Belgium vs Senegal preview

2026 World Cup, World
Seattle Stadium Wed, 1 Jul - 8:00 PM
World Cup
Belgium BEL
Senegal SEN
KICKOFF : Wed, 1 Jul - 8:00 PM
Round of 32

CONTEXT

Belgium and Senegal prepare to clash in the Round of 32 at the World Cup 2026 hosted in Seattle Stadium. The Belgian side enters the encounter positioned at the summit of their domestic standings while Senegal sits third. Power ratings indicate a notable edge for the visitors despite the home venue. Recent form shows Belgium accumulating a score of 13.56 compared to Senegal registering zero. League positions reflect strong campaigns for both participants in their respective domestic competitions. The matchup promises an intriguing battle given the contrasting strengths on display. Squad compositions will play a pivotal role in determining the outcome on the pitch. Various tactical elements including efficiency and transitions could influence proceedings significantly. Set piece situations remain an area of interest though detailed metrics are limited. Overall anticipation builds for this high stakes fixture in the tournament.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Senegal holds a power advantage of 25.8 points over Belgium.
  • Form: Belgium records a form score of 13.56 while Senegal has 0.
  • Squad: Squad details remain unspecified ahead of the fixture.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided in available information.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data shows low confidence with proxy usage.
  • xVariable: Power scores favor Senegal at 50 compared to Belgium's 24.2.
  • Market: Belgium 44.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.8% (Δ+0%) | Senegal 25.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Belgium R. Garcia
R. Garcia
VS
Senegal P. Thiaw
P. Thiaw
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
New Zealand Rank: W
Iran Rank: D
Egypt Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Iraq Rank: W
Norway Rank: L
France Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Belgium
44.39%
Draw
29.82%
Away Senegal
25.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.2
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Belgium
Senegal
Power Score
24.2
50
League Position
1
3
Global Rank
9
14

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Belgium — Opponent-weighted form score
Senegal — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Belgium Senegal

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Belgium BEL Home
0 matches
Senegal SEN Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-29T00:02:05+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. Courtois
1 T. Courtois
T. Castagne
21 T. Castagne
B. Mechele
4 B. Mechele
N. Ngoy
25 N. Ngoy
M. De Cuyper
5 M. De Cuyper
H. Vanaken
20 H. Vanaken
K. De Bruyne
7 K. De Bruyne
Y. Tielemans
8 Y. Tielemans
L. Trossard
10 L. Trossard
R. Lukaku Menama
9 R. Lukaku Menama
J. Doku
11 J. Doku
M. Diaw
23 M. Diaw
I. Jakobs
14 I. Jakobs
M. Niakhaté
19 M. Niakhaté
A. Seck
4 A. Seck
K. Diatta
15 K. Diatta
P. Gueye
26 P. Gueye
I. Gueye
5 I. Gueye
S. Mané
10 S. Mané
L. Camara
8 L. Camara
I. Ndiaye
13 I. Ndiaye
I. Sarr
18 I. Sarr

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 01, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 32
Stadium
Seattle Stadium
Capacity
68740
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Thibaut Courtois
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper
6.92
11
Jérémy Doku
Jérémy Doku Attacker
6.72
9
Romelu Lukaku
Romelu Lukaku Centre Forward
6.76
10
Leandro Trossard
Leandro Trossard Attacker
8
4
Brandon Mechele
Brandon Mechele Right Back
7.12
5
Maxim De Cuyper
Maxim De Cuyper Left Back
7.29
7
Kevin De Bruyne
Kevin De Bruyne Central Midfield
7.64
8
Youri Tielemans
Youri Tielemans Central Midfield
7.39
20
Hans Vanaken
Hans Vanaken Central Midfield
7.35
21
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne Right Back
7.08
25
Nathan Ngoy
Nathan Ngoy Left Back
6.69

Starting XI ▼

23
Mory Diaw
Mory Diaw Goalkeeper
6.99
18
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Centre Forward
7.54
4
Abdoulaye Seck
Abdoulaye Seck Right Back
7.15
5
Idrissa Gueye
Idrissa Gueye Defensive Midfield
7.27
8
Lamine Camara
Lamine Camara Attacking Midfield
7.08
13
Iliman Ndiaye
Iliman Ndiaye Right Wing
7.44
10
Sadio Mané
Sadio Mané Left Wing
7.07
14
Ismail Jakobs
Ismail Jakobs Left Back
6.81
15
Krépin Diatta
Krépin Diatta Right Back
7.17
19
Moussa Niakhaté
Moussa Niakhaté Left Back
6.93
26
Pape Gueye
Pape Gueye Defensive Midfield
7.41

CONCLUSION

Anticipation surrounds the Round of 32 encounter between Belgium and Senegal at Seattle Stadium during the 2026 World Cup. Both teams bring distinct qualities to the field with Belgium holding a top domestic position and Senegal demonstrating resilience. The power differential suggests challenges for the hosts against a stronger rated opponent. Form indicators point to recent inconsistencies for the African side while the Europeans maintain steadier performances. Tactical approaches in midfield and defensive setups will likely dictate the flow of play. Opportunities arising from open play transitions present potential avenues for breakthroughs. Set piece execution could prove decisive in a tightly contested affair. Players from both squads must rise to the occasion to secure advancement in the competition. This fixture highlights the global nature of the tournament with diverse styles clashing.