AIK vs Sirius preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Strawberry Arena Sat, 30 May - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
AIK AIK
Sirius SIR
KICKOFF : Sat, 30 May - 1:00 PM
Round 10 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2026 Allsvenskan regular season AIK welcome Sirius to Strawberry Arena for a league fixture. Sirius occupy first place in the domestic standings while AIK sit ninth. The visitors carry a higher power score of 64.95 against the hosts 57.61 and are therefore regarded as the stronger side on paper. Sirius also hold a clear form advantage with a score of 33.94 compared to AIK on 15.06. Both teams enter the match with limited recent outing data available. Set piece metrics carry low confidence and rely on proxy calculations for each side. The overall power advantage of 7.3 points tilts toward the away side.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sirius sit first in the league while AIK occupy ninth place.
  • Form: Sirius hold a form score of 33.94 against AIK on 15.06.
  • Squad: Sirius are identified as the stronger team by power metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: Sirius hold a power advantage of 7.3 points.
  • Market: Projection split: AIK 30.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.2% (Δ+0%) | Sirius 44.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
AIK J. Riveiro
J. Riveiro
VS
Sirius A. Engelmark
A. Engelmark
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.78
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hammarby Rank: 69 W
Västerås SK Rank: 47 D
Djurgården Rank: 65 L
Elfsborg Rank: 58 D
Malmö FF Rank: 61 L
Degerfors Rank: 48 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
GAIS Rank: 61 W
Djurgården Rank: 66 W
Örgryte Rank: 42 W
Kalmar Rank: 51 W
Häcken Rank: 61 D
Malmö FF Rank: 61 W
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 4 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AIK
30.23%
Draw
25.16%
Away Sirius
44.62%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.61
64.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AIK
Sirius
Power Score
57.61
64.95
League Position
9
1
Global Rank
554
335

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AIK — Opponent-weighted form score
Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AIK Sirius

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AIK AIK Home
18 matches
Sirius SIR Away
Match Record
12
Wins
2
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
12
Goals
29
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
29
+13
Goal Difference
-13
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-28T00:04:39+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
K. Joelsson
30 K. Joelsson
M. Thychosen
17 M. Thychosen
A. Csongvai
33 A. Csongvai
S. Papagiannopoulos
4 S. Papagiannopoulos
S. Wilson
21 S. Wilson
D. Beširović
19 D. Beširović
J. Hove
8 J. Hove
Yannick Emilio Geiger
46 Yannick Emilio Geiger
K. Filling
29 K. Filling
E. Hovden Flataker
9 E. Hovden Flataker
B. Celina
10 B. Celina
D. Celic
34 D. Celic
O. Krusnell
22 O. Krusnell
T. Anker
4 T. Anker
H. Castegren
5 H. Castegren
V. Ekström
20 V. Ekström
V. Svensson
24 V. Svensson
M. Heier
10 M. Heier
M. Lindberg
6 M. Lindberg
I. Bjerkebo
11 I. Bjerkebo
R. Ure
9 R. Ure
O. Jönsson
17 O. Jönsson

General Information

Date & Time
May 30, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 10 · Regular Season
Stadium
Strawberry Arena
Capacity
54000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

30
Kalle Joelsson
Kalle Joelsson Goalkeeper
6.64
9
Erik Flataker
Erik Flataker Centre Forward
6.74
10
Bersant Celina
Bersant Celina Attacker
7.07
29
Kevin Filling
Kevin Filling Attacker
6.62
33
Áron Csongvai
Áron Csongvai Right Back
7.33
46
Y. Geiger
Y. Geiger Central Midfield
6.71
4
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos Left Back
6.75
17
Mads Thychosen
Mads Thychosen Right Back
6.52
19
Dino Besirovic
Dino Besirovic Central Midfield
6.92
8
Johan Hove
Johan Hove Central Midfield
7.18
21
Stanley Wilson
Stanley Wilson Left Back
6.92

Starting XI ▼

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
6.83
9
Robbie Ure
Robbie Ure Centre Forward
7.25
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Attacker
7.42
17
Neo Jönsson
Neo Jönsson Attacker
6.9
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Central Midfield
7.34
22
Oscar Krusnell
Oscar Krusnell Left Back
7.11
4
Tobias Anker
Tobias Anker Left Back
7.19
5
Henrik Castegren
Henrik Castegren Right Back
6.98
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Central Midfield
7.01
20
Victor Ekstrom
Victor Ekstrom Right Back
7.32
24
Victor Svensson
Victor Svensson Central Midfield
6.95

CONCLUSION

Sirius arrive as the clear frontrunners given their league position and superior power rating. AIK will look to exploit home conditions at Strawberry Arena to close the gap on the leaders. Limited efficiency and transition data leave room for in-game adjustments by both coaches. Set piece preparation carries uncertainty due to low confidence indicators. The visitors appear better placed to control proceedings across the ninety minutes. Expect a competitive encounter shaped by Sirius attacking intent and AIK defensive organisation.