AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City preview
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Premier League
Manchester City
MCI
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
In a closely contested Premier League encounter, AFC Bournemouth held Manchester City to a 1-1 draw. The home side started brightly and secured a halftime lead of 1-0. Manchester City responded after the interval, leveling the score to end the game level. Possession stats favored the away team at 55 percent, allowing them more opportunities to create chances. Bournemouth defended stoutly to limit clear openings for their illustrious opponents. The draw represents a positive outcome for the Cherries against a side expected to challenge for the title. No disciplinary issues arose with zero red cards shown. This fixture demonstrated the growing competitiveness in the league.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester City. Manchester City showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections.
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xG alignment: xG alignment data was unavailable for detailed assessment.
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Market alignment: The final result aligned with market expectations for this fixture.
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xG expectations: xG expectations could not be verified without numerical inputs.
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Event impact: The second half equalizer had a significant event impact on the outcome.
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Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent as no cards were shown to either side.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
Movement
Changes since opening
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
Team Power Ranking
i
73.87
98.66
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
AFC Bournemouth
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
AFC Bournemouth
⚠ Proxy
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BOU had peak pressure around 66'.
- MCI started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-05-20T00:02:53+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
AFC Bournemouth
vs
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League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sun, 24 May - 3:00 PM
Venue: The City Ground
Manchester City
vs
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League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sun, 24 May - 3:00 PM
Venue: Etihad Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼





Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼





Match Commentary