Algeria vs Austria preview

2026 World Cup, World
Kansas City Stadium Sun, 28 Jun - 2:00 AM
World Cup
AlgeriaALG
3 – 3
AustriaAUT
Full Time Sun, 28 Jun 2:00 AM
Round 3 Group Stage
Riyad Mahrez - 60', 90+3'
Goal
|
Goal
Sasa Kalajdzic - 90+6'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Algeria 3–3 Austria. The match ended in a draw. Austria showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. xG finished Algeria 1.2 – 1.2 Austria. Possession was 65%–35%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Algeria 3-3 Austria. Austria showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Tantashev
I. Tantashev
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Tsapenko
A. Tsapenko
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Gaynulin
T. Gaynulin
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Itzel García
K. Itzel García
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Algeria V. Petković
V. Petković
VS
Austria R. Rangnick
R. Rangnick
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Jordan Rank: W
Argentina Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Argentina Rank: L
Jordan Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Algeria
97.43%
Draw
2.38%
Away Austria
0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
46.29
48.15
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Algeria
Austria
Power Score
46.29
48.15
League Position
3
2
Global Rank
28
24

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Algeria — Opponent-weighted form score
Austria — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Algeria Austria

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Algeria

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Austria

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Algeria ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Austria
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.77
34.14
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.14
21.77
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Algeria -1.11 Efficiency Index
vs
Austria +1.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Algeria
Austria
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Algeria
vs
Austria
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Algeria Austria
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
20%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs -0.24
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Algeria Austria
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
20%
0%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.24 vs +0.00
Algeria
Austria
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Algeria
vs
Austria
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Algeria Austria
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Algeria 0.28
Austria 0.26
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Algeria Austria
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Algeria 0.08
Austria 0.07
Algeria
Austria
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ALG had peak pressure around 47'.
  • AUT started the game with stronger pressure.
ALG Pressure AUT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ALG reached the top pressure at 47' (82.85).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 28, 2026, 02:00 AM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round 3 · Group Stage
Stadium
Kansas City Stadium
Capacity
76416
Attendance
69045
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ilgiz Tantashev
Andrey Tsapenko
Timur Gaynulin
Katia Itzel García

Statistics

Possession
ALG
62%
AUT
38%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 3
3 Big Chances Created 3
5 Shots 6
43 Dangerous attacks 39
65 Possession 35
0 Corners 3
10 Free kicks 4
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

78 Ball Safe 57
9 Goal Kicks 6
9 Goal Attempts 10
4 Substitutions 5
16 Throwins 10
1 Hit Woodwork 0
4 Successful Headers 9
2 Assists 3
1 Injuries 0
19 Dribble Attempts 7
13 Successful Dribbles 4
68 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57

Attacking

139 Attacks 81
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

44 Long Passes 32
754 Passes 396
706 Successful Passes 346
94 Successful Passes Percentage 87
10 Key Passes 6
26 Successful Long Passes 14
59 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

0 Saves 2
11 Tackles 11
4 Interceptions 10
34 Duels Won 28

Build-up

5 Total Crosses 13
0 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
3 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Ilgiz Tantashev

Starting XI ▼

16
Oussama Benbout
Oussama Benbout Goalkeeper
5.36
2
Aïssa Mandi
Aïssa Mandi Defender
6.62
13
Jaouen Hadjam
Jaouen Hadjam Defender
6.31
15
Rayan Aït-Nouri
Rayan Aït-Nouri
Defender71'
6.18
17
Rafik Belghali
Rafik Belghali Defender
7.03
26
Samir Chergui
Samir Chergui
Defender71'
6.21
21
Ramy Bensebaini
Ramy Bensebaini Defender
6.45
7
Riyad Mahrez
Riyad Mahrez (C) Midfielder
2
8.97
8
Houssem Aouar
Houssem Aouar Midfielder
7.96
25
Farès Ghedjemis
Farès Ghedjemis
Attacker90+4'
10
Farès Chaïbi
Farès Chaïbi Midfielder
7.61
19
Nabil Bentaleb
Nabil Bentaleb Midfielder
7.13
22
Ibrahim Maza
Ibrahim Maza Midfielder
6.98
9
Amine Gouiri
Amine Gouiri Attacker
6.51
5
Zineddine Belaid
Zineddine Belaid
Defender71'
6.38
Referee : Ilgiz Tantashev

Starting XI ▼

1
Alexander Schlager
Alexander Schlager Goalkeeper
6.06
5
Stefan Posch
Stefan Posch Defender
5.96
8
David Alaba
David Alaba (C) Defender
6.79
3
Kevin Danso
Kevin Danso
Defender62'
6.26
15
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart Defender
6.03
16
Phillipp Mwene
Phillipp Mwene Defender
6.72
14
Sasa Kalajdzic
Sasa Kalajdzic
Attacker90+5'
7.24
4
Xaver Schlager
Xaver Schlager Midfielder
6.51
10
Florian Grillitsch
Florian Grillitsch
Midfielder46'
6.54
6
Nicolas Seiwald
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder
6.62
9
Marcel Sabitzer
Marcel Sabitzer Midfielder
7.52
18
Romano Schmid
Romano Schmid Midfielder
6.16
24
Paul Wanner
Paul Wanner
Midfielder46'
6.31
20
Konrad Laimer
Konrad Laimer Midfielder
6.6
7
Marko Arnautovic
Marko Arnautovic Attacker
7.03
11
Michael Gregoritsch
Michael Gregoritsch
Attacker46'
7.2

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Sasa Kalajdzic
Header / 6th Goal
90+5'
Event
Sasa Kalajdzic → Phillipp Mwene
9th Substitution
Event
Farès Ghedjemis → Houssem Aouar
8th Substitution
90+4'
Event
Riyad Mahrez
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
90+3'
Event
Zineddine Belaid → Amine Gouiri
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Samir Chergui → Rafik Belghali
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Rayan Aït-Nouri → Jaouen Hadjam
7th Substitution
71'
62'
Event
Kevin Danso → David Alaba 
4th Substitution
Event
Riyad Mahrez
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
60'
55'
Event
Marcel Sabitzer
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
46'
Event
Michael Gregoritsch → Marko Arnautovic
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Florian Grillitsch → Xaver Schlager
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Paul Wanner → Romano Schmid
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Rafik Belghali
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
45'
28'
Event
Marko Arnautovic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
11'
Event
Marko Arnautovic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The match is now 3-3 as Sasa Kalajdzic scores for Austria with a header from the center of the box into the bottom right corner, assisted by Michael Gregoritsch's headed pass.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Austria: Sasa Kalajdzic comes on for Phillipp Mwene.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Philipp Lienhart from Austria, who shot with his left foot from the center of the box.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Algeria: Farès Ghedjemis comes on for Houssem Aouar.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Algeria leads 3-2 against Austria. Riyad Mahrez scores for Algeria with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom left corner, assisted by Houssem Aouar's through ball.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
84
Update Update
Algeria is called offside as Zineddine Belaïd is caught in an offside position.
83
Update Update
Florian Grillitsch commits a foul for Austria.
83
Update Update
Riyad Mahrez from Algeria wins a free kick in the attacking half.
78
Update Update
Paul Wanner from Austria is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
78
Update Update
Rayan Aït-Nouri commits a foul for Algeria.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Algeria: Zineddine Belaïd comes on for Amine Gouiri.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Algeria: Samir Chergui comes on for Rafik Belghali.
71
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Algeria: Rayan Aït-Nouri comes on for Jaouen Hadjam.
68
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
68
Corner Corner
Kevin Danso from Austria misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from the center of the box after a corner.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Austria after Rafik Belghali concedes.
65
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Seiwald from Austria misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it close but to the right. He was assisted by Phillipp Mwene.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by Houssem Aouar of Algeria.
64
Update Update
Stefan Posch from Austria is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Austria: Kevin Danso comes on for David Alaba.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Riyad Mahrez scores for Algeria with a left-footed shot from the center of the box. The match is now 2-2 against Austria.
59
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Farès Chaïbi's right-footed shot from outside the box for Algeria is blocked. Aïssa Mandi provided the assist.
59
Update Update
Michael Gregoritsch commits a handball for Austria.
58
Update Update
Florian Grillitsch commits a foul for Austria.
58
Update Update
Farès Chaïbi from Algeria is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Austria takes the lead 2-1 with a right-footed shot from outside the box by Marcel Sabitzer into the top right corner, assisted by Konrad Laimer.
54
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Farès Chaïbi from Algeria has his right-footed shot from outside the box saved.
49
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Ramy Bensebaini from Algeria took a left-footed shot from over 35 yards.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Austria: Florian Grillitsch comes on for Xaver Schlager.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Austria: Paul Wanner comes on for Romano Schmid.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the match tied at 1-1 between Algeria and Austria.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Austria: Michael Gregoritsch comes on for Marko Arnautovic.
45
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Seiwald's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Xaver Schlager of Austria.
45
Update Update
Oussama Benbot from Algeria wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of added time.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Austria after a concession by Riyad Mahrez.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rafik Belghali scores for Algeria with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the top right corner. The match is now 1-1 against Austria.
44
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Ibrahim Maza's left-footed shot from the center of the box is saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Riyad Mahrez's left-footed shot from outside the box for Algeria is blocked. Nabil Bentaleb provided the assist.
42
Update Update
Romano Schmid commits a foul for Austria.
42
Update Update
Riyad Mahrez from Algeria is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
41
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Phillipp Mwene's right-footed shot from the left side of the box goes wide to the left.
40
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Phillipp Mwene's right-footed shot from the left side of the box goes wide to the left.
39
Attempt Attempt
Farès Chaïbi from Algeria hits the woodwork with a left-footed shot from outside the box.
38
Update Update
Offside called against Austria. Marko Arnautovic is caught offside.
37
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Ibrahim Maza from Algeria takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the box.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Konrad Laimer's left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box is saved in the center of the goal by Oussama Benbot.
32
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Rafik Belghali of Algeria, who took a right-footed shot from the right side of the box.
30
Update Update
Marko Arnautovic is caught offside for Austria.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Austria takes the lead 1-0 with Marko Arnautovic scoring a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
26
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
23
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
19
Update Update
Konrad Laimer is caught offside for Austria.
12
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
11
Update Update
Marko Arnautovic commits a foul for Austria.
11
Update Update
Aïssa Mandi from Algeria is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
11
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marko Arnautovic from Austria receives a yellow card for a foul.
11
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Aïssa Mandi from Algeria.
10
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Maza from Algeria misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box that goes too high, assisted by Houssem Aouar.
8
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Xaver Schlager from Austria takes a left-footed shot from outside the box.
7
Update Update
Marcel Sabitzer commits a foul for Austria.
7
Update Update
Ibrahim Maza from Algeria wins a free kick in the defensive half.
3
Update Update
Phillipp Mwene from Austria is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
3
Update Update
Riyad Mahrez commits a foul for Algeria.
1
Update Update
Delay in the match in Austria.
1
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Ilgiz Tantashev.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Algeria 3-3 Austria. Structural assessment: Austria exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.