Albacete vs Real Oviedo preview

Spain flag 2026/2027 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
La Liga 2
AlbaceteALB
0 1
Real OviedoOVI
Full Time
Round 3 Regular Season
|
Goal
Pablo Sáenz - 42'

CONTEXT

In a tightly contested encounter Albacete hosted Real Oviedo and the match finished 0-1. The visitors struck early to lead 0-1 at halftime and protected that advantage until the final whistle. Albacete enjoyed 63 percent possession yet managed only 0.72 expected goals while Real Oviedo posted 1.07 expected goals. The stronger side on paper could not turn territorial control into a goal or a positive result. No red cards were shown and the contest remained free of major disruptions. Real Oviedo therefore claimed the points through a disciplined defensive display and efficient use of limited opportunities.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Albacete 0-1 Real Oviedo. Real Oviedo showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: The final result aligned with the expected goals metrics.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with pre-match projections.
  • xG expectations: Albacete generated 0.72 xG while Real Oviedo posted 1.07 xG.
  • Event impact: The match proceeded without major disruptions affecting the scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to either side during the contest.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Mallo Fernández
E. Mallo Fernández
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Landrove Lago
R. Landrove Lago
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Doval Gil
S. Doval Gil
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Masip Vidal
J. Masip Vidal
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Albacete A. González Fernández
A. González Fernández
VS
Real Oviedo J. Calero Fernández
J. Calero Fernández
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad II Rank: 62 L
Las Palmas Rank: 73 L
Ceuta Rank: 64 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 63 W
Córdoba Rank: 67 W
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: 65 L
Granada Rank: 65 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.97
46.13
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Albacete
Real Oviedo
Power Score
67.97
46.13
League Position
20
10
Global Rank
326
233

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Albacete — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Oviedo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Albacete Real Oviedo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Albacete

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Real Oviedo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Albacete ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Oviedo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
19.13
28.92
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.92
19.13
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Albacete -1.04 Efficiency Index
vs
Real Oviedo +1.04 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Albacete
Real Oviedo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Albacete
vs
Real Oviedo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Albacete Real Oviedo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
23%
5%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.17 vs -0.05
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Albacete Real Oviedo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
5%
23%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.05 vs -0.17
Albacete
Real Oviedo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Albacete
vs
Real Oviedo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Albacete Real Oviedo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Albacete 0.15
Real Oviedo 0.26
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Albacete Real Oviedo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Albacete 0.03
Real Oviedo 0.00
Albacete
Real Oviedo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ALB had peak pressure around 29'.
  • OVI started the game with stronger pressure.
ALB Pressure OVI Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ALB reached the top pressure at 29' (70.53).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Albacete ALB Home
2 matches
Real Oviedo OVI Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
2
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-30T00:26:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Capacity
17524
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
E. Mallo Fernández
Ricardo Landrove Lago
S. Doval Gil
Joan Masip Vidal

Statistics

Possession
ALB
60%
OVI
40%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 2
61 Dangerous attacks 34
63 Possession 37
8 Corners 5
14 Free kicks 10
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

71 Ball Safe 64
5 Goal Kicks 7
7 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 5
33 Throwins 21
2 Injuries 0
9 Dribble Attempts 11
5 Successful Dribbles 6
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55

Attacking

107 Attacks 60
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

50 Long Passes 53
504 Passes 300
414 Successful Passes 229
82 Successful Passes Percentage 76
7 Key Passes 8
20 Successful Long Passes 18
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34

Defensive

4 Saves 2
19 Tackles 10
9 Interceptions 14
51 Duels Won 34

Build-up

32 Total Crosses 18
7 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : E. Mallo Fernández

Starting XI ▼

13
Diego Mariño
Diego Mariño Goalkeeper
7.23
15
Fran Gámez
Fran Gámez Defender
7.08
21
Carlos Neva
Carlos Neva Defender
7.07
22
Lluís López
Lluís López (C) Defender
6.87
23
Pepe Sánchez
Pepe Sánchez Defender
6.09
4
Agus Medina
Agus Medina
Midfielder59'
6.4
2
Lorenzo Aguado
Lorenzo Aguado Midfielder
6.9
27
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia
Defender77'
6.64
6
Antonio Pacheco
Antonio Pacheco Midfielder
7.11
33
Tomás Inglés
Tomás Inglés
Attacker77'
6.56
17
José Corpas
José Corpas Midfielder
6.45
18
Sergio Ortuño
Sergio Ortuño Midfielder
6.88
9
Mario Soberón
Mario Soberón Attacker
6.51
19
Alex Rubio
Alex Rubio
Attacker58'
6.27
16
Munir El Haddadi
Munir El Haddadi Attacker
6.71
32
Agustín Albarracín
Agustín Albarracín
Attacker18'
6.95
Referee : E. Mallo Fernández

Starting XI ▼

13
Aarón Escandell
Aarón Escandell Goalkeeper
7.19
2
Aisar Ahmed
Aisar Ahmed Defender
7.58
22
Nacho Vidal
Nacho Vidal
Defender77'
6.71
3
Juan Cruz
Juan Cruz Defender
7.09
4
David Costas
David Costas (C) Defender
6.68
15
Samu Rodríguez
Samu Rodríguez Defender
6.55
23
Carlos Domínguez
Carlos Domínguez Defender
7.21
5
Youness Lachhab
Youness Lachhab Midfielder
6.32
6
Dani Villahermosa
Dani Villahermosa Midfielder
6.64
28
Diego Menéndez Secades
Diego Menéndez Secades
Midfielder88'
11
Jacobo González
Jacobo González Midfielder
6.58
16
Aritz Aldasoro
Aritz Aldasoro
Midfielder65'
6.29
20
Pablo Sáenz
Pablo Sáenz Midfielder
7.92
32
Enzo Pérez Miranda
Enzo Pérez Miranda
Midfielder77'
6.73
24
Alexandru Ișfan
Alexandru Ișfan Attacker
6.82
—
Alexandru Ișfan
65'

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Diego Menéndez Secades → Dani Villahermosa
10th Substitution
Event
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia → Lorenzo Aguado
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Tomás Inglés → Antonio Pacheco
7th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Enzo Pérez Miranda → Pablo Sáenz
8th Substitution
77'
Event
Nacho Vidal → Aisar Ahmed
9th Substitution
Event
Alex Rubio
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
75'
72'
Event
Carlos Domínguez
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Agus Medina
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
67'
65'
Event
Aritz Aldasoro → Jacobo González
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Victor Mingo → Alexandru Ișfan
5th Substitution
Event
Agus Medina → Pepe Sánchez
3rd Substitution
59'
Event
Alex Rubio → Mario Soberón
2nd Substitution
58'
46'
Event
Samu Rodríguez
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Lluís López
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45+3'
42'
Event
Pablo Sáenz
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
41'
Event
Youness Lachhab
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Agustín Albarracín → Munir El Haddadi
1st Substitution
18'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Diego Menendez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Attempt Attempt
Alex Rubio takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
88
Update Update
Diego Menendez comes on for Daniel Villahermosa.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
Offside.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Update Update
Tomas Ingles replaces Antonio Pacheco.
77
Update Update
Enzo Perez comes on for Pablo Saenz.
77
Substitution Substitution
Ignacio Vidal Miralles is substituted off for Aisar Ahmed.
77
Update Update
Dani Bernabeu comes on for Lorenzo.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Alex Rubio.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Carlos Dominguez receives a yellow card.
71
Attempt Attempt
Aritz Aldasoro's left-footed shot is blocked.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Agus Medina receives a yellow card.
65
Update Update
Aritz Aldasoro is on, and Jacobo Gonzalez is off.
65
Update Update
On comes Mingo, off goes Alexandru Isfan.
64
Attempt Attempt
Agus Medina takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
59
Update Update
Agus Medina is on, and Pepe Sanchez is off.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alex Rubio comes on for Mario Soberon.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Samuel Rodriguez receives a yellow card.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Lluis Lopez Marmol.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Mario Soberon takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Update Update
Offside.
45
Attempt Attempt
Agustin Albarracin takes a left-footed shot but misses.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Pablo Saenz scores with a left-footed shot.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Pablo Saenz scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Alexandru Isfan.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Youness Lachhab receives a yellow card.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Attempt Attempt
Pepe Sanchez attempts a header but misses the shot.
38
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Alexandru Isfan with his right foot is saved.
38
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Saenz takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Dominguez attempted a header, but it missed the target.
37
Attempt Attempt
Youness Lachhab's left-footed shot is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Agustin Albarracin takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Jose Corpas takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
28
Attempt Attempt
Lorenzo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
25
Update Update
Offside.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Attempt Attempt
Jose Corpas takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
18
Update Update
Agustin Albarracin comes on for Munir El Haddadi.
16
Update Update
Offside.
16
Update Update
Offside.
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alexandru Isfan Head Shot Missed
4
Attempt Attempt
Jacobo Gonzalez takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Eder Mallo Fernandez.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Albacete 0-1 Real Oviedo. Structural assessment: Real Oviedo exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.