England vs Congo DR preview
2026 World Cup, World
Atlanta Stadium
Wed, 1 Jul - 4:00 PM
World Cup
England
ENG
Congo DR
COD
KICKOFF :
Wed, 1 Jul - 4:00 PM
Round of 32
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jun 29
CONTEXT
England host Congo DR in World Cup (Round of 32) at Atlanta Stadium. Domestically, England sit 1th in the table while Congo DR are 3th. Power ranking favours England by 9.5 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: England hold a +9.5 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
-
Form: England sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
-
Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
-
Efficiency: England show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
-
Transition: England have a moderate edge in transition threat.
-
Set pieces: England carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
-
xVariable: England hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
-
Market: England 74.8% (Δ-1.3%) | Draw 17.3% (Δ+0.7%) | Congo DR 7.9% (Δ+0.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
T. Tuchel
VS
S. Desabre
2.33
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.33
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Panama
Rank:
W
Ghana
Rank:
D
Croatia
Rank:
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Uzbekistan
Rank:
W
Colombia
Rank:
L
Portugal
Rank:
D
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
England
74.81%
Draw
17.27%
Congo DR
7.92%
Movement
Changes since opening
England
-1.32%
Draw
+0.72%
Congo DR
+0.6%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.84
23.33
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
England
Congo DR
Power Score
32.84
23.33
League Position
1
3
Global Rank
4
46
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
England
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Congo DR
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
England Congo DR
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
England
ENG
Home
0
matches
Congo DR
COD
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-06-29T00:01:51+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
1 J. Pickford
25 D. Spence
2 E. Konsa Ngoyo
6 M. Guehi
3 N. O'Reilly
8 E. Anderson
4 D. Rice
7 B. Saka
10 J. Bellingham
11 M. Rashford
9 H. Kane
1 L. Mpasi-Nzau
26 A. Masuaku
3 S. Kapuadi
22 C. Mbemba Mangulu
4 A. Tuanzebe
2 A. Wan-Bissaka
7 N. Mbuku
8 S. Moutoussamy
14 N. Sadiki
17 C. Bakambu
20 Y. Wissa
General Information
Date & Time
Jul 01, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 32
Stadium
Atlanta Stadium
Capacity
71000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
T. Tuchel
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Jordan Pickford
Goalkeeper
6.85 9
Harry Kane
Centre Forward
7.53 6
Marc Guéhi
Left Back
7.63 10
Jude Bellingham
Attacking Midfield
7.78 11
Marcus Rashford
Left Wing
6.84 7
Bukayo Saka
Right Wing
7.11 8
Elliot Anderson
Defensive Midfield
7.37 2
Ezri Konsa
Right Back
6.93 3
Nico O'Reilly
Left Back
6.85 4
Declan Rice
Defensive Midfield
7.63 25
Djed Spence
Right Back
6.79 Substitutes ▼
12
Trevoh Chalobah
7.75 5
John Stones
6.28 20
Noni Madueke
6.89 21
Eberechi Eze
6.53 13
Dean Henderson
6.22 14
Jordan Henderson
6.77 15
Dan Burn
7.37 16
Kobbie Mainoo
6.89 17
Morgan Rogers
6.86 18
Anthony Gordon
6.49 19
Ollie Watkins
6.52 22
Ivan Toney
7.57 23
James Trafford
7.03 26
Jarell Quansah
6.78 Manager ▼
S. Desabre
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Lionel Mpasi-Nzau
Goalkeeper
6.91 20
Yoane Wissa
Attacker
7.41 17
Cédric Bakambu
Attacker
6.57 2
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
Right Back
6.81 3
Steve Kapuadi
Left Back
6.6 4
Axel Tuanzebe
Right Back
6.68 7
Nathanaël Mbuku
Central Midfield
6.96 8
Samuel Moutoussamy
Central Midfield
6.61 22
Chancel Mbemba
Centre Back
6.79 26
Arthur Masuaku
Left Back
6.92 14
Noah Sadiki
Central Midfield
6.76 Substitutes ▼
5
Dylan Batubinsika
6.85 6
Ngal'ayel Mukau
6.55 18
Charles Pickel
6.53 19
Fiston Mayele
7.42 23
Simon Banza
6.54 25
Edo Kayembe
6.65 9
Brian Cipenga
6.59 10
Théo Bongonda
6.4 11
Gaël Kakuta
6.7 12
Joris Kayembe
6.75 13
Meschack Elia
7.09 15
Aaron Tshibola
6.88 16
Timothy Fayulu
6.79 21
Matthieu Epolo
6.87 24
Gédéon Kalulu
6.55 CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward England holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give England a 9.5-point edge. External projection is England 76.1%, draw 16.6%, and Congo DR 7.3%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.
