AEK Athens vs Iraklis Thessaloniki preview
2026/2027 Super League, Greece
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
AEK Athens faced Iraklis Thessaloniki in a domestic fixture that concluded with a comprehensive 4-0 home victory. The halftime score stood at 2-0 after the hosts established early control. AEK maintained 58 percent possession throughout while limiting the visitors to 42 percent. No red cards were issued to either side during the contest. The stronger team delivered a performance consistent with its status by adding two further goals after the interval. The margin represented a significant deviation from pre-match projections for the favored side. The game unfolded without interruptions from dismissals or other major incidents.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: The final margin showed a significant deviation from pre-match projections for AEK Athens.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for the stronger side.
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xG alignment: No xG data was available to assess alignment with the 4-0 scoreline.
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Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with pre-match expectations.
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xG expectations: Expected goals figures were not recorded for either team.
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Event impact: The match progressed without notable disruptive events affecting the result.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the final score.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
80.86
33.21
AEK Athens
Iraklis Thessaloniki
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
AEK Athens
Iraklis Thessaloniki
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
AEK Athens
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
AEK Athens
⚠ Proxy
AEK Athens
Iraklis Thessaloniki
AEK Athens
Iraklis Thessaloniki
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
AEK Athens
AEK Athens
Iraklis Thessaloniki
AEK Athens
Iraklis Thessaloniki
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- AEK had peak pressure around 89'.
- AEK started the game with stronger pressure.
STARTING XI








General Information
Next Match
AEK Athens
vs
Levski Sofia
League: Champions League
Kickoff: Wed, 26 Aug - 7:00 PM
Venue: OPAP Arena
Iraklis Thessaloniki
vs
Volos NFC
League: Super League
Kickoff: Sat, 29 Aug - 12:00 AM
Venue: Dimotiko Stadio Neapolis Volou
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼

Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼







Substitutes ▼












































Match Commentary