Abha vs Al Hazm preview
2026/2027 Pro League, Saudi Arabia
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
In a competitive encounter, Abha faced Al Hazm and ultimately fell to a 1-2 defeat. The home side started slowly as Al Hazm took a commanding 0-2 lead by halftime through effective attacking play. Abha dominated possession with 63 percent but struggled to convert opportunities, registering just 0.52 in expected goals. Meanwhile, Al Hazm efficiently utilized their 37 percent possession to generate 1.47 expected goals, showcasing clinical finishing. The visitors maintained their advantage in the second half despite Abha pulling one goal back. With no red cards affecting the game, the match proceeded without major disruptions. Al Hazm, identified as the stronger team, delivered a performance that aligned with their superior metrics and secured the three points on the road. The outcome reflected the xG differential of negative 0.95 for the hosts.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Al Hazm exhibited a significant structural deviation from expected patterns in securing the away win.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the match's underlying performance indicators.
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xG alignment: The final result aligned with xG projections given the 0.52 to 1.47 differential.
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Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with pre-match assessments of team strengths.
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xG expectations: Al Hazm met xG expectations through their effective use of limited possession.
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Event impact: The halftime score of 0-2 created a decisive event impact on the final 1-2 result.
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Red card distortion: With no red cards issued, there was zero red card distortion in the contest.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
33.84
45.13
Abha
Al Hazm
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Abha
Al Hazm
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Abha
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Abha
Abha
Al Hazm
Abha
Al Hazm
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Abha
Abha
Al Hazm
Abha
Al Hazm
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- ABH had peak pressure around 90'.
- ABH started the game with stronger pressure.
STARTING XI
General Information
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Kickoff: Fri, 21 Aug - 4:15 PM
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Match Commentary