Almería vs Real Valladolid preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos Sun, 31 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Almería ALM
Real Valladolid REV
KICKOFF : Sun, 31 May - 4:30 PM
Round 42 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Almería welcome Real Valladolid to Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos for a La Liga 2 regular season fixture during the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts occupy third position domestically and carry a power rating of 69.34, well ahead of the visitors on 55.95. This creates a 13.4-point edge for the stronger side. Real Valladolid currently sit sixteenth in the standings. Form readings show a clear gap, with Almería posting 24.56 against an 11.11 mark for the away team. Both clubs enter without recent outing details listed. Set-piece information carries low confidence and depends on proxy calculations. Overall structural advantages point toward the home side controlling proceedings through superior league placement and rating metrics.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Almería occupy third domestically while Real Valladolid sit sixteenth.
  • Form: Almería post a form score of 24.56 against 11.11 for the visitors.
  • Squad: Squad composition details remain unavailable for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not supplied for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics receive no coverage in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data carries low confidence and uses proxies.
  • xVariable: Almería holds a 13.4-point power advantage over opponents.
  • Market: Almería 66.1% (Δ+0.4%) | Draw 20% (Δ+-0%) | Real Valladolid 13.9% (Δ-0.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Almería J. Ferrer Sicilia
J. Ferrer Sicilia
VS
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
1.68
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 L
Las Palmas Rank: 70 L
Burgos Rank: 68 D
Mirandés Rank: 60 W
Granada Rank: 63 W
Málaga Rank: 71 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 70 L
Racing Santander Rank: 71 L
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 W
Las Palmas Rank: 71 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 W
FC Andorra Rank: 66 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 11 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Almería
66.11%
Draw
20.01%
Away Real Valladolid
13.88%

Movement

Changes since opening
Almería
+0.35%
Draw
-0.04%
Real Valladolid
-0.31%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.34
55.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Almería
Real Valladolid
Power Score
69.34
55.95
League Position
3
16
Global Rank
224
473

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Almería — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Almería Real Valladolid

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Almería ALM Home
25 matches
Real Valladolid REV Away
Match Record
6
Wins
8
11
Draws
11
8
Losses
6
Goals
25
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
25
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-27T00:06:06+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Fernández Moreno
1 A. Fernández Moreno
D. Chirino
22 D. Chirino
R. Ely
5 R. Ely
N. Macedo Monte
4 N. Macedo Monte
A. Muñoz Miguel
3 A. Muñoz Miguel
D. Lopy
17 D. Lopy
S. Dzodic
29 S. Dzodic
A. Embarba Blázquez
23 A. Embarba Blázquez
S. Arribas Calvo
11 S. Arribas Calvo
J. Morcillo Conesa
7 J. Morcillo Conesa
M. De la Fuente Escudero
24 M. De la Fuente Escudero
Á. Aceves Catalina
1 Á. Aceves Catalina
D. Torres Ortiz
4 D. Torres Ortiz
M. Jaouab
23 M. Jaouab
P. Tomeo Félez
15 P. Tomeo Félez
P. Gonzalez Carmona
22 P. Gonzalez Carmona
J. Ponceau
21 J. Ponceau
Mario Maroto
16 Mario Maroto
V. Meseguer Cavas
8 V. Meseguer Cavas
I. Alejo Peralta
14 I. Alejo Peralta
J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
9 J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
A. Ndiaye
11 A. Ndiaye

General Information

Date & Time
May 31, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 42 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Capacity
17400
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Andrés Fernández
Andrés Fernández Goalkeeper
7.02
24
Miguel de la Fuente
Miguel de la Fuente Centre Forward
6.56
3
Álex Muñoz
Álex Muñoz Left Back
6.85
4
Nélson Monte
Nélson Monte Left Back
6.73
5
Rodrigo Ely
Rodrigo Ely Right Back
6.79
7
Jon Morcillo
Jon Morcillo Left Wing
7.09
11
Sergio Arribas
Sergio Arribas Attacking Midfield
7.54
17
Dion Lopy
Dion Lopy Defensive Midfield
6.88
22
Daijiro Chirino
Daijiro Chirino Right Back
6.7
23
Adrián Embarba
Adrián Embarba Right Wing
7.15
29
Stefan Dzodic
Stefan Dzodic Defensive Midfield
6.84

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Aceves
Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper
6.75
14
Iván Alejo
Iván Alejo Midfielder
6.97
22
Peter Federico
Peter Federico Midfielder
6.84
9
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi Latasa Attacker
6.89
11
Amath Ndiaye
Amath Ndiaye Attacker
6.83
4
David Torres
David Torres Left Back
6.76
8
Víctor Meseguer
Víctor Meseguer Central Midfield
6.77
16
Mario Maroto
Mario Maroto Central Midfield
6.6
15
Pablo Tomeo
Pablo Tomeo Right Back
6.72
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Central Midfield
6.84
23
Mohamed Jaouab
Mohamed Jaouab Centre Back
6.54

CONCLUSION

Almería enter as clear frontrunners given their elevated league standing and superior power rating. The home environment at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos should further support their structured approach. Real Valladolid face an uphill task from sixteenth place and lower form indicators. Limited efficiency and transition figures leave emphasis on positional and rating differentials. Set-piece insights stay restricted yet do not alter the broader picture. Both teams lack recent outing specifics, keeping focus on season-long trends. Almería appear positioned to dictate tempo and territory throughout the contest.