Merida vs Al Nassr preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Al-Awwal Park Tue, 28 Jul - 5:00 PM
Club Friendlies 1
MeridaMerida
0 2
Al NassrANA
Full Time Tue, 28 Jul 5:00 PM
Regular Season
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Merida defeated Al Nassr by a final score of 2-0 in the match. The game remained level at halftime with both sides scoreless. Al Nassr entered as the stronger side yet Merida secured the victory through a significant performance deviation. No red cards were issued to either team during the contest. Expected goals data was unavailable for both sides preventing direct calculation of differentials or alignments. Possession figures were also not recorded. The outcome showed consistency with pre-match market positioning while efficiency metrics remained in line with prior benchmarks. Second half adjustments were minimal and no knockout tie implications arose from the result.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Merida recorded a significant deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics stayed in line with established benchmarks.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data remained unavailable preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were available to evaluate against the outcome.
  • Event impact: The match produced a 2-0 scoreline with no additional event distortions noted.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion from dismissals was present.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Merida A. Postecoglou
A. Postecoglou
VS
Al Nassr F. Ruiz Beltrán
F. Ruiz Beltrán
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Benfica II Rank: 60 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34.2
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Merida
Al Nassr
Power Score
34.2
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Merida — Opponent-weighted form score
Al Nassr — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Merida Al Nassr

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Merida

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Al Nassr

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Merida ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Al Nassr
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Merida Al Nassr
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
— —
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Merida Al Nassr
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
— —
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Merida
Al Nassr
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Merida
vs
Al Nassr
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Merida Al Nassr
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Merida 0.00
Al Nassr 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Merida Al Nassr
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Merida —
Al Nassr 0.00
Merida
Al Nassr
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 28, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Al-Awwal Park
Capacity
25000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

—
Adrián Dany Hammad Csenterics
Adrián Dany Hammad Csenterics Goalkeeper
—
István Bence Juhász
István Bence Juhász Goalkeeper
—
Ignacio González Ruiz
Ignacio González Ruiz Defender
—
José Martínez López
José Martínez López Defender
—
Alejandro Barbudo Lorenzo
Alejandro Barbudo Lorenzo Defender
—
Alejandro Jay Agustín
Alejandro Jay Agustín Defender
—
Hugo Sanz Pérez
Hugo Sanz Pérez Defender
—
Antonio José Aranda Subiela
Antonio José Aranda Subiela Midfielder
8
Martín Solar Ruiz
Martín Solar Ruiz Midfielder
21
Raúl Beneit Romero
Raúl Beneit Romero Midfielder
18
Benjamin Dibrani
Benjamin Dibrani Midfielder
—
José Manuel López Plaza
José Manuel López Plaza Midfielder
10
Carlos Doncel Ordoñez
Carlos Doncel Ordoñez Attacker
9
Sigurdur Bjartur Hallsson
Sigurdur Bjartur Hallsson Attacker
11
Francisco Javier Areso Blanco
Francisco Javier Areso Blanco Attacker
—
Daniel Sandoval Fernández
Daniel Sandoval Fernández Attacker
14
Sofiane El Ftouhi
Sofiane El Ftouhi Attacker

Squad ▼

24
Bento Matheus Krepski
Bento Matheus Krepski Goalkeeper
1
Nawaf Alaqidi
Nawaf Alaqidi Goalkeeper
26
Íñigo Martínez Berridi
Íñigo Martínez Berridi Defender
2
Sultan Abdullah Al Ghanam
Sultan Abdullah Al Ghanam Defender
5
Abdulelah Al Amri
Abdulelah Al Amri Defender
3
Mohamed Simakan
Mohamed Simakan Defender
4
Nader Abdullah Al Sharari
Nader Abdullah Al Sharari Defender
12
Nawaf Boushal
Nawaf Boushal Defender
23
Ayman Yahya
Ayman Yahya Defender
96
Saad Fahad Al Nasser
Saad Fahad Al Nasser Defender
83
Salem Al Najdi
Salem Al Najdi Defender
—
Majed Mohammed
Majed Mohammed Defender
70
Awad Aman
Awad Aman Defender
—
Aser Abdulfatah Hawsawi
Aser Abdulfatah Hawsawi Defender
—
Abdulmajeed Mohammed Al Sulaiheem
Abdulmajeed Mohammed Al Sulaiheem Midfielder
14
Sami Khalil Al Naji
Sami Khalil Al Naji Midfielder
17
Abdullah Alkhaibari
Abdullah Alkhaibari Midfielder
19
Ali Al Hassan
Ali Al Hassan Midfielder
18
Abdulmalik Al Jaber
Abdulmalik Al Jaber Midfielder
8
Hayder Abdulkareem Tawfeeq Tofee
Hayder Abdulkareem Tawfeeq Tofee Midfielder
7
Cristiano Ronaldo dos Santos Aveiro
Cristiano Ronaldo dos Santos Aveiro Attacker
10
Sadio Mané
Sadio Mané Attacker
21
Kingsley Coman
Kingsley Coman Attacker
79
João Félix Sequeira
João Félix Sequeira Attacker
—
Haroune Camara
Haroune Camara Attacker
—
Jhon Jáder Durán Palacio
Jhon Jáder Durán Palacio Attacker
9
Abdullah Al Hamdan
Abdullah Al Hamdan Attacker
16
Mohammed Maran
Mohammed Maran Attacker
20
Ângelo Gabriel Borges Damaceno
Ângelo Gabriel Borges Damaceno Attacker
—
Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira
Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Haroune Camara
2nd Goal
58'
1ST-HALF
Event
Mohammed Marran
1st Goal
11'

CONCLUSION

Merida completed a 2-0 victory over Al Nassr despite the visitors being the stronger side on paper. The first half ended goalless with both teams unable to break the deadlock. Merida produced the required output in the second period to secure the points. Absence of expected goals figures limited deeper statistical comparison yet the result matched market alignment indicators. Efficiency remained consistent throughout without notable shifts. No red cards affected the flow or outcome of the fixture. The performance deviation by Merida proved decisive in overcoming the pre-match assessment of team strength. Overall the contest stayed within expected structural parameters once the second half adjustments took effect.