Empoli vs Avellino preview
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Empoli
EMP
Avellino
AVE
KICKOFF :
Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Round 37 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 28
CONTEXT
Empoli host Avellino in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Carlo Castellani. Domestically, Empoli sit 16th in the table while Avellino are 8th. Power ranking favours Avellino by 7.5 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Empoli in 16th hosts higher-placed Avellino from 8th at Stadio Carlo Castellani.
-
Form: Avellino's form score of 21.06 dwarfs Empoli's 8.94.
-
Squad: Avellino holds a squad power score of 24.68 against Empoli's 17.23.
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Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
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Transition: Transition metrics not detailed in available data.
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Set pieces: Set piece performance uses low-confidence proxy data without xG for either side.
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xVariable: xG data unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
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Market: Empoli 42.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.4% (Δ+0%) | Avellino 28.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
F. Caserta
VS
D. Ballardini
1
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.27
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Venezia
Rank:
L
Virtus Entella
Rank:
D
Calcio Padova
Rank:
L
Sampdoria
Rank:
L
Pescara
Rank:
W
Spezia
Rank:
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bari 1908
Rank:
W
Mantova
Rank:
W
Catanzaro
Rank:
D
Palermo
Rank:
L
Sampdoria
Rank:
L
Südtirol
Rank:
W
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Empoli
42.27%
Draw
29.42%
Avellino
28.31%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.23
24.68
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Empoli
Avellino
Power Score
17.23
24.68
League Position
16
8
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Empoli
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Avellino
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Empoli Avellino
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Empoli
EMP
Home
7
matches
Avellino
AVE
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
8
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:25:31+00:00
General Information
Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Capacity
16284
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Empoli
vs
Monza
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Venue: U-Power Stadium
Avellino
vs
Modena
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Venue: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Squad
Manager ▼
F. Caserta
Coach
Squad ▼
21
Andrea Fulignati
Goalkeeper
1
Samuele Perisan
Goalkeeper
12
Manuel Gasparini
Goalkeeper
22
Francesco Versari
Goalkeeper
24
Tyronne Ebuehi
Defender
4
Simone Romagnoli
Defender
26
Antonio Candela
Defender
2
Marco Curto
Defender
20
Matteo Lovato
Defender
5
Nosa Edward Obaretin
Defender
34
Gabriele Guarino
Defender
28
Gabriele Indragoli
Defender
27
Brando Moruzzi
Defender
36
Dawid Bembnista
Defender
8
Luca Magnino
Midfielder
15
Joseph Ceesay
Midfielder
32
Nicolas Haas
Midfielder
7
Salvatore Elia
Midfielder
18
Andrea Ghion
Midfielder
6
Duccio Degl'Innocenti
Midfielder
10
Rareş Ilie
Midfielder
14
Gerard Yepes Laut
Midfielder
25
Lorenzo Ignacchiti
Midfielder
70
Edoardo Saporiti
Midfielder
53
Danilo Busiello
Midfielder
96
Andrea Orlandi
Midfielder
9
Pietro Pellegri
Attacker
99
Flavio Junior Bianchi
Attacker
17
D. Fila
Attacker
11
Steven Shpendi
Attacker
19
Marco Nasti
Attacker
89
Thomas Campaniello
Attacker
77
Bogdan Popov
Attacker
Manager ▼
D. Ballardini
Coach
Squad ▼
77
Leonardo Marson
Goalkeeper
45
Pasquale Pane
Goalkeeper
1
Antony Iannarilli
Goalkeeper
53
Jacopo Sassi
Goalkeeper
30
Giovanni Daffara
Goalkeeper
44
Lorenco Šimić
Defender
4
Armando Izzo
Defender
29
Tommaso Cancellotti
Defender
3
Marco Sala
Defender
63
Alessandro Fontanarosa
Defender
56
Patrick Enrici
Defender
2
Filippo Missori
Defender
78
Alessandro Milani
Defender
19
Filippo Reale
Defender
24
Dimitris Sounas
Midfielder
21
Marco Armellino
Midfielder
6
Luca Palmiero
Midfielder
20
Martin Palumbo
Midfielder
16
Justin Kumi
Midfielder
39
Michele Besaggio
Midfielder
27
Andréa Le Borgne
Midfielder
94
Roberto Insigne
Attacker
99
Andrea Favilli
Attacker
7
Gennaro Tutino
Attacker
14
Tommaso Biasci
Attacker
9
Cosimo Patierno
Attacker
8
Luca Pandolfi
Attacker
10
Raffaele Russo
Attacker
18
Lorenzo Sgarbi
Attacker
11
Luca D'Andrea
Attacker
CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward Avellino holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Avellino a 7.5-point edge. External projection is Empoli 42.1%, draw 29.6%, and Avellino 28.3%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.