6th ranked VS 7th ranked – Bet 90

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio Alberto Braglia Tue, 12 May - 4:45 PM

Serie B

Modena MOD

0 – 0

1ST HALF 27

Juve Stabia JUV

Live : 1st Half Tue, 12 May 4:45 PM

Promotion Play-offs - Qualifying Round

Events

1ST-HALF

Steven Nador

Foul / 2nd Yellowcard

14'

11'

Salim Diakité

Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

18

Attempt

Fabio Maistro takes a right-footed shot but misses.

11

Yellow Card Important

Salim Diakite receives a yellow card.

6

Attempt

Simone Santoro takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.

6

Attempt

Giuseppe Ambrosino takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.

15

Yellow Card Important

Yellow card issued to Steven Folly Nador.

21

Attempt

Matteo Cotali takes a left-footed shot but misses.

Statistics

Possession

MOD

45%

JUV

55%

Top Statistics

2 Shots 0

11 Dangerous attacks 1

39 Possession 61

1 Corners 0

5 Free kicks 7

1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Successful Dribbles Percentage 0

6 Throwins 4

2 Dribble Attempts 2

1 Hit Woodwork 0

1 Goal Kicks 2

Attacking

29 Attacks 14

Possession

60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38

20 Long Passes 16

12 Successful Long Passes 6

71 Successful Passes Percentage 88

71 Successful Passes 141

100 Passes 161

1 Key Passes 0

Defensive

3 Interceptions 1

8 Tackles 2

Build-up

2 Total Crosses 0

Discipline

7 Fouls 5

0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Francesco Fourneau

Manager ▼

A. Sottil Coach

Starting XI ▼

22

Michele Pezzolato Goalkeeper

7.12

19

Steven Nador Defender

6.97

20

Bryant Nieling Defender

6.93

77

Daniel Tonoli Defender

7.13

5

Alessandro Sersanti Midfielder

6.86

7

Francesco Zampano Midfielder

6.78

8

Simone Santoro Midfielder

7.07

17

Yanis Massolin Midfielder

6.96

98

Luca Zanimacchia Midfielder

6.94

10

Giuseppe Ambrosino Attacker

6.96

99

Manuel De Luca Attacker

6.82

Substitutes ▼

13

Abdullah Laidani Goalkeeper

78

Fabrizio Bagheria Goalkeeper

8.26

2

Gady Beyuku Defender

6.58

25

Alessandro Dellavalle Defender

6.91

28

Davide Adorni Defender

6.84

29

Matteo Cotali Defender

6.63

18

Niklas Pyyhtiä Midfielder

6.76

71

Samuel Wiafe Midfielder

6.6

9

Ettore Gliozzi Attacker

6.87

11

Pedro Mendes Attacker

6.7

90

Antonio Imputato Attacker

6.61

92

Grégoire Defrel Attacker

6.72

Referee : Francesco Fourneau

Manager ▼

I. Abate Coach

Starting XI ▼

1

Alessandro Confente Goalkeeper

6.82

6

Marco Bellich Defender

6.79

33

Andrea Giorgini Defender

6.39

46

Salim Diakité Defender

6.68

24

Lorenzo Carissoni Midfielder

6.82

29

Omar Correia Midfielder

6.83

55

Giuseppe Leone Midfielder

6.94

77

Alessio Cacciamani Midfielder

6.61

98

Nicola Mosti Midfielder

6.86

37

Fabio Maistro Attacker

6.93

90

Alvin Okoro Attacker

6.67

Substitutes ▼

23

Pietro Boer Goalkeeper

6.61

14

Christian Dalle Mura Defender

6.86

21

Sheriff Kassama Defender

6.59

76

Mattia Mannini Defender

6.56

2

Manuel Ricciardi Midfielder

6.55

8

Kevin Zeroli Midfielder

6.71

10

Christian Pierobon Midfielder

6.63

17

Aaron Ciammaglichella Midfielder

6.44

28

Emanuele Torrasi Midfielder

6.72

7

Rareș Burnete Attacker

6.73

9

Alessandro Gabrielloni Attacker

6.74

27

Leonardo Candellone Attacker

6.81

CONTEXT

The game is in first half, with Modena and Juve Stabia in live competition. The live picture remains open compared with the pre-match baseline. Possession split is approximately 0% to Modena and 100% to Juve Stabia.

TL;DR

Live state: At minute 0 of first half, play remains qualitatively even with no xG or cards, and possession fully held by Juve Stabia.
Structural vs live: Live control mirrors pre-match structural favoritism toward Modena despite early possession skew.
Projection vs live: Projections positioning Modena ahead align neutrally with the embryonic live balance.
xG trend: xG stands at null for both teams, consistent with no chances created at kickoff.
Possession profile: Modena 0% vs Juve Stabia 100% possession.
Event impact: No cards or reds have influenced play, keeping the game in line with pre-match neutral setup.
Second-half outlook: Live efficiency trend is in line with; The remainder should be decided by execution in transitions and set plays.
Market: Modena 40.7% (Δ-0.7%) | Draw 36% (Δ-0.7%) | Juve Stabia 23.4% (Δ+1.4%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

F. Fourneau

Referee • 25 matches

Fouls / Match

Referee 0.52

League Avg 0

Yellow Cards / Match

Referee 0.12

League Avg 0

Red Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Penalties / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

A. Sottil

VS

I. Abate

1.15

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.26

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

6

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

6 - 2 - 2

2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Modena

40.66%

Draw

35.97%

Juve Stabia

23.38%

Movement

Changes since opening

Modena

-0.73%

Draw

-0.65%

Juve Stabia

+1.39%

Team Power Ranking

57.08

56.54

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Modena

Juve Stabia

Power Score

57.08

56.54

League Position

6

7

Global Rank

587

607

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs

Modena — Opponent-weighted form score

Juve Stabia — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Modena Juve Stabia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Modena

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Juve Stabia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Modena ⚠ Proxy

vs

⚠ Proxy Juve Stabia

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Modena Juve Stabia

Set-piece xG Share

—

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Modena Juve Stabia

Set-piece xGA Share

—

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Modena

Juve Stabia

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Modena

vs

Juve Stabia

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Modena Juve Stabia

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Modena Juve Stabia

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

—

Modena

Juve Stabia

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

MOD had peak pressure around 23'.
MOD started the game with stronger pressure.

MOD Pressure JUV Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: MOD reached the top pressure at 23' (54.53).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Modena MOD Home

10 matches

Juve Stabia JUV Away

Match Record

6

Wins

2

2

Draws

2

2

Losses

6

Goals

20

Goals Scored

9

9

Goals Conceded

20

+11

Goal Difference

-11

Expected Goals

0

xG

0

0

xGA

0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T16:30:26+00:00

PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING

Match Formation 3-5-2

Match Formation 3-5-1-1

Pitch

22 M. Pezzolato

D. Tonoli

77 D. Tonoli

19 S. Nador

B. Nieling

20 B. Nieling

L. Zanimacchia

98 L. Zanimacchia

Y. Massolin

17 Y. Massolin

8 S. Santoro

A. Sersanti

5 A. Sersanti

F. Zampano

7 F. Zampano

G. Ambrosino

10 G. Ambrosino

M. De Luca

99 M. De Luca

1 A. Confente

M. Bellich

6 M. Bellich

A. Giorgini

33 A. Giorgini

46 S. Diakite

A. Cacciamani

77 A. Cacciamani

29 O. Correia

G. Leone

55 G. Leone

N. Mosti

98 N. Mosti

L. Carissoni

24 L. Carissoni

F. Maistro

37 F. Maistro

General Information

Date & Time

May 12, 2026, 04:45 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Promotion Play-offs - Qualifying Round

Stadium

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Capacity

21092

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Francesco Fourneau

CONCLUSION

As the first half ticks past minute 0, Modena faces an early test against Juve Stabia's total possession grip, yet the qualitative equilibrium holds firm without xG or disciplinary interruptions. Pregame signals underscoring Modena's superiority suggest this visitor dominance may prove temporary, with projections remaining in neutral sync. Expect Modena to ramp up pressure and wrest back territorial control, leveraging their structural advantages to tilt momentum. The absence of reds ensures an open contest, priming intriguing developments as both sides settle into rhythm and chances emerge.