AIK vs GAIS preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Strawberry Arena Sat, 18 Jul - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
AIKAIK
2 0
GAISGAI
Full Time Sat, 18 Jul 1:00 PM
Round 13 Regular Season
Taha Ayari - 49'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

AIK secured a 2-0 victory over GAIS in a match where the home side overcame pre-match expectations. The contest remained scoreless at halftime with both teams level. AIK controlled 55 percent of possession and posted an xG total of 1.88 against GAIS's 1.27. Although GAIS entered as the stronger team, AIK delivered the winning performance without any red cards affecting play. The outcome proved consistent with underlying metrics and reflected a significant deviation by the victors. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with observed patterns throughout the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: AIK recorded a significant structural deviation by winning the match.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for both sides.
  • xG alignment: The final result aligned with xG differentials of 1.88 to 1.27.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with pre-match market alignment.
  • xG expectations: AIK exceeded xG expectations to claim the 2-0 result.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the flow beyond standard play.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from dismissals occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Klitte
F. Klitte
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Hallin
M. Hallin
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Gustavsson
D. Gustavsson
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Dahlin
T. Dahlin
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
AIK J. Riveiro
J. Riveiro
VS
GAIS F. Holmberg
F. Holmberg
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.46
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby Rank: 70 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 W
Sirius Rank: 68 L
Hammarby Rank: 69 W
Västerås SK Rank: 52 D
Djurgården Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elfsborg Rank: 58 W
Brommapojkarna Rank: 51 D
Kalmar Rank: 52 W
Sirius Rank: 68 L
Hammarby Rank: 69 W
Degerfors Rank: 48 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.03
61.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AIK
GAIS
Power Score
61.03
61.35
League Position
3
7
Global Rank
504
491

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AIK — Opponent-weighted form score
GAIS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AIK GAIS

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

AIK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

GAIS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

AIK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy GAIS
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.18
37.67
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
37.67
29.18
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
AIK -0.87 Efficiency Index
vs
GAIS +0.87 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
AIK
GAIS
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

AIK
vs
GAIS
Created Set-piece attacking threat
AIK GAIS
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
3%
34%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.07 vs -0.43
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
AIK GAIS
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
34%
3%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.43 vs -0.07
AIK
GAIS
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
AIK
vs
GAIS
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
AIK GAIS
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
AIK 0.34
GAIS 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
AIK GAIS
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
AIK 0.00
GAIS 0.05
AIK
GAIS
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AIK had peak pressure around 53'.
  • GAI started the game with stronger pressure.
AIK Pressure GAI Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AIK reached the top pressure at 53' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AIK AIK Home
4 matches
GAIS GAI Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
2
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-19T00:01:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 18, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 13 · Regular Season
Stadium
Strawberry Arena
Capacity
54000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fredrik Klitte
Mikael Hallin
Daniel Gustavsson
Teddy Dahlin

Statistics

Possession
AIK
54%
GAI
46%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 6
41 Dangerous attacks 59
55 Possession 45
4 Corners 5
18 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

70 Ball Safe 62
6 Goal Kicks 6
9 Goal Attempts 8
5 Substitutions 5
25 Throwins 28
2 Assists 0
20 Dribble Attempts 9
7 Successful Dribbles 2
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 22

Attacking

112 Attacks 103

Possession

66 Long Passes 65
507 Passes 409
419 Successful Passes 323
83 Successful Passes Percentage 79
11 Key Passes 8
39 Successful Long Passes 37
59 Successful Long Passes Percentage 57

Defensive

3 Saves 2
19 Tackles 17
11 Interceptions 13
58 Duels Won 39

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 24
3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

10 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

15
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
Kristoffer Nordfeldt (C) Goalkeeper
7.16
4
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos Defender
7.34
5
Lukas Bergquist
Lukas Bergquist Defender
7.6
37
Ahmad Faqa
Ahmad Faqa
Defender72'
6.78
14
Fredrik Nissen
Fredrik Nissen Defender
7.07
3
Hervé Matthys
Hervé Matthys
Defender72'
6.65
17
Mads Thychosen
Mads Thychosen Defender
7.18
7
Amel Mujanic
Amel Mujanic Midfielder
6.82
18
Abdihakim Ali
Abdihakim Ali
Midfielder87'
8
Johan Hove
Johan Hove Midfielder
7.02
19
Dino Besirovic
Dino Besirovic Midfielder
7.14
45
Taha Ayari
Taha Ayari Midfielder
7.94
29
Kevin Filling
Kevin Filling Attacker
8.59
11
Victor Gonçalves Andersson
Victor Gonçalves Andersson
Midfielder77'
6.26
48
Axel Kouame
Axel Kouame Attacker
7.07
28
Linus Järeteg
Linus Järeteg
Midfielder87'
Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

1
Mergim Krasniqi
Mergim Krasniqi Goalkeeper
6.55
5
Robin Wendin Thomasson
Robin Wendin Thomasson Defender
6.13
2
Matteo de Brienne
Matteo de Brienne
Defender62'
7.01
6
August Wängberg
August Wängberg (C) Defender
6.84
12
Robin Frej
Robin Frej Defender
6.96
24
Filip Beckman
Filip Beckman Defender
6.73
7
Joackim Fagerjord
Joackim Fagerjord Midfielder
6.9
8
William Milovanovic
William Milovanovic Midfielder
6.71
34
Dennis Collander
Dennis Collander
Midfielder63'
6.5
10
Henry Sletsjøe
Henry Sletsjøe Midfielder
6.91
16
Max Andersson
Max Andersson
Midfielder57'
6.19
11
Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic
Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic Attacker
6.58
32
Oscar Pettersson
Oscar Pettersson
Attacker80'
6.4
17
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson Attacker
6.51
20
Samuel Salter
Samuel Salter Attacker
6.25
21
Nikola Vasic
Nikola Vasic
Attacker62'
6.83

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Robin Frej
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Abdihakim Ali → Amel Mujanic
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Linus Järeteg → Axel Kouame
10th Substitution
87'
80'
Event
Oscar Pettersson → Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic
8th Substitution
Event
Victor Gonçalves Andersson → Kevin Filling
7th Substitution
77'
75'
Event
Filip Beckman
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Ahmad Faqa → Lukas Bergquist
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Hervé Matthys → Fredrik Nissen
6th Substitution
72'
63'
Event
Dennis Collander → William Milovanovic
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Matteo de Brienne → Robin Wendin Thomasson
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Nikola Vasic → Samuel Salter
3rd Substitution
Event
Kevin Filling
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
58'
57'
Event
Max Andersson → Henry Sletsjøe
1st Substitution
Event
Taha Ayari
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
49'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
89
Attempt Attempt
Johan Hove's header is saved.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Update Update
On Linus Jareteg, off Axel Kouame.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Abdihakin Ali replaces Amel Mujanic.
84
Attempt Attempt
Dennis Collander takes a left-footed shot but misses.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Oscar Pettersson comes on for Rasmus Johansson.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Update Update
Victor Andersson is on, and Kevin Filling is off.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Filip Beckman receives a yellow card.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Filip Beckman receives a yellow card.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Filip Beckman receives a yellow card.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
72
Substitution Substitution
Herve Matthys is substituted for Fredrik Nissen.
72
Update Update
Ahmad Faqa is on, and Lukas Bergqvist is off.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Attempt Attempt
Nikola Vasic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Update Update
Matteo de Brienne comes on for Robin Wendin Thomasson.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Dennis Collander comes on for William Milovanovic.
62
Update Update
Nikola Vasic is on, and Samuel Salter is off.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Kevin Filling with a right-footed shot results in a goal.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
57
Substitution Substitution
Max Andersson is substituted for Henry Sletsjoe.
55
Attempt Attempt
Axel Kouame takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Taha Ayari's right-footed shot is blocked.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Taha Ayari scores with a right-footed shot.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Taha Ayari scores with a right-footed shot.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Taha Ayari scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Kevin Filling.
48
Attempt Attempt
Taha Ayari takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
42
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Bergqvist takes a left-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Bergqvist takes a left-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Bergqvist takes a left-footed shot but misses.
40
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
40
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter takes a header shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Filling takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
28
Attempt Attempt
Henry Sletsjoe attempts a header but misses the shot.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Henry Sletsjoe is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Johan Hove takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Bergqvist takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Attempt Attempt
Filip Beckman takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Robert Frosti Thorkelsson with his right foot is saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
William Milovanovic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Fredrik Klitte Astorp.

CONCLUSION

AIK's 2-0 win highlighted effective second-half execution after a goalless opening period. The home side converted limited chances efficiently while maintaining defensive structure against a favored opponent. Possession advantages translated into sustained pressure without overcommitting resources. GAIS struggled to match the required output despite their stronger designation entering the fixture. Overall metrics supported the result without external influences such as cards or injuries shaping the narrative. This performance underscores AIK's capacity to exceed baseline projections in home settings.