Al Hilal vs Al Faisaly preview

Saudi Arabia flag 2026/2027 Pro League, Saudi Arabia
Kingdom Arena Fri, 14 Aug - 6:00 PM
Pro League
Full Time Fri, 14 Aug 6:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Al Hilal secured a 4-2 victory over Al Faisaly. The match saw the home side take a 3-0 lead into the interval. Expected goals stood at 4.2 for Al Hilal and 1.34 for Al Faisaly, producing a differential of 2.86. Both teams recorded equal possession figures of 50 percent. No red cards were issued throughout the contest. The result aligned with the xG data and confirmed the stronger team's dominance. Structural elements showed a significant deviation attributed to Al Hilal. Efficiency remained in line with overall projections. The game demonstrated clear alignment between performance metrics and the final scoreline. Additional observations include the absence of any second half adjustments that altered the primary narrative. The data indicates a straightforward progression from the first half advantage to the eventual outcome without major interruptions.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Al Hilal exhibited a significant structural deviation of 100 percent in the match.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with pre-match projections for both sides.
  • xG alignment: The final result was consistent with the xG values recorded during the game.
  • Market alignment: The outcome matched the aligned market expectations for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: Al Hilal posted an xG of 4.2 compared to Al Faisaly's 1.34.
  • Event impact: The halftime score of 3-0 influenced the second half approach by both teams.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion occurred in team structures.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
2.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Al-Fayha Rank: 44 W
NEOM SC Rank: 49 W
Al Nassr Rank: 71 D
Al Khaleej Rank: 41 W
Al Hazm Rank: 43 W
Damac FC Rank: 41 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.08
34.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Al Hilal
Al Faisaly
Power Score
77.08
34.29
League Position
1
16
Global Rank
113
957

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Al Hilal Opponent-weighted form score
Al Faisaly Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Al Hilal Al Faisaly

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Al Hilal

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Al Faisaly

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Al Hilal ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Al Faisaly
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.80
22.20
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.20
39.80
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Al Hilal +2.26 Efficiency Index
vs
Al Faisaly -2.26 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Al Hilal
Al Faisaly
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Al Hilal
vs
Al Faisaly
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Al Hilal Al Faisaly
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
70%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
3.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.06 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Al Hilal Al Faisaly
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
70%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 3.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs +0.06
Al Hilal
Al Faisaly
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Al Hilal
vs
Al Faisaly
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Al Hilal Al Faisaly
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Al Hilal Al Faisaly
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Al Hilal
Al Faisaly
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ALH had peak pressure around 85'.
  • ALH started the game with stronger pressure.
ALH Pressure ALF Pressure
Pressure Index: ALH reached the top pressure at 85' (44.97).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 14, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Pro League, Saudi Arabia · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Kingdom Arena
Capacity
63079
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Statistics

Possession
ALH
50%
ALF
50%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 2
8 Big Chances Created 3
9 Shots 2
78 Dangerous attacks 62
50 Possession 50
7 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 15
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

72 Ball Safe 84
2 Penalties 0
4 Goal Kicks 10
12 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 5
17 Throwins 15
0 Assists 2
0 Injuries 3
10 Dribble Attempts 8
7 Successful Dribbles 4
70 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

78 Attacks 93
4 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

40 Long Passes 40
330 Passes 338
273 Successful Passes 289
83 Successful Passes Percentage 86
9 Key Passes 7
23 Successful Long Passes 26
58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 65

Defensive

3 Saves 0
14 Tackles 13
10 Interceptions 6
45 Duels Won 52

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 12
3 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
18 Fouls 15

Lineup

Starting XI

37
Yassine Bounou
Yassine Bounou Goalkeeper
6.64
2
Mohammed Mahzari
Mohammed Mahzari Defender
6.54
3
Kalidou Koulibaly
6.19
24
Moteb Al-Harbi
Moteb Al-Harbi Defender
6.83
18
Murad Al-Hawsawi
Murad Al-Hawsawi
Midfielder89'
55
Mishaal Al-Dawood
6.45
8
Rúben Neves
Rúben Neves Midfielder
2
8.49
10
Malcom Filipe Silva de Oliveira
6.98
22
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic
7.19
28
Mohamed Kanno
Mohamed Kanno (C) Midfielder
6.49
6
Nasser Al-Dawsari
Nasser Al-Dawsari
Midfielder71'
6.72
38
Crysencio Summerville
7.46
27
Sultan Mandash
Sultan Mandash
Attacker84'
6.48
9
Karim Benzema
Karim Benzema Attacker
7.21
75
Kader Meïté
Kader Meïté
Attacker70'
6.58

Starting XI

1
Fernando Pacheco
Fernando Pacheco Goalkeeper
6.08
3
Khalid Al-Harbi
Khalid Al-Harbi Defender
5.87
4
Abdoulaye Seck
Abdoulaye Seck Defender
6.1
5
Andrei Girotto
6.72
50
Mohammed Al-Shanqiti
5.88
14
Abdullah Al-Mogren
Abdullah Al-Mogren Midfielder
6.06
20
Jaime Seoane
Jaime Seoane Midfielder
7.16
95
Ayman Fallatah
Ayman Fallatah
Midfielder76'
6.67
77
Abdulrahman Al-Shereaf
6.27
11
André Jordy Ella
6.69
10
Théo Bongonda
Théo Bongonda Attacker
6.86
6
Eid Al-Muwallad
Eid Al-Muwallad
Midfielder71'
6.48
13
Christian Bassogog
7.27
Christian Bassogog
76'
19
Alexandre Mendy
Alexandre Mendy Attacker
6.93

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Murad Al-Hawsawi Moteb Al-Harbi
10th Substitution
89'
Event
Mishaal Al-Dawood Ali bin Mohammed bin Ali Lajami
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Sultan Mandash Crysencio Summerville
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Right foot shot / 3rd Penalty
82'
76'
Event
Ayman Fallatah Jaime Seoane
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Saud Haddad Christian Bassogog
7th Substitution
Event
Nasser Al-Dawsari Mohamed Kanno
3rd Substitution
71'
71'
Event
André Jordy Ella Abdulrahman Al-Shereaf
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Eid Al-Muwallad Théo Bongonda
5th Substitution
Event
Kader Meïté Karim Benzema
2nd Substitution
70'
65'
Event
Ahmad Al-Mhemaid Abdullah Al-Mogren
1st Substitution
64'
Event
Header / 3rd Goal
62'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
59'
Event
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Right foot shot / 2nd Penalty
28'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
26'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
19'
Event
Penalty awarded
15'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Alexandre Mendy attempted a header, but it missed the target.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 4-2.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Meite with his right foot, but it misses the target.
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 4-2.
89
Update Update
Murad Al-Hawsawi comes on for Moteb Al Harbi.
84
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Meite takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
84
Update Update
On comes Sultan Mandash, off goes Crysencio Summerville.
84
Update Update
Mishaal Al Dawood is on, and Ali Al-Oujami is off.
82
Update Update
Offside.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ruben Neves scores with a right-footed shot.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Ruben Neves scores, making it 4-2.
77
Attempt Attempt
Kalidou Koulibaly attempts a header but misses the shot.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Update Update
Ayman Fallatah comes on for Jaime Seoane.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Substitution Substitution
On Eid Al-Muwallad, Theo Bongonda is substituted off.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Andre-Jordy Ella comes on for Abdulrahman Al Shereaf.
70
Update Update
Nasser Al-Dawsari replaces Mohamed Kanno.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Mohamed Meite comes on for Karim Benzema.
65
Attempt Attempt
Alexandre Mendy takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
64
Update Update
Ahmad Al-Mhemaid comes on for Abdullah Al-Mogren.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Substitution: Mohamed Meite comes on for Karim Benzema.
63
Update Update
Ahmad Al-Mhemaid comes on for Abdullah Al-Mogren.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Theo Bongonda scores, making it 3-2.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Abdullah Al-Mogren.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Alexandre Mendy with his right foot results in a goal.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
55
Attempt Attempt
Malcom Filipe Silva Oliveira takes a left-footed shot but misses.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Attempt Attempt
Moteb Al Harbi takes a left-footed shot but misses.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Update Update
First half ends with a score of 3-0.
45
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Attempt Attempt
Karim Benzema takes a right-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Jaime Seoane takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Attempt Attempt
Abdulrahman Al Shereaf takes a right-footed shot but misses.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ruben Neves scores with a right-footed shot.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Ruben Neves scores, making it 3-0.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ruben Neves scores a penalty, making it 3-0.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Malcom Filipe Silva Oliveira scores, making it 2-0.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Karim Benzema scores, making it 1-0.
19
Update Update
VAR decision confirms a penalty awarded to Mohammed Mahzari.
15
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Kanno takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Attempt Attempt
Crysencio Summerville takes a right-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Crysencio Summerville takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Attempt Attempt
Malcom Filipe Silva Oliveira takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has taken place!

CONCLUSION

The performance metrics from the encounter between Al Hilal and Al Faisaly highlighted several key aspects of the game. With a final score of 4-2 in favor of the home team, the xG figures provided a solid basis for understanding the flow. Possession equality did not translate into equal scoring opportunities as reflected in the data. The lack of disciplinary actions ensured that the match proceeded without additional variables affecting team compositions. Alignment between the expected goals and the actual result underscored the predictability based on underlying statistics. This match serves as an example of how first half dominance can set the tone for the remainder of the contest. Overall analysis points to consistent patterns in efficiencies and approaches.