Ajax vs Panathinaikos preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Johan Cruijff Arena Sat, 4 Jul - 3:00 PM
Club Friendlies 1
Ajax AJA
1 3
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
Full Time Sat, 4 Jul 3:00 PM
Regular Season
Don-Angelo Konadu - 43'
Goal
|
Goal
Andreas Tetteh - 15'
Anass Zaroury - 30'
Vicente Taborda - 74'

CONTEXT

Ajax faced Panathinaikos in a contest that concluded with a 1-3 scoreline after a 1-2 halftime interval. Ajax held 49 percent possession while Panathinaikos controlled 51 percent. No red cards were issued to either side. Although Ajax entered as the stronger side the visitors secured the victory. The match featured a significant deviation attributed to Panathinaikos. Efficiency metrics remained in line with observed patterns. Expected goals information was unavailable throughout the encounter. The outcome proved consistent with available alignment indicators. No second half adjustments or knockout elements altered the proceedings. The final result reflected the away side's ability to capitalize on opportunities after the break.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Ajax 1-3 Panathinaikos. Panathinaikos showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed patterns.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the flow beyond standard play.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were shown so no distortion affected the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Bos
A. Bos
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. de Groot
S. de Groot
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Ribbink
M. Ribbink
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Wever
M. Wever
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Ajax Ajax
Ajax
VS
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Volendam Rank: 61 D
RFC Seraing Rank: 49 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ajax
0%
Draw
0%
Away Panathinaikos
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.03
76.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ajax
Panathinaikos
Power Score
77.03
76.39
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
103
113

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ajax — Opponent-weighted form score
Panathinaikos — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ajax Panathinaikos

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Ajax

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Panathinaikos

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ajax ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Panathinaikos
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.90
25.29
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.29
24.90
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Ajax -0.03 Efficiency Index
vs
Panathinaikos +0.03 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Ajax
Panathinaikos
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ajax ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Panathinaikos
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ajax Panathinaikos
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ajax Panathinaikos
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ajax
Panathinaikos
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Ajax
vs
Panathinaikos
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Ajax Panathinaikos
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Ajax 0.23
Panathinaikos 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Ajax Panathinaikos
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Ajax 0.08
Panathinaikos 0.02
Ajax
Panathinaikos
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AJA had peak pressure around 84'.
  • Panathinaikos started the game with stronger pressure.
AJA Pressure Panathinaikos Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AJA reached the top pressure at 84' (78.10).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ajax AJA Home
4 matches
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
3
Goals
5
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
5
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:50:33+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 04, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
Capacity
55885
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alex Bos
Stefan de Groot
Marco Ribbink
Martin Wever

Statistics

Possession
AJA
51%
Panathinaikos
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
8 Shots 7
44 Dangerous attacks 38
49 Possession 51
4 Corners 4
14 Free kicks 14
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

11 Substitutions 10
19 Throwins 21
1 Hit Woodwork 0
8 Dribble Attempts 2

Attacking

95 Attacks 70

Possession

29 Long Passes 21
468 Passes 475
87 Successful Passes Percentage 87

Defensive

1 Saves 1
6 Tackles 6
7 Interceptions 11

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
14 Fouls 14

Squad

Referee : Alex Bos

Squad ▼

26
Maarten Paes
Maarten Paes Goalkeeper
52
Paul Peters Reverson
Paul Peters Reverson Goalkeeper
12
Joeri Jesse Heerkens
Joeri Jesse Heerkens Goalkeeper
—
Daley Blind
Daley Blind Defender
5
Owen Wijndal
Owen Wijndal Defender
—
Caio Henrique Oliveira Silva
Caio Henrique Oliveira Silva Defender
4
Ko Itakura
Ko Itakura Defender
37
Josip Šutalo
Josip Šutalo Defender
2
Lucas Oliveira Rosa
Lucas Oliveira Rosa Defender
—
Ahmetcan Kaplan
Ahmetcan Kaplan Defender
15
Youri Baas
Youri Baas Defender
3
Anton Gaaei
Anton Gaaei Defender
30
Aaron Bouwman
Aaron Bouwman Defender
18
Davy Klaassen
Davy Klaassen Midfielder
28
Kian Fitz-Jim
Kian Fitz-Jim Midfielder
6
Youri Regeer
Youri Regeer Midfielder
10
Oscar Gloukh
Oscar Gloukh Midfielder
43
Rayane Bounida
Rayane Bounida Midfielder
24
Jorthy Mokio
Jorthy Mokio Midfielder
23
Steven Berghuis
Steven Berghuis Attacker
9
Kasper Dolberg
Kasper Dolberg Attacker
17
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Attacker
—
Amourrichio Van Axel Dongen
Amourrichio Van Axel Dongen Attacker
11
Mika Marcel Godts
Mika Marcel Godts Attacker
19
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu Attacker
7
Maher Mauricio Carrizo
Maher Mauricio Carrizo Attacker
Referee : Alex Bos

Squad ▼

70
Konstantinos Kotsaris
Konstantinos Kotsaris Goalkeeper
40
Alban Lafont
Alban Lafont Goalkeeper
—
Bartłomiej Drągowski
Bartłomiej Drągowski Goalkeeper
12
Lucas Abraham Chávez
Lucas Abraham Chávez Goalkeeper
—
Loukas Stamellos
Loukas Stamellos Goalkeeper
—
Christos Geitonas
Christos Geitonas Goalkeeper
21
Tin Jedvaj
Tin Jedvaj Defender
—
Filip Mladenović
Filip Mladenović Defender
15
Sverrir Ingi Ingason
Sverrir Ingi Ingason Defender
5
Ahmed Touba
Ahmed Touba Defender
77
Giorgos Kiriakopoulos
Giorgos Kiriakopoulos Defender
27
Giannis Kotsiras
Giannis Kotsiras Defender
2
Davide Calabria
Davide Calabria Defender
14
Erik Palmer-Brown
Erik Palmer-Brown Defender
26
Javier Hernández Cabrera
Javier Hernández Cabrera Defender
—
Georgios Vagiannidis
Georgios Vagiannidis Defender
—
Elton Fikaj
Elton Fikaj Defender
3
Georgios Marios Katris
Georgios Marios Katris Defender
—
Angelos Vyntra
Angelos Vyntra Defender
—
Vasilios Lavdas
Vasilios Lavdas Defender
17
Moussa Sissoko
Moussa Sissoko Midfielder
31
Filip Đuričić
Filip Đuričić Midfielder
4
Pedro Chirivella Burgos
Pedro Chirivella Burgos Midfielder
52
Tonny Emilio Trindade de Vilhena
Tonny Emilio Trindade de Vilhena Midfielder
8
Renato Júnior Luz Sanches
Renato Júnior Luz Sanches Midfielder
11
Anastasios Bakasetas
Anastasios Bakasetas Midfielder
6
Emmanouil Siopis
Emmanouil Siopis Midfielder
—
Nemanja Maksimović
Nemanja Maksimović Midfielder
16
Adam Gnezda Čerin
Adam Gnezda Čerin Midfielder
—
Giorgos Nikas
Giorgos Nikas Midfielder
20
Vicente Taborda
Vicente Taborda Midfielder
—
Adriano Bregou
Adriano Bregou Midfielder
88
Adriano Jagušić
Adriano Jagušić Midfielder
18
Sotiris Kontouris
Sotiris Kontouris Midfielder
10
Santino Andino Valencia
Santino Andino Valencia Midfielder
33
Cyriel Dessers
Cyriel Dessers Attacker
19
Karol Świderski
Karol Świderski Attacker
—
Alexander Jeremejeff
Alexander Jeremejeff Attacker
—
Daniel Mancini
Daniel Mancini Attacker
—
Fotis Ioannidis
Fotis Ioannidis Attacker
28
Facundo Pellistri Rebollo
Facundo Pellistri Rebollo Attacker
—
Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins
Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins Attacker
9
Anass Zaroury
Anass Zaroury Attacker
72
Miloš Pantović
Miloš Pantović Attacker
7
Andrews Tetteh
Andrews Tetteh Attacker
22
Georgios Kyriopoulos
Georgios Kyriopoulos Attacker
23
Pavlos Pantelidis
Pavlos Pantelidis Attacker
39
Giannis Gavriil Bokos
Giannis Gavriil Bokos Attacker
—
Iason Nempis
Iason Nempis Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
82'
Event
Panagiotis Biniaris
1st Yellowcard
78'
Event
V. Lavdas → Ahmed Touba 
21st Substitution
74'
Event
Vicente Taborda
4th Goal
72'
Event
P. Biniaris → Giorgos Kiriakopoulos
20th Substitution
Event
Marvyn Muzungu → Pharell Nash
19th Substitution
68'
63'
Event
P. Pantelidis → Adriano Jagusic
16th Substitution
63'
Event
Manolis Siopis → Étienne Camara
17th Substitution
63'
Event
Vicente Taborda → Santino Andino
18th Substitution
62'
Event
Elmin Rastoder → A. Tetteh
15th Substitution
Event
Mohamed Abdalla → Youri Regeer
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
J. Amour → Don-Angelo Konadu
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
A. Appiah → Steven Berghuis
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Maher Carrizo → Lucas Rosa
5th Substitution
46'
Event
Dies Janse → Owen Wijndal
7th Substitution
46'
Event
Jinairo Johnson → Oscar Gloukh
8th Substitution
46'
Event
Davy Klaassen → Aaron Bouwman
10th Substitution
46'
Event
Jorthy Mokio → Youri Baas
12th Substitution
46'
Event
Abdellah Ouazane → Sean Steur
13th Substitution
46'
Event
Paul Reverson → Maarten Paes
14th Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Pedro Chirivella  → Adam Gnezda Cerin
6th Substitution
46'
Event
G. Katris → Sverrir Ingi Ingason
9th Substitution
46'
Event
S. Kontouris → Anass Zaroury
11th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Don-Angelo Konadu
3rd Goal
43'
30'
Event
Anass Zaroury
2nd Goal
15'
Event
Andreas Tetteh
1st Goal
13'
Event
Triantafyllos Tsapras → Davide Calabria
1st Substitution

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Ajax 1-3 Panathinaikos. Structural assessment: Panathinaikos exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.