.
88
Update Update
On Simon Rogina, off Eric Taylor.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Substitution Substitution
Adriano Bloudek is substituted for Matija Boben.
76
Update Update
On comes Ze Flores, off goes Loukou Jaures Ulrich.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Update Update
Petar Petrisko is on, and Matic Vrbanec is off.
66
Update Update
Bede Osuji Amarachi comes on for Murat Bajraj.
65
Update Update
Hanus Sörensen is on, and Vito Tezak is off.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tomislav Jagic receives a yellow card.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jayder Asprilla.
56
Update Update
On comes Vitor Hugo Morais de Oliveira, and off goes Vladimir Fratea.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Vito Tezak.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Matic Vrbanec.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Anojen Kanagasingam.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Aluminij 0-1 Sheriff. Structural assessment: Sheriff exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.