Australia vs Egypt preview
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Australia hosted Egypt in a match that ended 1-1. Egypt led 0-1 at halftime after scoring in the first period. Australia held 42 percent possession while Egypt controlled 58 percent. Expected goals stood at 0.99 for Australia and 1.09 for Egypt producing a differential of minus 0.1. Egypt entered as the stronger side yet the outcome remained a draw. No red cards occurred during the contest. Pre-match metrics indicated a significant deviation level of 66.7 percent associated with Egypt. The result aligned with the xG distribution despite the possession imbalance and the identified deviation.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Egypt recorded a significant 66.7 percent deviation from pre-match indicators.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expected patterns for both sides.
-
xG alignment: The 1-1 draw proved consistent with the xG values of 0.99 and 1.09.
-
Market alignment: The final outcome did not align with pre-match market indicators.
-
xG expectations: Egypt posted a marginal xG edge of 1.09 against Australia's 0.99.
-
Event impact: Egypt's halftime lead of 0-1 shaped the second-half adjustments toward the draw.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no distortion affected the result.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Australia
Egypt
Movement
Changes since opening
Australia
Egypt
Team Power Ranking
i
20.25
21.23
Australia
Egypt
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Australia
Egypt
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Australia
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Australia
Australia
Egypt
Australia
Egypt
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Australia
Australia
Egypt
Australia
Egypt
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- EGY had peak pressure around 102'.
- AUS started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:49:46+00:00
STARTING XI























































General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼

















Substitutes ▼







Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼







Match Commentary