Aalesund vs Vålerenga preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Color Line Stadion Sun, 16 Aug - 12:30 PM
Eliteserien
KICKOFF : Sun, 16 Aug - 12:30 PM
Round 18 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Aalesund host Vålerenga in Eliteserien (Regular Season) at Color Line Stadion. Domestically, Aalesund sit 15th in the table while Vålerenga are 10th. Power ranking favours Vålerenga by 17 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Vålerenga hold a +17 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Vålerenga sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Aalesund show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Vålerenga have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Vålerenga carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Vålerenga hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Aalesund 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Vålerenga 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Aalesund K. Rekdal
K. Rekdal
VS
Vålerenga J. Moesgaard
J. Moesgaard
0.88
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
HamKam Rank: 63 D
Tromsø Rank: 71 L
Viking Rank: 81 D
Vålerenga Rank: 62 L
Molde Rank: 68 D
HamKam Rank: 63 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 85 L
HamKam Rank: 63 L
Brann Rank: 71 W
Aalesund Rank: 51 W
Tromsø Rank: 73 L
Kristiansund Rank: 58 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
45.3
62.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Aalesund
Vålerenga
Power Score
45.3
62.29
League Position
15
10
Global Rank
888
529

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Aalesund Opponent-weighted form score
Vålerenga Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Aalesund Vålerenga

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Aalesund AFK Home
1 matches
Vålerenga VIF Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
1
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
1.85
xG
2.38
2.38
xGA
1.85

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T00:23:00+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 18 · Regular Season
Stadium
Color Line Stadion
Capacity
10778
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

1
Luca Podlech
Luca Podlech Goalkeeper
6.98
7
Kristoffer Nessø
Kristoffer Nessø Midfielder
6.57
14
Uba Charles
Uba Charles Midfielder
6.68
27
Marcus Haagensen Reed
6.87
39
Kristian Lonebu
Kristian Lonebu Attacker
6.97
3
Ólafur Guðmundsson
6.55
4
Simen Haram
Simen Haram Right Back
6.62
22
E. Engqvist
E. Engqvist Centre Back
6.59
15
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch Central Midfield
7.06
18
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen Central Midfield
6.8
21
Mathias Christensen
Mathias Christensen Central Midfield
7.09

Starting XI

1
Oscar Hedvall
Oscar Hedvall Goalkeeper
6.83
8
Henrik Bjørdal
Henrik Bjørdal Midfielder
7.15
77
Lucas Haren
Lucas Haren Midfielder
7.05
7
Mohamed Ofkir
Mohamed Ofkir Attacker
6.79
17
M. Grundetjern
M. Grundetjern Attacker
6.9
55
Sebastian Jarl
Sebastian Jarl Right Back
6.72
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Aaron Kiil Olsen Right Back
6.77
10
Carl Lange
Carl Lange Central Midfield
7.01
24
Petter Strand
Petter Strand Central Midfield
6.67
2
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Kolbeinn Finnsson Left Back
6.99
37
Ivan Näsberg
Ivan Näsberg Left Back
6.78

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Vålerenga holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Vålerenga a 17-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.