Almería vs Castellón preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos Tue, 9 Jun - 7:00 PM
La Liga 2
Almería ALM
Castellón Castellón
KICKOFF : Tue, 9 Jun - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2

CONTEXT

Almería welcome Castellón to the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos for the second leg of their La Liga 2 promotion play-off semi-final. The home side currently occupy third place in the domestic table while the visitors sit sixth. Castellón carry a narrow overall power edge of less than one point and post the stronger recent form score. Both teams enter the fixture with limited recent outing data available. Set-piece metrics remain unavailable and carry only low confidence through proxy modelling. Efficiency and transition statistics are likewise absent from the dataset. The match represents a key step in the promotion race where small margins in structure and execution could prove decisive for either side.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Almería occupy third place domestically while Castellón sit sixth.
  • Form: Castellón post a higher form score of 21.72 against Almería's 17.72.
  • Squad: Detailed squad composition data is not available for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not supplied in the current dataset.
  • Transition: Transition statistics remain unspecified due to absent data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy usage and no xG values.
  • xVariable: Castellón hold a marginal power advantage of 0.9 points.
  • Market: Baseline split: Almería 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Castellón 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Almería J. Ferrer Sicilia
J. Ferrer Sicilia
VS
Castellón Castellón
Castellón
1.65
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.73
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Castellón Rank: D
Real Valladolid Rank: W
Sporting Gijón Rank: L
Las Palmas Rank: L
Burgos Rank: D
Mirandés Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Almería Rank: D
SD Eibar Rank: W
Huesca Rank: W
Cádiz Rank: D
Ceuta Rank: D
Córdoba Rank: L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 1 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Almería
0%
Draw
0%
Away Castellón
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.56
29.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Almería
Castellón
Power Score
28.56
29.47
League Position
3
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Almería Opponent-weighted form score
Castellón Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Almería Castellón

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Almería ALM Home
10 matches
Castellón Castellón Away
Match Record
5
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
5
Goals
14
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
14
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-02T00:01:47+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 09, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Capacity
17400
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Andrés Eduardo Fernández Moreno
Andrés Eduardo Fernández Moreno Goalkeeper
13
Fernando Martínez Rubio
Fernando Martínez Rubio Goalkeeper
31
Bruno Iribarne Aleman
Bruno Iribarne Aleman Goalkeeper
5
Rodrigo Ely
Rodrigo Ely Defender
4
Nélson Macedo Monte
Nélson Macedo Monte Defender
3
Alejandro José Muñoz Miguel
Alejandro José Muñoz Miguel Defender
21
Juan Brandariz Movilla
Juan Brandariz Movilla Defender
20
Alejandro Centelles Plaza
Alejandro Centelles Plaza Defender
18
Federico Bonini
Federico Bonini Defender
16
Marcos Luna Marcos Ruiz
Marcos Luna Marcos Ruiz Defender
22
D. Chirino
D. Chirino Defender
32
Pedro Fidel
Pedro Fidel Defender
6
André Filipe Luz Horta
André Filipe Luz Horta Midfielder
14
Iddrisu Baba Mohammed
Iddrisu Baba Mohammed Midfielder
2
Arnau Puigmal Martínez
Arnau Puigmal Martínez Midfielder
10
Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo
Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo Midfielder
17
Dion Lopy
Dion Lopy Midfielder
11
Sergio Arribas Calvo
Sergio Arribas Calvo Midfielder
8
Guilherme Borges Guedes
Guilherme Borges Guedes Midfielder
29
Stefan Dzodic
Stefan Dzodic Midfielder
12
Leonardo Carrilho Baptistão
Leonardo Carrilho Baptistão Attacker
23
Adrián Embarba Blázquez
Adrián Embarba Blázquez Attacker
24
Miguel De la Fuente Escudero
Miguel De la Fuente Escudero Attacker
19
Serge Patrick Njoh Soko
Serge Patrick Njoh Soko Attacker
Ibrahima Koné
Ibrahima Koné Attacker
7
Jon Morcillo Conesa
Jon Morcillo Conesa Attacker
9
Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo
Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo Attacker

Squad

1
Amir Abedzadeh
Amir Abedzadeh Goalkeeper
13
Romain Matthys
Romain Matthys Goalkeeper
3
Fabrizio Brignani
Fabrizio Brignani Defender
17
Salvador Ruiz Rodríguez
Salvador Ruiz Rodríguez Defender
5
Alberto Jiménez Benítez
Alberto Jiménez Benítez Defender
22
Jérémy Mellot
Jérémy Mellot Defender
4
Agustín Sienra
Agustín Sienra Defender
12
Lucas Alcázar Moreno
Lucas Alcázar Moreno Defender
2
Martín Conde Gómez
Martín Conde Gómez Defender
25
Ronaldo Pompeu da Silva
Ronaldo Pompeu da Silva Midfielder
10
Israel Suero Fernández
Israel Suero Fernández Midfielder
8
Diego Hernández Barriuso
Diego Hernández Barriuso Midfielder
6
Marc Olivier Doue
Marc Olivier Doue Midfielder
21
Alex Calatrava Torrado
Alex Calatrava Torrado Midfielder
15
Beñat Gerenabarrena Zendoia
Beñat Gerenabarrena Zendoia Midfielder
7
Awer Mabil
Awer Mabil Attacker
11
Douglas Aurélio
Douglas Aurélio Attacker
14
Raúl Sánchez Sánchez
Raúl Sánchez Sánchez Attacker
19
Adam Jakobsen
Adam Jakobsen Attacker
9
Ousmane Camara
Ousmane Camara Attacker
29
Tommaso De Nipoti
Tommaso De Nipoti Attacker
16
Brian Kibambe Cipenga
Brian Kibambe Cipenga Attacker
18
Pablo Santiago López
Pablo Santiago López Attacker
23
Álvaro García Arana
Álvaro García Arana Attacker

CONCLUSION

Castellón arrive with a modest power and form edge that could influence proceedings at a venue where Almería have built their season. The absence of detailed efficiency and set-piece figures places greater emphasis on in-game adjustments and individual quality. Almería will look to leverage home support and their higher league position to create control while Castellón seek to exploit their slight overall superiority. With promotion aspirations on the line both sides must balance attacking intent against defensive organisation. The outcome will likely hinge on which team manages transitions and moments of quality more effectively across the ninety minutes.