France vs Sweden preview

2026 World Cup, World
New York New Jersey Stadium Tue, 30 Jun - 9:00 PM
World Cup
Full Time Tue, 30 Jun 9:00 PM
Round of 32
Kylian Mbappé - 45', 74'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

France delivered a dominant performance to defeat Sweden 3-0 on home soil. The hosts established a 1-0 advantage by halftime and extended their lead convincingly in the second period. With 61 percent possession France controlled the tempo while generating 2.6 expected goals against Sweden's 0.7. The visitors managed limited attacking threat throughout and failed to score. No red cards were shown to either side allowing both teams to maintain their intended structures. France as the stronger side secured the win in line with pre-match assessments. The result reflected efficient finishing and solid defensive organization from the victors.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: France recorded minimal structural deviation of 2.7 percent from expected patterns.
  • Efficiency shift: France's efficiency remained in line with underlying performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: The 3-0 outcome proved consistent with the xG figures of 2.6 to 0.7.
  • Market alignment: The result stayed aligned with pre-match market projections for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: France posted 2.6 expected goals while Sweden registered just 0.7.
  • Event impact: The halftime score of 1-0 shaped a controlled second-half progression to 3-0.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion to team structures or dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Makkelie
D. Makkelie
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
H. Steegstra
H. Steegstra
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. de Vries
J. de Vries
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Penso
T. Penso
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
France D. Deschamps
D. Deschamps
VS
Sweden G. Potter
G. Potter
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Norway Rank: W
Iraq Rank: W
Senegal Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Japan Rank: D
Netherlands Rank: L
Tunisia Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home France
97.3%
Draw
2.37%
Away Sweden
0.32%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
42.96
32.81
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
France
Sweden
Power Score
42.96
32.81
League Position
1
3
Global Rank
1
38

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
France Opponent-weighted form score
Sweden Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) France Sweden

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

France

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Sweden

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

France ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sweden
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
46.15
24.74
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.74
46.15
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
France +1.92 Efficiency Index
vs
Sweden -1.92 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
France
Sweden
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

France
vs
Sweden
Created Set-piece attacking threat
France Sweden
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
15%
26%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.38 vs -0.19
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
France Sweden
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
26%
15%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.19 vs -0.38
France
Sweden
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

France
vs
Sweden
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
France Sweden
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
France Sweden
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
France
Sweden
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FRA had peak pressure around 46'.
  • FRA started the game with stronger pressure.
FRA Pressure SWE Pressure
Pressure Index: FRA reached the top pressure at 46' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

France FRA Home
2 matches
Sweden SWE Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:49:03+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 30, 2026, 09:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 32
Stadium
New York New Jersey Stadium
Capacity
82500
Attendance
80663
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Danny Desmond Makkelie
Hessel Steegstra
Jan de Vries
Tori Penso

Statistics

Possession
FRA
60%
SWE
40%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
7 Big Chances Created 1
9 Shots 4
63 Dangerous attacks 33
61 Possession 39
9 Corners 1
11 Free kicks 17

Match Overview

68 Ball Safe 68
8 Goal Kicks 8
21 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 5
10 Throwins 19
2 Hit Woodwork 0
13 Successful Headers 6
3 Assists 0
21 Dribble Attempts 11
11 Successful Dribbles 7
52 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64

Attacking

118 Attacks 80
5 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

36 Long Passes 45
551 Passes 350
484 Successful Passes 278
88 Successful Passes Percentage 79
20 Key Passes 5
17 Successful Long Passes 11
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 24

Defensive

3 Saves 9
13 Tackles 13
5 Interceptions 12
46 Duels Won 40

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 11
4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Danny Desmond Makkelie

Starting XI

16
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper
7.18
3
Lucas Digne
Lucas Digne Defender
6.82
19
Theo Hernández
Theo Hernández
Defender78'
6.81
4
Dayot Upamecano
Dayot Upamecano Defender
7.12
5
Jules Koundé
Jules Koundé Defender
7.19
2
Malo Gusto
Malo Gusto
Defender75'
6.6
17
William Saliba
William Saliba Defender
6.88
7
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé Midfielder
7.39
20
Désiré Doué
Désiré Doué
Attacker75'
6.92
8
Aurélien Tchouaméni
7.32
11
Michael Olise
Michael Olise Midfielder
9.07
24
Rayan Cherki
Rayan Cherki
Midfielder85'
6.42
12
Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola Midfielder
7.18
14
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder
7.44
10
Kylian Mbappé
2
9.36
22
Jean-Philippe Mateta
6.21
Referee : Danny Desmond Makkelie

Starting XI

1
Jacob Widell Zetterström
7.68
2
Gustaf Lagerbielke
6.43
3
Victor Lindelöf
6.27
5
Gabriel Gudmundsson
6.1
8
Daniel Svensson
Daniel Svensson Defender
6.18
19
Mattias Svanberg
Mattias Svanberg
Midfielder82'
7.02
7
Lucas Bergvall
Lucas Bergvall Midfielder
6.65
22
Besfort Zeneli
Besfort Zeneli
Midfielder66'
6.47
11
Anthony Elanga
Anthony Elanga Midfielder
6.44
18
Yasin Ayari
Yasin Ayari Midfielder
6.36
10
Benjamin Nygren
Benjamin Nygren
Attacker82'
6.75
24
Elliot Stroud
Elliot Stroud Midfielder
6.64
26
Taha Ali
Taha Ali
Midfielder66'
6.28
9
Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak Attacker
6.62
25
Gustaf Nilsson
Gustaf Nilsson
Attacker89'
17
Viktor Gyökeres
Viktor Gyökeres Attacker
6.71

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Gustaf Nilsson Alexander Isak
10th Substitution
Event
Rayan Cherki Michael Olise
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Jean-Philippe Mateta Kylian Mbappé
9th Substitution
85'
82'
Event
Benjamin Nygren Yasin Ayari
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Mattias Svanberg Daniel Svensson
7th Substitution
Event
Theo Hernández Lucas Digne
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Désiré Doué Ousmane Dembélé
3rd Substitution
75'
Event
Malo Gusto Jules Koundé
4th Substitution
75'
Event
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
74'
66'
Event
Taha Ali Elliot Stroud
1st Substitution
66'
Event
Besfort Zeneli Lucas Bergvall
2nd Substitution
Event
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
53'
1ST-HALF
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
45'
Event
Offside / Goal Disallowed
21'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Gustaf Nilsson's header from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Benjamin Nygren's cross.
90
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Mattias Svanberg's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Mike Maignan. The assist was provided by Anthony Elanga.
90
Update Update
Taha Ali from Sweden is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
90
Update Update
Rayan Cherki commits a foul for France.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Jean-Philippe Mateta's left-footed shot from the center of the box is too high. He was assisted by Désiré Doué's cross.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Taha Ali from Sweden is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Malo Gusto commits a foul for France.
90
Update Update
Gustaf Lagerbielke from Sweden is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Jean-Philippe Mateta of France.
89
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Mike Maignan (France) saves a right-footed shot from Viktor Gyökeres (Sweden) taken from the center of the box.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: Gustaf Nilsson comes on for Alexander Isak.
87
Update Update
Offside for France. Bradley Barcola is flagged for offside.
86
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Mattias Svanberg from Sweden takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for France: Jean-Philippe Mateta comes on for Kylian Mbappé.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for France: Rayan Cherki comes on for Michael Olise.
85
Update Update
Mattias Svanberg wins a free kick for Sweden in the attacking half.
85
Update Update
Adrien Rabiot commits a foul for France.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Bradley Barcola's left-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box is saved in the center of the goal by Jacob Widell Zetterström. The assist came from Théo Hernández.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: Mattias Svanberg comes on for Daniel Svensson.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: Benjamin Nygren comes on for Yasin Ayari.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to France after Jacob Widell Zetterström concedes.
81
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Désiré Doué's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Gabriel Gudmundsson of Sweden.
79
Update Update
Désiré Doué from France is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for France: Théo Hernández comes on for Lucas Digne.
78
Update Update
Foul committed by Besfort Zeneli of Sweden.
78
Update Update
Aurélien Tchouaméni from France wins a free kick in the attacking half.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for France: Malo Gusto comes on for Jules Koundé.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for France: Désiré Doué comes on for Ousmane Dembélé.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kylian Mbappé scores for France with a right-footed shot from the left side of the box. The score is now France 3, Sweden 0.
73
Update Update
Alexander Isak from Sweden commits a handball.
71
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are set to continue.
71
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Michael Olise's left-footed shot from the center of the box is saved.
68
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
66
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Dayot Upamecano's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Jacob Widell Zetterström. The assist came from Adrien Rabiot.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: Taha Ali comes on for Elliot Stroud.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: Besfort Zeneli comes on for Lucas Bergvall.
65
Attempt Attempt
Michael Olise's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Kylian Mbappé provided the assist.
65
Corner Corner
France wins a corner after Gabriel Gudmundsson concedes.
61
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Michael Olise's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Jacob Widell Zetterström. Ousmane Dembélé provided the assist.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to France after Jacob Widell Zetterström concedes.
57
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Lucas Bergvall's header from the center of the box goes to the left. He was assisted by Daniel Svensson, who delivered a cross after a corner.
56
Corner Corner
Sweden wins a corner after Lucas Digne concedes.
55
Update Update
Anthony Elanga from Sweden wins a free kick in the defensive half.
55
Update Update
Lucas Digne commits a foul for France.
54
Update Update
Kylian Mbappé commits a handball for France.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! France leads 2-0 against Sweden. Bradley Barcola scores for France with a right-footed shot from the center of the box after a fast break.
52
Update Update
Ousmane Dembélé is caught offside for France.
50
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Aurélien Tchouaméni from France takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
47
Update Update
Jules Koundé wins a free kick for France in the defensive half.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by Alexander Isak of Sweden.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at France 1, Sweden 0.
45
Update Update
Offside called against Sweden. Daniel Svensson is caught offside.
45
Attempt Attempt
Elliot Stroud from Sweden misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it high and wide to the right.
45
Attempt Attempt
Elliot Stroud from Sweden misses the attempt, sending a right-footed shot from the center of the box high and wide to the right.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! France leads 1-0 against Sweden. Kylian Mbappé scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the top right corner, assisted by Ousmane Dembélé after a corner.
45
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Michael Olise's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Jacob Widell Zetterström. The assist came from Kylian Mbappé.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to France after Jacob Widell Zetterström concedes.
44
Attempt Attempt
Jules Koundé's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Ousmane Dembélé provided the assist.
43
Corner Corner
France is awarded a corner after Daniel Svensson concedes it.
42
Attempt Attempt
Michael Olise (France) attempts a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes close and misses to the left. Aurélien Tchouaméni provided the assist.
41
Update Update
Adrien Rabiot commits a foul for France.
41
Update Update
Lucas Bergvall from Sweden is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Kylian Mbappé's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the center of the goal by Jacob Widell Zetterström. The attempt was assisted by Adrien Rabiot.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by William Saliba (France).
39
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Dayot Upamecano from France, who took a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
39
Update Update
Elliot Stroud from Sweden is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
38
Update Update
Kylian Mbappé wins a free kick for France on the left wing.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Bergvall of Sweden.
36
Attempt Attempt
Michael Olise from France hits the right post with a left-footed shot from the center of the box.
36
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Ousmane Dembélé (France) takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box that goes close but misses to the left.
35
Update Update
Viktor Gyökeres from Sweden is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
35
Update Update
Foul committed by Aurélien Tchouaméni of France.
33
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Adrien Rabiot of France, who took a left-footed shot from outside the box.
32
Corner Corner
Kylian Mbappé from France hits the left post with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, assisted by Jules Koundé after a corner.
31
Corner Corner
France wins a corner after Gabriel Gudmundsson concedes.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to France after Victor Lindelöf concedes.
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Jacob Widell Zetterström (Sweden) saves a left-footed shot from Adrien Rabiot (France) taken from the left side of the box, which goes to the center of the goal.
28
Attempt Attempt
Ousmane Dembélé's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Aurélien Tchouaméni.
28
Corner Corner
France wins a corner after Elliot Stroud concedes.
28
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Alexander Isak's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Mike Maignan. The shot was assisted by Yasin Ayari with a through ball.
27
Update Update
Yasin Ayari from Sweden is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
27
Update Update
Adrien Rabiot wins a free kick for France in the defensive half.
26
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
23
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
22
Update Update
Yasin Ayari from Sweden is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
22
Update Update
Foul committed by Michael Olise (France).
20
Update Update
Kylian Mbappé is flagged for offside for France.
19
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Bradley Barcola (France) took a left-footed shot from the left side of the box.
18
Update Update
Viktor Gyökeres from Sweden wins a free kick on the left wing.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by William Saliba (France).
17
Attempt Attempt
Kylian Mbappé's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved.
15
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Lucas Digne's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved.
15
Corner Corner
France wins a corner after Gabriel Gudmundsson concedes.
14
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Bergvall of Sweden.
14
Update Update
Adrien Rabiot wins a free kick for France on the left wing.
7
Update Update
Foul committed by Yasin Ayari of Sweden.
7
Update Update
Michael Olise from France is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
6
Update Update
Viktor Gyökeres from Sweden is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
6
Update Update
Adrien Rabiot commits a foul for France.
4
Update Update
Foul committed by Yasin Ayari of Sweden.
4
Update Update
Ousmane Dembélé of France is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
3
Update Update
Foul committed by Alexander Isak of Sweden.
3
Update Update
Aurélien Tchouaméni wins a free kick for France in the defensive half.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Alexander Isak's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved by Mike Maignan in the center of the goal. The assist came from Viktor Gyökeres.
2
Update Update
Foul committed by William Saliba of France.
2
Update Update
Viktor Gyökeres from Sweden is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
1
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Bergvall of Sweden.
1
Attempt Attempt
Alexander Isak takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Danny Makkelie.

CONCLUSION

France's 3-0 success underlined their superiority through measured control and clinical execution. The side converted a solid first-half lead into a comprehensive victory without encountering significant resistance. Sweden's low xG output highlighted their inability to threaten consistently across the ninety minutes. France maintained possession dominance and avoided any disciplinary setbacks that could have altered the flow. This performance reinforced the hosts' status as the stronger outfit on the day. The clean sheet and efficient chance creation provided a clear platform for the final margin. Overall the contest showcased disciplined execution from France that matched the data expectations precisely.