AIK vs Sirius preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Strawberry Arena Sat, 30 May - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
AIKAIK
0 3
SiriusSIR
Full Time Sat, 30 May 1:00 PM
Round 10 Regular Season
|
Goal
Robbie Ure - 19', 37'

CONTEXT

The encounter between AIK and Sirius concluded with a decisive 0-3 victory for the away side. AIK held 57 percent of the possession throughout the game but struggled to create meaningful chances against a well-organized defense. At the break the score was already 0-2 in favor of Sirius who had taken control early on. The second half saw AIK attempt to push forward but they were unable to break down the opposition. Sirius added a third goal to seal the win comfortably. As the stronger team they executed their game plan effectively leading to a dominant performance. The absence of any dismissals meant the match flowed without major interruptions from disciplinary actions. Overall the result reflected the disparity in quality on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: AIK 0-3 Sirius. Sirius showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Performance efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was not recorded for this match.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals metrics were available to assess expectations.
  • Event impact: Key events led to Sirius securing a three goal victory.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued affecting the match outcome.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Klitte
F. Klitte
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Kristensson
S. Kristensson
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Milovanovic
A. Milovanovic
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Al Hakim
S. Al Hakim
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
AIK J. Riveiro
J. Riveiro
VS
Sirius A. Engelmark
A. Engelmark
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.78
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hammarby Rank: 69 W
Västerås SK Rank: 47 D
Djurgården Rank: 65 L
Elfsborg Rank: 58 D
Malmö FF Rank: 62 L
Degerfors Rank: 48 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
GAIS Rank: 61 W
Djurgården Rank: 66 W
Örgryte Rank: 42 W
Kalmar Rank: 50 W
Häcken Rank: 61 D
Malmö FF Rank: 62 W
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 4 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AIK
0.2%
Draw
1.92%
Away Sirius
97.89%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.6
65.86
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AIK
Sirius
Power Score
56.6
65.86
League Position
10
1
Global Rank
591
305

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AIK — Opponent-weighted form score
Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AIK Sirius

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

AIK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sirius

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

AIK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sirius
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.21
30.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.00
39.21
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
AIK +0.94 Efficiency Index
vs
Sirius -0.94 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
AIK
Sirius
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

AIK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sirius
Created Set-piece attacking threat
AIK Sirius
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
AIK Sirius
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
AIK
Sirius
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
AIK
vs
Sirius
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
AIK Sirius
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
AIK 0.28
Sirius 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
AIK Sirius
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
AIK 0.08
Sirius 0.00
AIK
Sirius
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AIK had peak pressure around 84'.
  • AIK started the game with stronger pressure.
AIK Pressure SIR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AIK reached the top pressure at 84' (79.33).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AIK AIK Home
18 matches
Sirius SIR Away
Match Record
12
Wins
2
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
12
Goals
29
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
29
+13
Goal Difference
-13
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-31T00:01:06+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
May 30, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 10 · Regular Season
Stadium
Strawberry Arena
Capacity
54000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fredrik Klitte
Simon Kristensson
Alexander Milovanovic
Sajad Al Hakim

Statistics

Possession
AIK
56%
SIR
44%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 1
16 Shots 3
67 Dangerous attacks 38
57 Possession 43
9 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 12
4 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

18 Dribble Attempts 10
6 Successful Dribbles 5
28 Throwins 18
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
4 Goal Kicks 9
4 Substitutions 5
54 Ball Safe 62
0 Injuries 1
12 Goal Attempts 8
1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Assists 2

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0
106 Attacks 80

Possession

27 Successful Long Passes 17
64 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32
451 Passes 344
82 Successful Passes Percentage 79
42 Long Passes 53
369 Successful Passes 272
11 Key Passes 9

Defensive

36 Duels Won 44
9 Interceptions 17
3 Saves 4
10 Tackles 21

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 2
25 Total Crosses 7

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

30
Kalle Joelsson
Kalle Joelsson Goalkeeper
6.47
4
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos (C) Defender
6.42
17
Mads Thychosen
Mads Thychosen Defender
6.31
21
Stanley Wilson
Stanley Wilson Defender
6.08
5
Lukas Bergquist
Lukas Bergquist
Defender46'
6.63
33
Áron Csongvai
Áron Csongvai Defender
7.08
10
Bersant Celina
Bersant Celina Midfielder
7.26
19
Dino Besirovic
Dino Besirovic Midfielder
6.62
29
Kevin Filling
Kevin Filling Midfielder
6.52
11
Victor Gonçalves Andersson
Victor Gonçalves Andersson
Midfielder66'
6.47
46
Y. Geiger
Y. Geiger Midfielder
6.89
48
Axel Kouame
Axel Kouame
Midfielder55'
6.09
8
Johan Hove
Johan Hove Attacker
6.94
9
Erik Flataker
Erik Flataker Attacker
6.45
16
Sixten Gustafsson
Sixten Gustafsson
Attacker54'
6.61
Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
7.54
4
Tobias Anker
Tobias Anker Defender
7.47
15
Simon Sandberg
Simon Sandberg
Defender80'
6.7
5
Henrik Castegren
Henrik Castegren (C) Defender
7.71
20
Victor Ekstrom
Victor Ekstrom Defender
7
25
Odera Samuel Adindu
Odera Samuel Adindu
Attacker89'
22
Oscar Krusnell
Oscar Krusnell Defender
7.55
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Midfielder
7.21
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Midfielder
6.76
24
Victor Svensson
Victor Svensson Midfielder
7.32
21
Charlie Nildén
Charlie Nildén
Midfielder63'
6.37
9
Robbie Ure
Robbie Ure Attacker
2
8.67
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Attacker
6.95
8
Matthias Nartey
Matthias Nartey
Midfielder89'
17
Neo Jönsson
Neo Jönsson Attacker
6.77
7
Joakim Persson
Joakim Persson
Attacker63'
6.63

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
90+6'
90+6'
Event
Henrik Castegren
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+4'
Event
Charlie Nildén
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Johan Hove
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Jose Riveiro
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
89'
89'
Event
Odera Samuel Adindu → Victor Ekstrom
8th Substitution
89'
Event
Matthias Nartey → Isak Bjerkebo
9th Substitution
Event
Dino Besirovic
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
83'
80'
Event
Simon Sandberg → Tobias Anker
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Melker Heier
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Victor Gonçalves Andersson → Kevin Filling
6th Substitution
66'
63'
Event
Joakim Persson → Neo Jönsson
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Charlie Nildén → Victor Svensson
4th Substitution
Event
Mads Thychosen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
58'
Event
Axel Kouame → Y. Geiger
3rd Substitution
55'
Event
Sixten Gustafsson → Erik Flataker
2nd Substitution
54'
Event
Lukas Bergquist → Stanley Wilson
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Robbie Ure
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
31'
Event
David Celic
Time wasting / 1st Yellowcard
19'
Event
Robbie Ure
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Henrik Castegren scores with a right-footed shot.
89
Update Update
Odera Samuel Adindu comes on for Victor Ekstrom.
89
Update Update
Matthias Nartey replaces Isak Bjerkebo.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Henrik Castegren scores with a right-footed shot.
87
Update Update
Sixten Gustafsson takes a header, but it misses the target.
80
Update Update
Simon Sandberg replaces Tobias Anker.
85
Attempt Attempt
Bersant Celina takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Dino Besirevic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Update Update
Charlie Nilden replaces Victor Svensson.
63
Update Update
Joakim Persson is on, and Neo Jonsson is off.
67
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
56
Update Update
Sixten Gustafsson is on, and Erik Hovden Flataker is off.
90
Attempt Attempt
Aron Csongvai takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
51
Attempt Attempt
Yannick Geiger takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sotiris Papagiannopoulos receives a yellow card.
48
Attempt Attempt
Neo Jonsson takes a left-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Lukas Bergqvist is on, and Stanley Wilson is off.
56
Update Update
Axel Kouame replaces Yannick Geiger.
45
Attempt Attempt
Victor Svensson takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Mads Thychosen takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
71
Attempt Attempt
Victor Andersson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Update Update
Victor Andersson replaces Kevin Filling.
42
Attempt Attempt
Mads Thychosen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mads Thychosen receives a yellow card.
45
Attempt Attempt
Victor Svensson takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Robbie Ure scores, making it 0-2.
33
Attempt Attempt
Tobias Anker takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Robbie Ure scores with a left-footed shot.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Robbie Ure scores with a right-footed shot.
18
Attempt Attempt
Bersant Celina takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
15
Attempt Attempt
Yannick Geiger takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Filling takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Stanley Wilson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Bersant Celina takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Johan Hove takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
2
Attempt Attempt
Neo Jonsson takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
5
Attempt Attempt
Bersant Celina takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Robbie Ure scores with a left-footed shot.
1
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Filling takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Johan Hove attempted a header but missed the shot.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: AIK 0-3 Sirius. Structural assessment: Sirius exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.