Al Ahli vs Abha preview
2026/2027 Pro League, Saudi Arabia
Alinma Stadium
Round 2 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
Sorry, standings could not be loaded right now.
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 29
CONTEXT
In the match between Al Ahli and Abha, the final score stood at 4-0 in favor of the home team. The halftime score was recorded as 2-0. Possession was evenly split at 50 percent for each side. Al Ahli posted an expected goals figure of 2.16 compared to Abha's 1.18, resulting in a differential of 0.98. The outcome aligned with the expected goals data as the stronger team secured the win. No red cards occurred, maintaining the integrity of the result without distortion. The structural deviation reached a significant level of 100 percent for Al Ahli. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with projections. This performance highlighted the home side's ability to convert opportunities effectively despite balanced ball control.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Final score: Al Ahli 4-0 Abha. Al Ahli showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
-
xG alignment: The outcome was consistent with the xG metrics.
-
Market alignment: The result showed alignment with market indicators.
-
xG expectations: Al Ahli recorded 2.16 xG against Abha's 1.18 xG.
-
Event impact: No second half adjustments or major events altered the match flow.
-
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from disciplinary actions.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Al Jires
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.32
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
O. Al Jamel
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Wazi
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
A. Al Rumaikhani
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
2.38
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Al Draih
Rank: 46
W
Al Khaleej
Rank: 41
W
Al Kholood
Rank: 43
W
Al Taawoun
Rank: 51
W
Al Fateh
Rank: 44
W
Al Okhdoud
Rank: 33
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Al Hazm
Rank: 44
L
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.67
33.73
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Al Ahli
Abha
Power Score
71.67
33.73
League Position
3
17
Global Rank
204
1224
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Al Ahli
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Abha
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Al Ahli Abha
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Al Ahli
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Abha
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Al Ahli
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Abha
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.30
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.30
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Al Ahli
+1.04
Efficiency Index
vs
Abha
-1.04
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Al Ahli
Abha
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Al Ahli
vs
Abha
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Al Ahli
Abha
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
37%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.21
vs
-0.36
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Al Ahli
Abha
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
30%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.36
vs
+0.21
Al Ahli
Abha
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Al Ahli
vs
Abha
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Al Ahli
Abha
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Al Ahli
0.37
Abha
0.36
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Al Ahli
Abha
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Al Ahli
0.00
Abha
0.09
Al Ahli
Abha
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- ABH had peak pressure around 33'.
- AHL started the game with stronger pressure.
AHL Pressure
ABH Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
ABH reached the top pressure at 33' (76.46).
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
4-1-4-1
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Pro League, Saudi Arabia · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Alinma Stadium
Capacity
64200
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sami Al Jires
Omar Al Jamel
Mohammed Ahmed Wazi
Ahmad Al Rumaikhani
Next Match
Al Ahli
vs
Al Kholood
League: Pro League
Kickoff: Sat, 29 Aug - 4:05 PM
Venue: Ar-Rass Stadium (Al Hazm Club Stadium) (Ar-Rass (Rass))
Abha
vs
Al Khaleej
League: Pro League
Kickoff: Tue, 25 Aug - 4:05 PM
Venue: Dhamak Club Stadium
Statistics
Possession
AHL
51%
ABH
49%
Top Statistics
4
Goals
0
6
Big Chances Created
4
8
Shots
5
43
Dangerous attacks
33
50
Possession
50
2
Corners
4
10
Free kicks
18
2
Yellow Cards
2
Match Overview
55
Ball Safe
67
1
Penalties
0
7
Goal Kicks
11
12
Goal Attempts
11
5
Substitutions
4
10
Throwins
12
2
Assists
0
18
Dribble Attempts
21
8
Successful Dribbles
9
44
Successful Dribbles Percentage
43
Attacking
94
Attacks
93
4
Big Chances Missed
4
Possession
49
Long Passes
32
428
Passes
412
370
Successful Passes
360
86
Successful Passes Percentage
87
12
Key Passes
11
33
Successful Long Passes
19
67
Successful Long Passes Percentage
59
Defensive
3
Saves
3
25
Tackles
17
11
Interceptions
7
54
Duels Won
50
Build-up
11
Total Crosses
22
4
Accurate Crosses
5
Discipline
2
Offsides
1
18
Fouls
11
Lineup
Referee :
Sami Al Jires
Manager ▼
M. Pusic
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
1
Abdulrahman Al-Sanbi
Goalkeeper
5
Mohammed Sulaiman
Defender
29
Mohammed Abdulrahman
Defender
21
Abdullah Radif
Attacker
Referee :
Sami Al Jires
Manager ▼
D. Burić
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
21
Abdulrahman Al-Bouq
Goalkeeper
19
Abdullah Al-Fahad
Defender
80
Safwan Al-Johani
Defender
29
Majed Dawran
Midfielder
Events
2ND-HALF
90+3'
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
86'
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
10th Substitution
84'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
81'
76'
9th Substitution
67'
7th Substitution
67'
8th Substitution
3rd Substitution
66'
4th Substitution
66'
5th Substitution
66'
66'
6th Substitution
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
57'
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
51'
1st Substitution
46'
46'
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
41'
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
13'
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
5'
CONCLUSION
The 4-0 victory for Al Ahli over Abha reflected a controlled performance where the home side capitalized on their opportunities. With a halftime lead of 2-0 already established, the team maintained dominance in the second period to double their tally. Equal possession did not translate to equal chance creation as Al Ahli held the edge in expected goals. This consistency between xG and actual score underscores the reliability of the metrics in this instance. Without any red cards or significant adjustments, the match proceeded without external distortions affecting the final outcome. The significant deviation noted points to Al Ahli exceeding typical benchmarks in their execution. Overall the data supports a straightforward win for the stronger side based on performance indicators.
Match Commentary