Ajax vs Burnley preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Johan Cruijff Arena Today - 12:00 PM
Club Friendlies 1
Ajax AJA
2 1
Burnley BUR
Full Time Today 12:00 PM
Regular Season
Aaron Bouwman - 34'
Abdellah Ouazane - 67'
Goal
|
Goal
Jaydon Banel - 62'

CONTEXT

Ajax secured a 2-1 victory over Burnley after leading 1-0 at halftime. The home side controlled 51 percent of possession while the visitors held 49 percent in a tightly fought encounter. Burnley entered as the stronger team yet Ajax claimed the win through effective second half adjustments. No red cards were issued to either side throughout the contest. The result reflected a significant deviation from pre-match projections with Ajax as the deviation team. Efficiency remained in line with overall patterns observed. The match concluded without major disruptions from disciplinary actions or other notable incidents.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Ajax 2-1 Burnley. Ajax showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remained undetermined without supporting metrics.
  • Event impact: Event impact stayed minimal across the full match duration.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent with zero dismissals recorded.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Ajax M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
VS
Burnley N. Hayen
N. Hayen
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
1.6 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympiacos F.C. Rank: 83 W
VfL Bochum 1848 Rank: 73 D
AEK Larnaca Rank: W
Panathinaikos Rank: 74 L
FC Volendam Rank: 63 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ajax
0%
Draw
0%
Away Burnley
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79
79.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ajax
Burnley
Power Score
79
79.63
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
94
83

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ajax — Opponent-weighted form score
Burnley — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ajax Burnley

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Ajax

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Burnley

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ajax ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Burnley
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ajax Burnley
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ajax Burnley
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ajax
Burnley
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Ajax
vs
Burnley
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Ajax Burnley
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Ajax 0.00
Burnley 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Ajax Burnley
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Ajax 0.00
Burnley 0.00
Ajax
Burnley
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AJA had peak pressure around 74'.
  • BUR started the game with stronger pressure.
AJA Pressure BUR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AJA reached the top pressure at 74' (78.53).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ajax AJA Home
0 matches
Burnley BUR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T12:01:21+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
Capacity
55885
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Statistics

Possession
AJA
52%
BUR
48%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 0
8 Shots 4
52 Dangerous attacks 29
51 Possession 49
9 Corners 6
11 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

85 Ball Safe 79
8 Goal Kicks 9
13 Goal Attempts 9
8 Substitutions 10
13 Throwins 11
17 Dribble Attempts 13
6 Successful Dribbles 7
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 54

Attacking

101 Attacks 89
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

34 Long Passes 42
458 Passes 443
406 Successful Passes 383
89 Successful Passes Percentage 86
15 Key Passes 9
23 Successful Long Passes 15
68 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

Defensive

3 Saves 5
15 Tackles 12
7 Interceptions 8

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 10
4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
6 Fouls 11

Squad

Squad ▼

26
Maarten Paes
Maarten Paes Goalkeeper
52
Paul Peters Reverson
Paul Peters Reverson Goalkeeper
12
Joeri Jesse Heerkens
Joeri Jesse Heerkens Goalkeeper
—
Daley Blind
Daley Blind Defender
5
Owen Wijndal
Owen Wijndal Defender
—
Caio Henrique Oliveira Silva
Caio Henrique Oliveira Silva Defender
4
Ko Itakura
Ko Itakura Defender
37
Josip Šutalo
Josip Šutalo Defender
2
Lucas Oliveira Rosa
Lucas Oliveira Rosa Defender
—
Ahmetcan Kaplan
Ahmetcan Kaplan Defender
15
Youri Baas
Youri Baas Defender
3
Anton Gaaei
Anton Gaaei Defender
36
Dies Janse
Dies Janse Defender
30
Aaron Bouwman
Aaron Bouwman Defender
18
Davy Klaassen
Davy Klaassen Midfielder
28
Kian Fitz-Jim
Kian Fitz-Jim Midfielder
6
Youri Regeer
Youri Regeer Midfielder
10
Oscar Gloukh
Oscar Gloukh Midfielder
43
Rayane Bounida
Rayane Bounida Midfielder
24
Jorthy Mokio
Jorthy Mokio Midfielder
23
Steven Berghuis
Steven Berghuis Attacker
9
Kasper Dolberg
Kasper Dolberg Attacker
17
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Attacker
—
Amourrichio Van Axel Dongen
Amourrichio Van Axel Dongen Attacker
—
Marcos Leonardo Santos Almeida
Marcos Leonardo Santos Almeida Attacker
11
Mika Marcel Godts
Mika Marcel Godts Attacker
19
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu Attacker
7
Maher Mauricio Carrizo
Maher Mauricio Carrizo Attacker

Squad ▼

13
Max Weiß
Max Weiß Goalkeeper
2
Kyle Andrew Walker
Kyle Andrew Walker Defender
14
Connor Roberts
Connor Roberts Defender
4
Joe Worrall
Joe Worrall Defender
18
Hjalmar Ekdal
Hjalmar Ekdal Defender
36
Louis Jordan Beyer
Louis Jordan Beyer Defender
—
Shurandy Sambo
Shurandy Sambo Defender
12
Bashir Humphreys
Bashir Humphreys Defender
—
Oliver Sonne
Oliver Sonne Defender
23
Lucas Pires Silva
Lucas Pires Silva Defender
24
Josh Cullen
Josh Cullen Midfielder
29
Josh Laurent
Josh Laurent Midfielder
16
Florentino Ibrain Morris Luís
Florentino Ibrain Morris Luís Midfielder
31
Mike Trésor Ndayishimiye
Mike Trésor Ndayishimiye Midfielder
21
Aaron Ramsey
Aaron Ramsey Midfielder
28
Hannibal Mejbri
Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder
—
Oluwaseun Adewumi
Oluwaseun Adewumi Midfielder
7
Jacob Bruun Larsen
Jacob Bruun Larsen Attacker
10
Marcus Edwards
Marcus Edwards Attacker
19
Zian Flemming
Zian Flemming Attacker
—
Michael Obafemi
Michael Obafemi Attacker
9
Lyle Foster
Lyle Foster Attacker
27
Armando Broja
Armando Broja Attacker
25
Mohamed Zeki Amdouni
Mohamed Zeki Amdouni Attacker
18
Andreas Hountondji
Andreas Hountondji Attacker
11
Jaydon Amauri Banel
Jaydon Amauri Banel Attacker
17
Luca Koleosho
Luca Koleosho Attacker
—
Lluc Castell Solé
Lluc Castell Solé Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Anton Gaaei
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
85'
85'
Event
George Brierley → Bashir Humphreys
16th Substitution
85'
Event
Murray Campbell → Hannibal
17th Substitution
85'
Event
Ellis Clark → Josh Laurent
18th Substitution
78'
Event
Lluc Castell
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
70'
Event
Lluc Castell → Aaron Ramsey
12th Substitution
70'
Event
Andréas Hountondji → Jaydon Banel
13th Substitution
70'
Event
Shurandy Sambo → Kyle Walker
14th Substitution
70'
Event
Oliver Sonne → Lucas Pires
15th Substitution
Event
Steven Berghuis → Oliver Edvardsen
10th Substitution
69'
Event
Kian Fitz-Jim → Abdellah Ouazane
11th Substitution
69'
68'
Event
Joe Worrall → Connor Roberts
9th Substitution
Event
Abdellah Ouazane
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
67'
62'
Event
Jaydon Banel
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Mika Godts → Jorthy Mokio
8th Substitution
61'
Event
Mohamed Abdalla → Jinairo Johnson
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Daley Blind → Aaron Bouwman
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Davy Klaassen → Maher Carrizo
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Don-Angelo Konadu → Marcos Leonardo
5th Substitution
46'
Event
Paul Reverson → Joeri Heerkens
6th Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Luca Koleosho → Marcus Edwards
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Mike Tresor → Jacob Bruun Larsen
7th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Aaron Bouwman
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
34'

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Ajax 2-1 Burnley. Structural assessment: Ajax exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.