Ajax vs Burnley preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Johan Cruijff Arena Sun, 26 Jul - 12:00 PM
Club Friendlies 1
Full Time Sun, 26 Jul 12:00 PM
Regular Season

CONTEXT

Ajax secured a 2-1 victory over Burnley in a closely contested match that saw the home side lead 1-0 at halftime. Possession was nearly even with Ajax holding 51 percent compared to Burnley's 49 percent. No red cards were issued to either team throughout the fixture. Ajax as the stronger side delivered the expected result despite a significant deviation level noted in the performance metrics. The outcome aligned with market expectations while efficiency remained in line with prior benchmarks. Second half adjustments were minimal and the match concluded without knockout implications. The final score of 2-1 reflected Ajax's ability to maintain control after the break.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Ajax exhibited a significant deviation level during the match.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with established benchmarks for both sides.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was recorded so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The result proved consistent with pre-match market alignment.
  • xG expectations: Absence of xG figures left expectations unquantified in this fixture.
  • Event impact: The halftime lead of 1-0 shaped the second half dynamics effectively.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so distortion effects were entirely absent.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Nagtegaal
M. Nagtegaal
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. de Groot
S. de Groot
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Balder
J. Balder
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Blank
E. Blank
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Ajax M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
VS
Burnley N. Hayen
N. Hayen
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
1.6 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympiacos F.C. Rank: 83 W
VfL Bochum 1848 Rank: 73 D
AEK Larnaca Rank: W
Panathinaikos Rank: 74 L
FC Volendam Rank: 63 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.53
79.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ajax
Burnley
Power Score
79.53
79.04
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
85
94

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Ajax Opponent-weighted form score
Burnley Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ajax Burnley

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Ajax

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Burnley

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ajax ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Burnley
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.39
27.45
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.45
40.39
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Ajax +0.14 Efficiency Index
vs
Burnley -0.14 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Ajax
Burnley
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ajax ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Burnley
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ajax Burnley
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ajax Burnley
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ajax
Burnley
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Ajax
vs
Burnley
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Ajax Burnley
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Ajax Burnley
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Ajax
Burnley
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AJA had peak pressure around 74'.
  • BUR started the game with stronger pressure.
AJA Pressure BUR Pressure
Pressure Index: AJA reached the top pressure at 74' (78.53).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
Capacity
55885
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marc Nagtegaal
Stefan de Groot
Johan Balder
Erwin Blank

Statistics

Possession
AJA
52%
BUR
48%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 0
8 Shots 4
52 Dangerous attacks 29
51 Possession 49
9 Corners 6
11 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

85 Ball Safe 79
8 Goal Kicks 9
13 Goal Attempts 9
8 Substitutions 11
13 Throwins 11
17 Dribble Attempts 13
6 Successful Dribbles 7
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 54

Attacking

101 Attacks 89
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

34 Long Passes 42
467 Passes 442
413 Successful Passes 381
88 Successful Passes Percentage 86
15 Key Passes 9
22 Successful Long Passes 15
65 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

Defensive

3 Saves 5
15 Tackles 12
7 Interceptions 8

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 10
4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
6 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Marc Nagtegaal

Starting XI

1
Joeri Heerkens
Joeri Heerkens Goalkeeper
6.54
12
Paul Reverson
Paul Reverson
Goalkeeper46'
6.51
2
Anton Gaaei
Anton Gaaei Defender
6.59
3
Aaron Bouwman
Aaron Bouwman Defender
7.64
17
Daley Blind
Daley Blind
Defender46'
6.58
4
Youri Baas
Youri Baas (C) Defender
6.9
5
Caio Henrique
Caio Henrique Defender
6.9
6
Jinairo Johnson
Jinairo Johnson Midfielder
6.32
24
Mohamed Abdalla
Mohamed Abdalla
Midfielder46'
6.27
8
Jorthy Mokio
Jorthy Mokio Midfielder
6.49
21
Mika Godts
Mika Godts
Attacker61'
7.05
10
Abdellah Ouazane
Abdellah Ouazane Midfielder
7.48
16
Kian Fitz-Jim
Kian Fitz-Jim
Midfielder69'
6.85
7
Maher Carrizo
Maher Carrizo Attacker
6.76
18
Davy Klaassen
Davy Klaassen
Midfielder46'
6.57
9
Marcos Leonardo
Marcos Leonardo Attacker
6.62
19
Don-Angelo Konadu
7.12
11
Oliver Edvardsen
Oliver Edvardsen Attacker
7.18
23
Steven Berghuis
Steven Berghuis
Attacker69'
6.62
Referee : Marc Nagtegaal

Starting XI

1
Max Weiß
Max Weiß Goalkeeper
6.97
2
Kyle Walker
Kyle Walker (C) Defender
6.52
16
Shurandy Sambo
Shurandy Sambo
Defender70'
6.48
12
Bashir Humphreys
Bashir Humphreys Defender
6.57
8
George Brierley
George Brierley
Midfielder85'
6.46
14
Connor Roberts
Connor Roberts Defender
6.07
4
Joe Worrall
Joe Worrall
Defender68'
6.52
23
Lucas Pires
Lucas Pires Defender
6.02
22
Oliver Sonne
Oliver Sonne
Defender70'
6.3
7
Jacob Bruun Larsen
Jacob Bruun Larsen Midfielder
6.84
31
Mike Tresor
Mike Tresor
Attacker46'
6.51
10
Marcus Edwards
Marcus Edwards Midfielder
6.37
30
Luca Koleosho
Luca Koleosho
Attacker46'
6.83
21
Aaron Ramsey
Aaron Ramsey Midfielder
6.38
15
Lluc Castell
Lluc Castell
Attacker70'
6.63
28
Hannibal
Hannibal Midfielder
6.79
5
Murray Campbell
Murray Campbell
Defender85'
6.35
29
Josh Laurent
Josh Laurent Midfielder
6.76
17
Ellis Clark
Ellis Clark
Midfielder85'
6.66
11
Jaydon Banel
Jaydon Banel Attacker
6.97
9
Andréas Hountondji
6.51

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
85'
85'
Event
George Brierley Bashir Humphreys
16th Substitution
85'
Event
Murray Campbell Hannibal
17th Substitution
85'
Event
Ellis Clark Josh Laurent
18th Substitution
78'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
70'
Event
Lluc Castell Aaron Ramsey
12th Substitution
70'
Event
Andréas Hountondji Jaydon Banel
13th Substitution
70'
Event
Shurandy Sambo Kyle Walker
14th Substitution
70'
Event
Oliver Sonne Lucas Pires
15th Substitution
Event
Steven Berghuis Oliver Edvardsen
10th Substitution
69'
Event
Kian Fitz-Jim Abdellah Ouazane
11th Substitution
69'
68'
Event
Joe Worrall Connor Roberts
9th Substitution
Event
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
67'
62'
Event
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Mika Godts Jorthy Mokio
8th Substitution
61'
Event
Mohamed Abdalla Jinairo Johnson
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Daley Blind Aaron Bouwman
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Davy Klaassen Maher Carrizo
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Don-Angelo Konadu Marcos Leonardo
5th Substitution
46'
Event
Paul Reverson Joeri Heerkens
6th Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Luca Koleosho Marcus Edwards
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Mike Tresor Jacob Bruun Larsen
7th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
34'

CONCLUSION

Ajax claimed the three points with a 2-1 win that showcased disciplined defending after establishing an early advantage. Burnley pressed forward in the second period yet could not find an equalizer until late in the contest. The narrow margin highlighted the fine margins present when two evenly matched sides meet. Ajax controlled key moments without overextending and preserved their lead through organized transitions. Burnley showed resilience but lacked the final quality needed to turn possession into clear chances. Overall the performance from the victors demonstrated composure under pressure while the visitors left with credit for their effort. This result strengthens Ajax position moving forward in their schedule.