Almería vs Castellón preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
La Liga 2
KICKOFF :
Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2

CONTEXT

Almería welcome Castellón to the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos for the second leg of their La Liga 2 promotion play-off semi-final. The home side finished the regular campaign in third place while the visitors ended sixth, setting up an intriguing clash between two sides separated by little in overall quality. Castellón carry a marginal power advantage into the tie and have posted the stronger recent form. Both teams will look to exploit transitions and set-piece opportunities in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. With promotion at stake the tactical battle will centre on structure and efficiency in key areas of the pitch. The return fixture offers Castellón a chance to build on their first-leg platform while Almería seek to leverage home support and league position. The outcome will shape the path to the final.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Almería occupy third place domestically while Castellón sit sixth.
  • Form: Castellón hold the higher form score at 21.72 against Almería's 17.72.
  • Squad: Both squads feature players suited to the demands of promotion play-offs.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play will be a key battleground for both teams.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy usage for both sides.
  • xVariable: Castellón hold a slight power-score edge of 29.47 to 28.56.
  • Market: Almería 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Castellón 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Almería J. Ferrer Sicilia
J. Ferrer Sicilia
VS
1.65
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.73
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Castellón Rank: D
Real Valladolid Rank: W
Sporting Gijón Rank: L
Las Palmas Rank: L
Burgos Rank: D
Mirandés Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Almería Rank: D
SD Eibar Rank: W
Huesca Rank: W
Cádiz Rank: D
Ceuta Rank: D
Córdoba Rank: L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 1 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.56
29.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Almería
Castellón
Power Score
28.56
29.47
League Position
3
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Almería Opponent-weighted form score
Castellón Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Almería Castellón

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Almería ALM Home
10 matches
Castellón Castellón Away
Match Record
5
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
5
Goals
14
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
14
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-05T00:00:45+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Capacity
17400
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

13
Fernando Martínez Rubio
31
Bruno Iribarne Aleman
5
Rodrigo Ely
Rodrigo Ely Defender
18
Federico Bonini
Federico Bonini Defender
22
D. Chirino
D. Chirino Defender
32
Pedro Fidel
Pedro Fidel Defender
6
André Filipe Luz Horta
André Filipe Luz Horta Midfielder
14
Iddrisu Baba Mohammed
10
Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo
17
Dion Lopy
Dion Lopy Midfielder
11
Sergio Arribas Calvo
29
Stefan Dzodic
Stefan Dzodic Midfielder
Ibrahima Koné
Ibrahima Koné Attacker
7
Jon Morcillo Conesa

Squad

1
Amir Abedzadeh
Amir Abedzadeh Goalkeeper
13
Romain Matthys
Romain Matthys Goalkeeper
3
Fabrizio Brignani
Fabrizio Brignani Defender
17
Salvador Ruiz Rodríguez
Salvador Ruiz Rodríguez Defender
22
Jérémy Mellot
Jérémy Mellot Defender
4
Agustín Sienra
Agustín Sienra Defender
12
Lucas Alcázar Moreno
2
Martín Conde Gómez
Martín Conde Gómez Defender
25
Ronaldo Pompeu da Silva
Ronaldo Pompeu da Silva Midfielder
10
Israel Suero Fernández
6
Marc Olivier Doue
Marc Olivier Doue Midfielder
21
Alex Calatrava Torrado
15
Beñat Gerenabarrena Zendoia
Beñat Gerenabarrena Zendoia Midfielder
7
Awer Mabil
Awer Mabil Attacker
11
Douglas Aurélio
Douglas Aurélio Attacker
19
Adam Jakobsen
Adam Jakobsen Attacker
9
Ousmane Camara
Ousmane Camara Attacker
29
Tommaso De Nipoti
Tommaso De Nipoti Attacker
16
Brian Kibambe Cipenga
18
Pablo Santiago López
23
Álvaro García Arana

CONCLUSION

Castellón enter the second leg with a narrow overall quality edge and better recent form, yet Almería possess home advantage and a higher league finish to draw upon. The absence of detailed efficiency and set-piece metrics places greater emphasis on in-game adaptability and squad cohesion. Both sides must balance defensive structure with attacking transitions if they are to progress. Castellón will aim to protect any first-leg gains while Almería look to overturn the tie through sustained pressure at their familiar venue. The contest is expected to remain tight with small margins deciding advancement to the final. Success will hinge on execution in open play and the ability to capitalise on limited opportunities under pressure.