AEK Athens vs Iraklis Thessaloniki preview

Greece flag 2026/2027 Super League, Greece
OPAP Arena
Super League
Full Time
Round 1 Regular Season
Luka Jović - 19', 48'
Zini - 75'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

AEK Athens faced Iraklis Thessaloniki in a domestic fixture that concluded with a comprehensive 4-0 home victory. The halftime score stood at 2-0 after the hosts established early control. AEK maintained 58 percent possession throughout while limiting the visitors to 42 percent. No red cards were issued to either side during the contest. The stronger team delivered a performance consistent with its status by adding two further goals after the interval. The margin represented a significant deviation from pre-match projections for the favored side. The game unfolded without interruptions from dismissals or other major incidents.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The final margin showed a significant deviation from pre-match projections for AEK Athens.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for the stronger side.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was available to assess alignment with the 4-0 scoreline.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with pre-match expectations.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals figures were not recorded for either team.
  • Event impact: The match progressed without notable disruptive events affecting the result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the final score.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Matsoukas
M. Matsoukas
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
T. Klepetsanis
T. Klepetsanis
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Minoudis
I. Minoudis
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Konstantinos
K. Konstantinos
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
2.09
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympiacos F.C. Rank: 82 D
PAOK Rank: 79 D
Panathinaikos Rank: 76 W
Panathinaikos Rank: 76 D
PAOK Rank: 79 W
Olympiacos F.C. Rank: 82 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
80.86
33.21
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AEK Athens
Iraklis Thessaloniki
Power Score
80.86
33.21
League Position
1
14
Global Rank
65
691

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
AEK Athens Opponent-weighted form score
Iraklis Thessaloniki Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AEK Athens Iraklis Thessaloniki

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

AEK Athens

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Iraklis Thessaloniki

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

AEK Athens ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Iraklis Thessaloniki
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
47.16
20.95
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.95
47.16
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
AEK Athens +2.60 Efficiency Index
vs
Iraklis Thessaloniki -2.60 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
AEK Athens
Iraklis Thessaloniki
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

AEK Athens ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Iraklis Thessaloniki
Created Set-piece attacking threat
AEK Athens Iraklis Thessaloniki
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
AEK Athens Iraklis Thessaloniki
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
AEK Athens
Iraklis Thessaloniki
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

AEK Athens
vs
Iraklis Thessaloniki
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
AEK Athens Iraklis Thessaloniki
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
AEK Athens Iraklis Thessaloniki
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
AEK Athens
Iraklis Thessaloniki
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AEK had peak pressure around 89'.
  • AEK started the game with stronger pressure.
AEK Pressure IRTH Pressure
Pressure Index: AEK reached the top pressure at 89' (90.35).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
G. Athanasiadis
Greece
33 G. Athanasiadis
C. Soria Grau
Spain
30 C. Soria Grau
I. Sebastián Magaña
Substitution
Spain
P. Vouros
Greece
2 P. Vouros
V. Sourlis
Greece
90 V. Sourlis
K. Kaïboué
Substitution
France
K. Kushta
Substitution
Albania

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Super League, Greece · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
OPAP Arena
Capacity
32500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michalis Matsoukas
Thanasis Klepetsanis
Ioannis Minoudis
Katikos Konstantinos

Statistics

Possession
AEK
58%
IRTH
42%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 2
67 Dangerous attacks 36
58 Possession 42
5 Corners 2
17 Free kicks 19
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

81 Ball Safe 83
3 Goal Kicks 11
17 Goal Attempts 2
5 Substitutions 5
13 Throwins 6
1 Hit Woodwork 0
3 Assists 0
14 Dribble Attempts 14
8 Successful Dribbles 5
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

Attacking

110 Attacks 78
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

41 Long Passes 54
512 Passes 377
459 Successful Passes 316
90 Successful Passes Percentage 84
17 Key Passes 6
26 Successful Long Passes 29
63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 54

Defensive

1 Saves 7
16 Tackles 13
9 Interceptions 15
56 Duels Won 45

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 10
8 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

5 Offsides 0
19 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Michalis Matsoukas

Starting XI

1
Thomas Strakosha
Thomas Strakosha Goalkeeper
7.01
2
Harold Moukoudi
7
3
Stavros Pilios
Stavros Pilios Defender
7.4
12
Lazaros Rota
Lazaros Rota Defender
7.28
44
Filipe Relvas
Filipe Relvas Defender
6.8
8
Mijat Gacinovic
Mijat Gacinovic Midfielder
6.96
20
Petros Mantalos
Petros Mantalos
Midfielder79'
6.37
10
Oleksandr Zubkov
Oleksandr Zubkov Midfielder
6.8
14
Lovro Majer
Lovro Majer
Midfielder63'
7.16
18
Răzvan Marin
Răzvan Marin Midfielder
8.48
6
Kaan Kairinen
Kaan Kairinen
Midfielder72'
6.58
27
Milán Vitális
Milán Vitális Midfielder
8.03
9
Luka Jović
Luka Jović Attacker
2
8.83
90
Zini
Zini
Attacker63'
7.45
19
Barnabás Varga
Barnabás Varga Attacker
7.61
7
Dereck Kutesa
Dereck Kutesa
Midfielder72'
6.54
Referee : Michalis Matsoukas

Starting XI

33
Georgios Athanasiadis
Georgios Athanasiadis Goalkeeper
6.94
2
Praxitelis Vouros
Praxitelis Vouros Defender
6.07
4
Soufiane Chakla
6.25
18
Rob Nizet
Rob Nizet Defender
6.06
31
Nanu
Nanu
Defender46'
6.09
21
Piña
Piña Defender
5.96
3
Vitor Meer
Vitor Meer
Defender81'
6.99
30
Carles Soria
Carles Soria Defender
6.23
22
Kylian Kaïboue
Kylian Kaïboue Midfielder
6.41
6
Carlos Rodríguez
Carlos Rodríguez
Midfielder46'
6.49
27
Marco Krainz
Marco Krainz Midfielder
6.83
90
Vasilios Sourlis
Vasilios Sourlis Midfielder
6.5
9
Kristjan Kushta
Kristjan Kushta Attacker
7
Elvir Koljic
Elvir Koljic
Attacker46'
6.46
11
Ivi López
Ivi López Attacker
6.71
43
Pedro Marques
Pedro Marques
Attacker57'
6.52

Events

2ND-HALF
81'
Event
Vitor Meer Piña
10th Substitution
Event
Petros Mantalos Mijat Gacinovic
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
75'
Event
Kaan Kairinen Răzvan Marin
7th Substitution
72'
Event
Dereck Kutesa Barnabás Varga
8th Substitution
72'
Event
Lovro Majer Oleksandr Zubkov
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Zini Luka Jović
6th Substitution
63'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
58'
57'
Event
Pedro Marques Ivi López
4th Substitution
54'
Event
Goal disallowed
Event
Header / 3rd Goal
48'
46'
Event
Elvir Koljic Kristjan Kushta
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Nanu Rob Nizet
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Carlos Rodríguez Kylian Kaïboue
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
19'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
11'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Petros Mantalos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 4-0.
90
Attempt Attempt
Petros Mantalos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
Kaan Kairinen takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Petros Mantalos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
81
Attempt Attempt
Elvir Koljic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Update Update
On for Vitor Meer, off goes Inigo Sebastian Magana.
79
Attempt Attempt
Lovro Majer's left-footed shot is saved.
75
Update Update
Petros Mantalos comes on for Mijat Gacinovic.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Match ends with a score of 4-0.
74
Attempt Attempt
Petros Mantalos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 4-0.
72
Attempt Attempt
Petros Mantalos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
69
Update Update
Petros Mantalos comes on for Mijat Gacinovic.
66
Update Update
Petros Mantalos comes on for Mijat Gacinovic.
64
Attempt Attempt
Lovro Majer's left-footed shot is saved.
63
Attempt Attempt
Lovro Majer takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
63
Attempt Attempt
Lovro Majer's left-footed shot is saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Zini takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Update Update
Offside.
58
Update Update
On comes Zini, off goes Luka Jovic.
58
Update Update
Lovro Majer comes on for Oleksandr Zubkov.
58
Attempt Attempt
Oleksandr Zubkov takes a left-footed shot but misses.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Attempt Attempt
Oleksandr Zubkov takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
On Jose Pedro Marques Freitas, off Ivan Lopez Alvarez, Ivi Lopez.
52
Attempt Attempt
Lazaros Rota takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Attempt Attempt
Lazaros Rota takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Luka Jovic Head Shot Goal
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Luka Jovic scores to make it 3-0, assisted by Razvan Marin.
47
Attempt Attempt
Carles Soria Grau takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Update Update
Eulanio Angelo Chipela Gomes is on, and Rob Nizet is off.
46
Update Update
Carlos Rodriguez is on, and Kylian Kaiboue is off.
46
Update Update
Elvir Koljic comes on for Kristian Kushta.
42
Attempt Attempt
Luka Jovic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Ivan Lopez Alvarez, Ivi Lopez with a right-footed shot, but it’s blocked.
40
Attempt Attempt
Luka Jovic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ivan Lopez Alvarez, known as Ivi Lopez, is blocked after a right-footed attempt.
35
Attempt Attempt
Luka Jovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Milan Vitalis takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Kylian Kaiboue takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Barnabas Varga attempts a header but misses the shot.
31
Attempt Attempt
Kylian Kaiboue takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
27
Update Update
Offside.
25
Attempt Attempt
Luka Jovic attempted a header but missed the shot.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Luka Jovic scores with a left-footed shot.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Luka Jovic scores, making it 2-0.
17
Attempt Attempt
Milan Vitalis takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Barnabas Varga attempts a header but misses the shot.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Barnabas Varga with his right foot results in a goal.
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Barnabas Varga scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Razvan Marin.
7
Attempt Attempt
Marco Krainz takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Kristian Kushta takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
6
Update Update
Offside.
2
Update Update
Offside.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Michalis Matsoukas.

CONCLUSION

AEK Athens secured a clear 4-0 win over Iraklis Thessaloniki with goals split evenly across both halves. Possession favored the hosts at 58 percent and the visitors offered limited resistance throughout. The absence of red cards allowed the game to maintain its structural flow from start to finish. AEK demonstrated consistent control that translated into a decisive margin. The result reflected the pre-match assessment of the stronger side without deviation in the final outcome. Overall the performance highlighted steady execution across phases of play.